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排序方式: 共有313条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
Franz Peter Lang 《Intereconomics》1992,27(4):182-189
The integration of the former state-trading countries into international free trade may, on the one hand, sensibly complement the reforms now under way towards their becoming market economies; on the other hand, this move harbours the risk of perpetuating and indeed aggravating the economic backwardness of those countries. The detrimental effects can be avoided if a product-cycle-oriented economic policy is pursued which makes a deliberate point of utilizing the relatively rich endowment of human capital available in these countries. 相似文献
2.
3.
Franz Neueder 《Intereconomics》2003,38(4):190-195
While the political benefits of the coming EU enlargement are relatively easy to identify, its economic and financial consequences
are less unequivocal. The following article examines the likely costs and benefits of enlargement to both existing and future
Members, and in particular how it will affect Germany, one of the few present EU Member States which has direct borders with
acceding states.
The article expresses the personal opinions of the author. 相似文献
4.
Franz Xaver Hof 《Empirica》1987,14(2):227-248
Zusammenfassung Die vorliegende Arbeit untersucht die Effektivität systematischer (d. h. regelgebundener) Geldpolitik in einem makroökonomischen Modell mit einer Lucas-Angebotsfunktion, rationalen Erwartungen und asymmetrischer Information. InMcCallum (1980) wurde dieses Modell anhand der Methode der unbestimmten Koeffizienten gelöst und gezeigt, daß die Notenbank die Varianz des Outputs durch die Wahl des Politikparameters in einer einfachen Geldmengenregel (autoregressiver Prozeß erster Ordnung) beeinflussen kann. Die Auswirkungen von monetären Schocks können dabei zwar gedämpft, aber nicht vollständig eliminiert werden.In der vorliegenden Arbeit wird das Modell anhand der Methode der forward looking solutions gelöst und gezeigt, daß esunendlich viele Geldmengenregeln gibt, welche den Output von Geldangebots- und Güternachfrageschocksperfekt abschirmen. Produktivitätsschocks können hingegen nur kurzfristig neutralisiert werden.
I am indebted to H. Frisch, Ch. Peutl, and unknown referees for their valuable comments and suggestions. 相似文献
I am indebted to H. Frisch, Ch. Peutl, and unknown referees for their valuable comments and suggestions. 相似文献
5.
Judgment aggregation: (im)possibility theorems 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
Franz Dietrich 《Journal of Economic Theory》2006,126(1):286-298
The aggregation of individual judgments over interrelated propositions is a newly arising field of social choice theory. I introduce several independence conditions on judgment aggregation rules, each of which protects against a specific type of manipulation by agenda setters or voters. I derive impossibility theorems whereby these independence conditions are incompatible with certain minimal requirements. Unlike earlier impossibility results, the main result here holds for any (non-trivial) agenda. However, independence conditions arguably undermine the logical structure of judgment aggregation. I therefore suggest restricting independence to “premises”, which leads to a generalised premise-based procedure. This procedure is proven to be possible if the premises are logically independent. 相似文献
6.
Johannes Hauptmann Anja Hoppenkamps Aleksey Min Franz Ramsauer Rudi Zagst 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2014,28(2):139-164
We propose an early warning system to timely forecast turbulence in the US stock market. In a first step, a Markov-switching model with two regimes (a calm market and a turbulent market) is developed. Based on the time series of the monthly returns of the S&P 500 price index, the corresponding filtered probabilities are successively estimated. In a second step, the turbulent phase of the model is further specified to distinguish between bullish and bearish trends. For comparison only, a Markov-switching model with three states (a calm market, a turbulent bullish market, and a turbulent bearish market) is examined as well. In a third step, logistic regression models are employed to forecast the filtered probabilities provided by the Markov-switching models. A major advantage of the presented modeling framework is the timely identification of the factors driving the different phases of the capital market. In a fourth step, the early warning system is applied to an asset management case study. The results show that explicit consideration of the models’ signals yields better portfolio performance and lower portfolio risk compared to standard buy-and-hold and constant proportion portfolio insurance strategies. 相似文献
7.
Franz -J. Jägeler 《Intereconomics》1974,9(4):124-126
Being confronted with the oil crisis the dependency on foreign raw materials became worthwhile discussing again. Evaluations of certain raw materials indicate a low degree of self-sufficiency in some sectors. This article tries to give a general survey of the situation for the Federal Republic. 相似文献
8.
The availability of a stochastic repairable system depends on the failure behaviour and on repair strategies. In this paper,
we deal with a general repair model for a system using auxiliary counting processes and corresponding intensities which include
various degrees of repair (between minimal repair and perfect repair). For determining the model parameters we need estimators
depending on failure times and repair times: maximum likelihood (ML) estimator and Bayes estimators are considered. Special
results are obtained by the use of Weibull-type intensities and random observation times. 相似文献
9.
Franz Buscha Arnaud Maurel Lionel Page Stefan Speckesser 《Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics》2012,74(3):380-396
Using American panel data from the National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988, this article investigates the effect of working during grade 12 on attainment. We employ, for the first time in the related literature, a semiparametric propensity score matching approach combined with difference‐in‐differences. We address selection on both observables and unobservables associated with part‐time work decisions, without the need for instrumental variable. Once such factors are controlled for, little to no effects on reading and math scores are found. Overall, our results therefore suggest a negligible academic cost from part‐time working by the end of high school. 相似文献
10.
Franz Nauschnigg 《Wirtschaftsdienst》2018,98(6):399-404
The Eurosystem’s Securities Market Programme (SMP,) the purchase of government bonds of euro area countries strongly affected by the crisis, started in 2010 and ended in 2012. The SMP benefited all parties concerned – the Eurosystem, all euro area countries and the crisis countries. The positive experience with the SMP can be replicated in the private sector with the creation of an exchangetraded fund (ETF), a Smart Beta ETF - SMP Fund. Like the SMP, the SMP Fund would buy government bonds, according to the ECB capital key. As an ETF, the SMP Fund would have low costs. Profits above the German Bund benchmark would be shared: 80% to investors, 10% to the SMP Fund and 10% to advisers who recommend the purchase. The related risks would be reduced by the diversification of the SMP Fund, the financing mechanisms of the euro area, especially the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) and the banking union. The SMP Fund could support the euro area fiscal capacity and the EU capital markets union. Past and future SMP profits create a fiscal capacity for the euro area with an initial amount of 50 billion Euro. 相似文献