A scenario analysis of energy requirements and energy intensity for China's rapidly developing society in the year 2020

Both energy requirements and energy intensity are crucial to the development of a society. This article uses an input–output model to assess how social and economic changes will affect energy requirements and energy intensity for China's rapidly developing society. According to the proposed input–output model, six scenarios were sequentially developed by introducing major impact factors, such as technological advancement, population, income, and urbanization, in order to project China's energy requirements. Based on 1997 data, the impact of economic and social changes on China's energy requirements in 2010 and 2020 were quantitatively analyzed. The results show that technological advancement has the strongest impact on energy intensity. Based on these findings, some related conclusions and corresponding policy recommendations are proposed.     

打造第三代港口,提高综合竞争能力

随着世界经济的全球化、市场的国际化水平进一步加深,港口作为全球综合运输网络上的重要节点和国际物流链上的重要一环,其竞争也越来越激烈,厦门港应如何在这一竞争中巩固并提升自己的地位?本文认为应找出差距、重点打造第三代港口,实现跨越式发展,全面提升自己的综合竞争能力.