Exchange rate,marginal q and investment behaviour of small and medium-sized enterprises in Japan: time series evidence of manufacturing industries

In this article, we investigate Granger’s causality among the exchange rate, Tobin’s marginal q and investment-capital ratio with quarterly data on firms categorized as small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Japan. We utilize the data of the following industries: chemical, iron and steel, production machinery, electric machinery and equipment, automobile and accessories and all manufacturing. The empirical results we obtain show that the null hypotheses of no Granger’s causality from the exchange rate to other variables, investment and marginal q, are accepted in all industries. The reason is the lower percentage of export by SMEs. Thus, it is considered that the effects of Abenomics on SMEs are limited, and that other kinds of reflation measures for SMEs are needed.     

Peliosis of the spleen with intraperitoneal hemorrhage

We encountered a patient with steroidrelated peliosis of the spleen, a rare disease characterized by multiple blood-filled cavities in the splenic parenchyma, with spontaneous intraperitoneal hemorrhage. The ultrasonographic, computed tomographic, and angiographic images were compared with pathologic findings of the material obtained surgically.     

An extention of Samuelson's warrant valuation model and its application to Japanese data

It is well known among warrant traders that the Black & Scholes model cannot be directly used for warrant and convertible bond valuation. In this paper, a new warrant valuation model based on both the Samuelson and the Barone-Adesi & Whaley model is proposed, and the model is applied to convertible bond valuation. Our model is an extension of Samuelson's perpertual warrant model, whose parameters depend on stock price, volatility, term to maturity and interest rate.     

Coefficients of Asymptotic Expansions of SDE with Jumps

A new methodology for the problem of contingent claim valuation is proposed by Yoshida (Journal of Japanese Statistical Society, 22(2): 139–159, 1992, Stochastic Processes Application, 107(1): 53–81, 2003), and Takahashi and Kunitomo (2003). They used the asymptotic expansion theorem of Watanabe. Their method is applicable to various problems of contingent claim valuation. The author has obtained the asymptotic expansion formula for European call option of pure jump models (2008). In this paper, we determine the coefficients of the asymptotic expansion formula in order to test this formula numerically.     

Non-ideal Brownian motion,generalized Langevin Equation and its application to the security market

Brownian motion has been extensively applied in the field of mathematical finance in modeling the stochastic processes of returns on securities. In this paper basic and generalized Langevin Equations with memory are used to augment Brownian motion to capture the well stylized facts of the financial market that frictions and imperfect information exist. The operator method of Fourier-Laplace transform with an appropriate kernel (influence function) is used to circumvent the difficulty associated with solving a time dependent nonlinear differential Equation, and a practical computational method is proposed.From the Langevin Equation, autocorrelation of the return process and the deviation of the return distribution from an ideal Brownian motion are extracted. It is also proven that the time-dependent differential Equation has a unique solution and that it is much more generalized than a martingale Brownian motion functional.     

Assessing exchange rate dynamics of East Africa: fragmented or integrated?

This article investigates the dynamics of the currency markets of the East African Community, using forecast error variance decompositions from vector autoregressions. It shows that the exchange rates of Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda have been mainly driven by shocks to their own economies, while those of Burundi and Rwanda have been increasingly dictated by spillovers from the dollar and euro since the global financial crisis. Interactions within the region are limited, although there is some sign of elevation. This makes a clear contrast with European currency markets prior to the euro, where spillovers from the German mark dominated the markets.     

Exploring the causal relationship between hospital length of stay and re-hospitalization among Japanese AMI patients

We explore the causal relationship between hospital length of stay (LOS) and re-hospitalization for Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI) patients in Japan, where the average LOS is the longest among OECD countries. Using chart-based data, we address the endogeneity between LOS and re-hospitalization probability by using an exogenous variation based on Rokuyo (the six basic labels allocated to each day), which is found to be irrelevant to admission day but relevant to discharge day. While we do find a significant and positive association between LOS and re-hospitalization probability in the OLS estimation, we do not find a significant relationship once LOS is instrumented by Rokuyo in various instrumental variable estimations. This implies that additional stay that was induced owing to patient’s choice of preferred Rokuyo at discharge has no effect on re-hospitalization probability.     

On the Effect of Bank of Japan’s Outright Purchase on the JGB Yield Curve

This paper examines an impact of Bank of Japan (BOJ)’s outright purchase on the Japanese government bond (JGB) yield curve. Particularly, we develop a simple state space model, which incorporates new factors regarding the BOJ’s announcement for its outright purchase and the current market outstanding with standard level and spread factors. Based on the model with a filtering method, we also implement an empirical analysis with time series of the BOJ’s announcement records during 2014/10/22–2017/8/3 in the quantitative–qualitative easing period to estimate the sensitivities of interest rates against the changes in the market expectation for the net supply with each sector of JGB. We expect the current work provides a basis for considering quantitative effects on the term structure by BOJ’s policy changes such as termination or significant reduction of the BOJ’s outright purchase. For instance, our scenario analysis shows substantial increase in the 30 year yield with widening of 20–30 year spread.     

Implementation of HACCP in the risk management of medical waste generated from endoscopy

Medical waste poses health hazards, increases the environmental load and is costly to dispose of. To solve the above problems, we applied the hazard analysis and critical control point system (HACCP) to the management of wastes generated from endoscopy. First, the wastes in three hospitals were quantified. The number and weight of waste per case differed significantly among the three hospitals. Second, HACCP was applied to the endoscopy unit of Hospital X for a year. Wastes were segregated into five types and weighed. We found that 25.8% of ‘infectious waste’ was in fact ‘non‐infectious waste’ and ‘non‐infectious plastic waste’. The numbers of needles and needle caps did not correspond in two occasions (needle‐loss rate: 0.42%). Bacterial counts of the waste container were determined to investigate infection hazard. The counts were 0 cfu/cm² in all examinations except one occasion. The waste control manifests were reviewed, and all entries were consistent with the waste sent for disposal. In Hospital X where implementation of HACCP was attempted, reduction of environmental load and cutting of disposal cost are anticipated by changing the categories of waste segregation. The results suggest that hospital wastes should be managed more safely by HACCP.