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1.
In this article we analyze recent trends in aggregate property crime rates in the United States. We propose a dynamic equilibrium model that guides our quantitative investigation of the major determinants of observed patterns of crime. Our main findings can be summarized as follows: First, the model is capable of reproducing the drop in crime between 1980 and 1996. Second, the most important factors that account for the observed decline in property crime are the higher apprehension probability, the stronger economy, and the aging of the population. Third, the effect of unemployment on crime is negligible. Fourth, the increased inequality prevented an even larger decline in crime. Overall, our analysis can account for the behavior of the time series of property crime rates over the past quarter century. 相似文献
2.
This paper considers the extent to which price and income proxy variables help in forecasting tourist demand in Spain. Contrary to some recent studies, we found that the inputs' contribution in terms of fitting and forecasting is nil when compared with alternative univariate models. Whether these findings are the results of the restrictions embedded in building the proxy inputs or in a poor specification of the dynamics of these models remains to be seen. We also contend that when dealing with medium, long-term forecasting comparisons, the use of the traditional aggregate accuracy measures like RMSE and MAPE help very little in discriminating among competing models. In these situations, predicted annual growth rates may be a better alternative. 相似文献
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This work draws on consumer and psychology research to explain sociocognitive aspects of product-market dynamics at a higher
level of specificity than prior research. The authors extend the field’s understanding of market-shaping shared knowledge
through a theory-informed discussion of how shared product knowledge comes to exist and how it changes as product markets
develop. They define shared knowledge as the aspects of product representations that are common across the minds of market
actors, making it possible for them to understand one another. The authors also discuss ways to track shared knowledge content
that is expressed in market narratives. As the characteristics of shared knowledge are explained and linked to stages of product-market
development, the authors develop a set of researchable propositions to guide future research. The theoretical arguments and
propositions in this article complement extant marketing strategy research by integrating individual-level consumer theory
with market evolution models.
José Antonio Rosa (jose.rosa@case.edu; Ph.D., University of Michigan) is an assistant professor of marketing at Case Western Reserve University.
His research interests include product markets as sociocognitive phenomena, embodied knowledge in consumer and managerial
sensemaking, consumer illiteracy and coping, commitment and motivation among members of network marketing organizations, and
buying group satisfaction. His research has been published in marketing and management publications, including theJournal of Marketing and theAcademy of Management Journal. Before entering academia, he worked in the automotive and information systems industries.
Jelena Spanjol (jspanjol@tamu.edu; Ph.D., University of Illinois) is an assistant professor of marketing at Texas A&M University. Her research
interests include product market dynamics, product portfolio management, innovation, sensemaking, and organizational and managerial
cognition in marketing strategy. Her research has been published in marketing and management publications, including theJournal of Marketing and several book chapters. Before academia, she worked in the scientific software industry. 相似文献
5.
Multi-stage real option evaluation with double barrier under stochastic volatility and interest rate
Annals of Finance - This paper focuses on valuing R&D projects using a twofold compound real option by including two knock-out barriers. However, the valuation of R&D projects is... 相似文献
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Agglomeration effects in Europe 总被引:21,自引:0,他引:21
Antonio Ciccone 《European Economic Review》2002,46(2):213-227
The paper estimates agglomeration effects for France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK. Estimation takes into account endogeneity of the spatial distribution of employment and spatial fixed effects. Empirical results suggest that agglomeration effects in these European countries are only slightly smaller than agglomeration effects in the US: the estimated elasticity of (average) labor productivity with respect to employment density is 4.5 percent compared to 5 percent in the US. 相似文献
8.
The somatic marker hypothesis: A neural theory of economic decision 总被引:14,自引:0,他引:14
Modern economic theory ignores the influence of emotions on decision-making. Emerging neuroscience evidence suggests that sound and rational decision making, in fact, depends on prior accurate emotional processing. The somatic marker hypothesis provides a systems-level neuroanatomical and cognitive framework for decision-making and its influence by emotion. The key idea of this hypothesis is that decision-making is a process that is influenced by marker signals that arise in bioregulatory processes, including those that express themselves in emotions and feelings. This influence can occur at multiple levels of operation, some of which occur consciously, and some of which occur non-consciously. Here we review studies that confirm various predictions from the hypothesis, and propose a neural model for economic decision, in which emotions are a major factor in the interaction between environmental conditions and human decision processes, with these emotional systems providing valuable implicit or explicit knowledge for making fast and advantageous decisions. 相似文献
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Antonio Molina-Abraldes 《Journal of Economic Theory》2003,113(2):235-252
In the context of general pure exchange OLG economies where agents can have heterogeneous longevities, we provide both sufficient and necessary conditions for Pareto optimality of competitive equilibria. For the case in which all agents live for the same number of periods, we find that these conditions are equivalent. We also find this equivalence when agents can have different lifetimes, but in this case we need to impose particular restrictions on relative equilibrium prices. Moreover, we show that without these conditions on prices the equivalence, and hence a full characterization, is not necessarily obtained. 相似文献