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Navina Lucke 《Applied economics》2016,48(11):935-956
Using panel data for 29 source and 65 host countries in the period 1995–2009, we examine the determinants of bilateral FDI stocks, focusing on institutional and cultural factors. The results reveal that institutional and cultural distance is important and that FDI has a predominantly regional aspect. FDI to developing countries is positively affected by better institutions in the host country, while foreign investors prefer to invest in developed countries that are more corrupt and politically unstable compared to home. The results indicate that foreign investors prefer to invest in countries with less diverse societies than their own. 相似文献
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Climate change has been successfully represented as a security concern to such an extent that it is firmly established on the political agenda, even though the implementation of concrete policies is disputed. In this paper, we develop an analytical framework to better trace the process of securitising climate change and assess its normative implications. We establish a typology of six climate security discourses on the basis of two dimensions: three levels of referent objects and two logics of securitisation, one that corresponds to the original Copenhagen School framework and one where the threat takes the form of the invocation of risk. We find that there are significant differences in the relative importance of the resulting climate security discourses in Germany and the US, but that normatively, all discourses come with their own problems, which calls for more detailed scrutiny and assessment of climate security discourses and their political effects. 相似文献
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Prof. Dr. Bernd Lucke ist Direktor des Instituts für Wachstum und Konjunktur an der Universit?t Hamburg. 《Wirtschaftsdienst》2006,86(3):204-208
In der Januarausgabe des WIRTSCHAFTSDIENST ver?ffentlichten wir einen Aufsatz von Professor Fritz Helmedag über die „Abh?ngigkeit
der Besch?ftigung von Steuern, Budgetdefiziten und L?hnen“. Hierzu eine Replik von Professor Bernd Lucke und eine Erwiderung
von Professor Fritz Helmedag. 相似文献
4.
Jacopo Zotti Bernd Lucke 《The journal of international trade & economic development》2013,22(3):402-423
Standard trade theory claims that free trade is welfare-enhancing. We show that this is not the case if at least one sector of the economy is a Cournot oligopoly. In a simple small open economy with one oligopolistic and one competitive sector, welfare is an inverted U-shaped function of tariffs. Hence, an optimal tariff rate can be determined. The optimal rate depends on the number of firms in the oligopolistic sector. Below the optimal level, the competitive sector overproduces, i.e. oligopolistic good have a higher marginal effect on welfare. Increasing tariff rates stimulate the production of the oligopolistic sector by dampening imports. Under balanced trade, this reduces exports and production in the competitive sector, thus shifting resources to oligopolistic goods production. We also find that given certain levels of protection, perfect competition is not welfare maximal and, hence, not desirable. The finding explains why developing economies with imperfect competition are often reluctant to embrace trade liberalization and why, conversely, countries with high levels of external protection may be unenthusiastic about competition theory. 相似文献
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Conclusion The index of production enables us to analyse current developments in the countries considered in the cyclical context, the
information on real value added that is available for these branches of industry not being sufficiently up to date.
In 1999, the division of labour within industry and between industry and the services sector changed, both nationally and
in the international context. There was a rise in the nominal and the real ratios of intermediate input. Our conclusion is
that, at least in some branches, the structural changes between 1995 and 1999 were of greater importance in Germany than in
the other countries. In view of such structural changes the index of production cannot adequately reflect the dynamic of these
branches in an international comparison.
Different developments in the real ratios of intermediate input and divergent real developments in value added that are evident
in the statistics are partly the result of the different methods of price deflation used in the countries and branches considered.
The real value added gives a distorted picture of the development in output in these branches in the individual countries.
The development in the index of production probably overstates the dynamic of German industry compared with industry in the
other countries considered for the period on which this article is based, while understating the trend in value added.
It follows from this that the indicators designed to measure output in economic sectors are not enough to give a realistic
picture of the trend in output in branches of industry for international comparison. More information, e.g. the trends in
employment and investment, also needs to be taken into account. 相似文献
6.
The Barcelona Initiative is the central element of the EU’s Mediterranean policy. We study the implementation of this policy
with respect to Syria using a dynamic general equilibrium model with credit constraints and capital market imperfections.
Dismantling formal tariffs has only limited effects on the Syrian economy, while reducing non-tariff barriers produces by
far larger results. EU association promises broadly positive effects for factor incomes and sectoral outputs, with some temporarily
negative effects in agricultural sectors. Nevertheless, we find evidence of severe trade distorting effects making preferential
trade policy clearly welfare inferior to multilateral trade liberalization within the WTO framework.
相似文献
Bernd LuckeEmail: |
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8.
Dorothea Lucke 《Economic Bulletin》2003,40(7):229-238
Original Papers
Industrial Production in Germany: Recovery Only Gradual 相似文献9.
Bernd Lucke 《Empirical Economics》1994,19(4):555-573
In this paper I test the unit root hypothesis for US log GNP using the information available in income distribution data. The percentile data of an income distribution are shown to follow the same autoregressive pattern as does mean income. Under the null hypothesis of a unit root log GNP is cointegrated with the percentile data. A sequence of augmented HEGY-Tests, however, presents strong evidence against the unit root hypothesis for the distribution data and hence for log GNP. Using a full information estimation procedure for the percentiles under the alternative yields an estimate of the autoregressive coefficient which is in principle testable by an approximate Dickey-Hasza-Fuller test. The appropriate critical values are found by bootstrap methods. Again, inference is clearly unfavorable for the unit root hypothesis.An earlier version of this paper was presented at the ESEM 1993 in Uppsala. I thank Prof. Jürgen Wolters, seminar participants at the Free University of Berlin and an anonymous referee of this journal for valuable comments. The usual disclaimer applies. 相似文献
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