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1.
We examine asymmetry in the loss functions of South Korean consumers' and the Bank of Korea's (BOK) inflation forecasts, and test the rationality of these forecasts under the assumption of a possible asymmetric loss function. Under an asymmetric loss function, we find evidence of asymmetry and support for rationality. We also examine whether the BOK's forecasts incorporate respective forecasts and consensus forecasts efficiently. They broadly use available information efficiently, and their results are robust to inflation‐targeting measures and the recent global financial crisis. However, our results suggest that the information efficiency of the BOK's forecasts for consumers was affected during the period 2007–2008. 相似文献
2.
Peter C. Young 《International Journal of Forecasting》2018,34(2):314-335
The main objective of this paper it to model the dynamic relationship between global averaged measures of Total Radiative Forcing (RTF) and surface temperature, measured by the Global Temperature Anomaly (GTA), and then use this model to forecast the GTA. The analysis utilizes the Data-Based Mechanistic (DBM) approach to the modelling and forecasting where, in this application, the unobserved component model includes a novel hybrid Box-Jenkins stochastic model in which the relationship between RTF and GTA is based on a continuous time transfer function (differential equation) model. This model then provides the basis for short term, inter-annual to decadal, forecasting of the GTA, using a transfer function form of the Kalman Filter, which produces a good prediction of the ‘pause’ or ‘levelling’ in the temperature rise over the period 2000 to 2011. This derives in part from the effects of a quasi-periodic component that is modelled and forecast by a Dynamic Harmonic Regression (DHR) relationship and is shown to be correlated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) index. 相似文献
3.
The cross‐cultural study of LMX and individual employee voice: The moderating role of conflict avoidance
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This article examines the role of national culture, measured by conflict avoidance, on the relationship between leader–member exchange (LMX) and individual employee voice. Using data collected from automotive industry employees in the United States and Korea, the findings show that conflict avoidance is negatively related to employee voice and also moderates the relationship between LMX and employee voice in the Korean sample. In particular, the relationship between LMX and voice becomes less positive when conflict avoidance is high. On the other hand, conflict avoidance does not have a direct effect on employee voice as well as an interactive effect with LMX on employee voice in the U.S. sample. This study, therefore, highlights the importance of the national culture in the comparative study of employee voice. 相似文献
4.
建筑工程资格预审无论对业主还是对承包商都至关重要,根据建筑工程的特点,在目前普遍采用的资格预审评价方法的基础之上,总结了进行资格预审的评价指标体系,并提出了基于模糊数学意见集中排序法的建筑工程资格预审方法。 相似文献
5.
生命周期评价方法及其应用 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
介绍了生命周期评价的目的、意义和基本方法,并运用该方法对燃煤发电、废纸造纸、废旧塑料气化发电等几种不同工业过程的环境影响进行了分析。 相似文献
6.
潘玲 《广东经济管理学院学报》2004,19(3):47-50
企业激励机制系统的设计必须以产权清晰、资本市场的发展为前提,系统模型的设计者应该是具有专业知识的专门机构,在指标设计中必须处理好数量测度与非数量测度、短期指标与长期指标、静态指标与动态指标之间的关系. 相似文献
7.
明代的香税以泰山和武当山的数量和影响为最。武当山香税的征收始于明孝宗弘治六年(1493年),是明代最早征收香税之地,由湖广布政司和提督太监委派的官员即均州千户所千户和太和宫提点负责。打着维修庙宇的旗号而征收的香税,在嘉靖以后还用于赈济灾荒,抵宗藩、官兵俸粮之不足等事项,正是明代中后期国家政治腐败、财政危机、加派风行的必然结果。 相似文献
8.
9.
外资并购我国企业的动因及对经济的影响 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
韩梅 《吉林省经济管理干部学院学报》2005,19(2):39-41
随着跨国公司在我国并购活动的日益增多,外资并购给中国经济带来了正面和负面双重影响.为了保护我国民族工业,促进我国经济健康持续地发展,应积极稳妥地利用外资并购,趋利弊害,消除负面影响,拉动经济增长。 相似文献
10.
This paper re-examines the evidence on open market share repurchase activity reported by Rau and Vermaelen (2002) for the UK. Using data from the Securities Data Corporation (SDC), Rau and Vermaelen conclude that the level of repurchase activity is trivial. They attribute the low repurchase volume to regulatory restrictions that limit companies' ability to take advantage of an undervalued stock price and conclude that the bulk of repurchase activity that does occur is driven by the desire to generate tax credits for pension funds. Using data collected from a variety of sources, we find that the SDC substantially understates UK open market buyback activity. Based on our more comprehensive dataset we conclude that (a) pension funds' tax considerations are not the primary cause of UK share repurchases and (b) despite the prevailing regulatory environment, underpricing still represents an important determinant of repurchase activity. 相似文献