Endogenous communication among lenders and entrepreneurial incentives

If banks have an informational monopoly about their clients,borrowers may curtail their effort level for fear of being exploitedvia high interest rates in the future. Banks can correct thisincentive problem by committing to share private informationwith other lenders. The fiercer competition triggered by informationsharing lowers future interest rates and future profits of banks.But, provided banks retain an initial informational advantage,their current profits are raised by the borrowers' higher effort.This trade-off determines the banks' willingness to share information.Their decision affects credit market competition, interest rates,volume of lending, and social welfare.     

Why Have Corporate Tax Revenues Declined? Another Look

The relative constancy of non-financial corporate tax revenuesas a share of US GDP masks offsetting trends in the ratio ofcorporate profits to GDP (declining) and the average tax rate(increasing). The average tax rate rose steadily between 1996and 2003, an increase largely attributable to the importanceof tax losses. This rise casts some doubt on the role of taxplanning activities in reducing corporate taxes. So, too, doesthe relative stability of the rate of profit (relative to netassets), which might be expected to have declined had the understatementof profits for tax purposes been increasing. (JEL code: H25,G32)     

Book reviews

Innovation and Industrial Strength in the UK, West Germany, United States and Japan Joan Cox &; Herbert Kriegbaum London, Policy Studies Institute, 1989, 168pp. Industrial Societies After the Stagnation of the 1970s. Taking Stock from an Interdisciplinary Perspective Burkhard Strumpel (ed.) Berlin, de Gruyter, 1989, 313pp.

The Social Basis of the Microelectronics Revolution Alfonso Hernan Molina Edinburgh, Edinburgh University Press, 1989, xxi + 260pp., £25.00 h/b (also avail-able in p/b)

Innovation and Technology Transfer in Japan and Europe: Industry-Academic Relations Glynn 0. Philips (assisted by Michael Hughes) London, Routledge, 1990, 282pp.) £45.00

Banking 1992-A Eurostudy Special Report Ian Gillespie (ed.) I,ondon, Eurostudy Publishing, 1990, 162pp., $£60 ($99)     

Simulating alternative social security responses to the demographic transition

"This paper uses a perfect foresight life cycle simulation model to examine the dynamic economic effects of baby 'booms' and baby 'busts' as well as the interaction of such demographic changes with social security policy. Demographic change can have sizeable short and long-run effects on saving rates and factors returns." The geographic focus is on the United States. "The model predicts long-run improvement in welfare associated with a prolonged baby bust. This improvement holds even in the absence of accommodating social security policy. It reflects a long-run decline in the dependency ratio, with the reduction in dependent children per worker more than offsetting the increase in retirees per worker."     

Assessing the productivity consequences of agri-environmental practices when adoption is endogenous

Journal of Productivity Analysis - We address the general problem of selection bias, an issue endemic to policy analysis when adoption is voluntary, with an empirical application to environmental...     

Comparative precautionary saving under higher-order risk and recursive utility

Measuring and comparing the precautionary saving motive rest almost exclusively on the expected utility framework, and only focus on income risk or coefficients of the Arrow–Pratt type. We generalize the standard approach by characterizing comparative precautionary saving under recursive utility for increases in income risk and increases in risk on the saving return, including higher-order risk effects. We express the comparisons in terms of precautionary premia. In addition, we define a new class of preference coefficients, and derive the associated conditions to predict a stronger precautionary motive. The coefficients provide a detailed picture of the preferences sustaining precautionary saving and could be useful in applications.     

Linking health plan performance with disability outcomes

Although the managed health care industry evolved and matured in the 1980s and 1990s, such initiatives to control disability costs failed to keep pace. As employers became aware of the costs of lost productivity, managed disability programs quickly evolved. This article discusses the trends, issues and assumptions in managed health and disability models, providing case studies to support the authors' hypothesis that health plans can have a direct impact on disability duration.