The Impact of Public Expenditure and International Trade on Agricultural Productivity in China

The “industry nurturing agriculture” reforms and World Trade Organization accession led to dramatic growth in public expenditure and international trade in China’s agricultural sector. This article aims to estimate the effects of public expenditure and trade on agricultural productivity in China for 2004–2015. A semi-parametric production function with shape constraints is introduced to derive more accurate productivity before the productivity determinants are analyzed with an emphasis on public expenditure and trade. The empirical result shows that public expenditure and exports can effectively improve agricultural productivity, while imports have no significant effects. Policy implications are discussed in the context of supply-side reforms.     

美国会计目标研究的历史考察及其对我们的启示

会计目标不仅是一个重要的理论问题,亦是一个重要的实际问题。美国是世界上研究会计目标最早、取得研究成果最丰富的国家之一。从美国会计学会1966年发表基本会计理论研究公告算起,美国从事会计目标研究已有30余年的历史。美国会计学会、会计原则委员会、特鲁布罗德委员会、财务会计准则委员会都对会计目标的研究作出过重要贡献,形成了像基本会计理论公告、APB第4号报告、特鲁布罗德报告和企业财务报告的目标等一系列研究成果。通过对美国会计目标研究历史的分析,我们从中可以得到如下三点启示: 第一,会计目标的研究与对会计本质的认识密不可分; 第二,会计目标研究应密切联系一定的社会经济环境; 第三,会计目标研究应采取理论分析与实证研究相结合的方法。     

论生态经济系统稳态

本文论述了生态经济系统非平衡稳定态的概念、特性及其实现的途径。指出生态经济系统稳态,是非平衡的,对外全面开放、激烈竞争、充分利用涨落作用,对内协同、有序、自组织、自适应、自催化、且有非线性作用和支配性、良性运转、进展演替的耗散结构状态。生态经济系统平衡的提法应被生态经济系统稳态的概念所取代。     

2002年中国成品油市场形势分析

2002年世界石油市场总体疲软，但依然存在走强的因素。加入WTO给中国石油市场带来重大变化，石油供应将总体充足，需求增长稳中有降。其中汽油需求增长约2％，供大于求，出口量将增加。柴油需求增长较快，产量有所增长，并以一定量的进口作为需求旺季的补充。LPG需求增长率可达7％－8％，产量上升，进口量继续下降。煤油需求增长预计保持在6．5％左右，产量有所上升，仍将保持一定的进口量。化工轻油需求增长率为3％左右，产量和净出口量均略有增长。受国际石油市场弱势的影响，预计2002年国内成品油价格的总体水平不会大幅上涨。     

浅谈集邮业务的个性化服务

文章回顾了我国集邮业务的历史演变和发展状况,分析了集邮业务的业务结构变化及其所带来的经营方式和经营策略的变化,提出个性化服务是集邮业务的发展方向,论述了个性化服务的社会需求、市场前景和发展空间,探讨了个性化服务的发展措施及经营思路。     

Pricing options using implied trees: Evidence from FTSE‐100 options

Previously, few, if any, comparative tests of performance of Jackwerth's ( 1997 ) generalized binomial tree (GBT) and Derman and Kani ( 1994 ) implied volatility tree (IVT) models were done. In this paper, we propose five different weight functions in GBT and test them empirically compared to both the Black‐Scholes model and IVT. We use the daily settlement prices of FTSE‐100 index options from January to November 1999. With both American and European options traded on the FTSE‐100 index, we construct both GBT and IVT from European options and examine their performance in both the hedging of European option and the pricing of its American counterpart. IVT is found to produce least hedging errors and best results for American call options with earlier maturity than the maturity span of the implied trees. GBT appears to produce better results for American ATM put pricing for any maturity, and better in‐sample fit for options with maturity equal to the maturity span of the implied trees. Deltas calculated from IVT are consistently lower (higher) than Black‐Scholes deltas for both European and American calls (puts) in absolute term. The reverse holds true for GBT deltas. These empirical findings about the relative performance of GBT, IVT, and Standard Black‐Scholes models are important to practitioners as they indicate that different methods should be used for different applications, and some cautions should be exercised. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 22:601–626, 2002     

“以大代小”火力发电企业的价值评估

在火力发电行业进行“以大代小”技改工程后,为了解决“一厂多制”的问题,需要对完成“以大代小”技改项目后所产生的新发电企业进行价值评估。在评估过程中,应明确价值类型,充分考虑租赁的资产、委托运行维护管理等要素对企业价值的影响。本文对大型火电发电机组的生命周期进行了分析,并在此基础上提出了对“以大代小”新火力发电企业进行收益测算的“三阶段测算模型”。     

农村劳动力转移模型:基于中国制度背景的构造

本文在对经典的农村劳动力流动模型进行理论梳理的基础上,引入中国的制度变量,试图构建适合中国制度背景的农村劳动力转移模型,同时,运用经验事实对其作进一步的实证检验,并分析了模型的政策含义。