Impacts of an EC carbon/energy tax and deregulating thermal power supply on CO2, SO2 and NOx emissions

Emission of CO₂, SO₂ and NO_x are all closely linked to the burning of fossil fuels. Here we report on simulations done by linking a Sectoral European Energy Model (SEEM), covering energy demand in nine Western European countries, with the emission-transport-deposition model RAINS developed by IIASA. The study analyses emissions of CO₂, SO₂ and NO_x, deposition of sulphur and nitrogen and the extent of areas where the critical load for sulphur is exceeded in year 2000 under four different energy scenarios. Two different sets of future behavioural patterns for the thermal electric power production sector are considered. In one regime, called the plan-efficient regime, the sector is assumed to follow official plans with regard to investment in new capacity. In the other regime, called the cost-efficient regime, the thermal power sector is assumed to behave in a cost minimizing manner. The effects of the proposed EC carbon/energy tax are studied under both regimes, giving rise to altogether four scenarios.In both regimes the effect of the EC tax is to reduce emissions by between 6 and 10 per cent in year 2000 relative to the scenarios without the tax. A change of regime, from the regulated, plan-efficient regime to the market-based, cost-efficient regime, will, by itself, reduce emissions of CO₂ and NO_x by approximately 3 per cent, while SO₂ emissions are reduced by 13 per cent. The EC tax will reduce sulphur deposition by more than 5 per cent in the nine model countries under the plan-efficient regime. A change of regime further reduces the total deposition by 9 per cent. The area where depositions exceed the critical load is reduced by approximately 6 per cent in year 2000 by the tax in both regimes. Changing from the plan-efficient to the cost-efficient regime has a similar impact.Although the emission reductions due to the EC tax may seem modest, they are shown to have a sizeable effect on the technological abatement costs of reaching targets like those prescribed in the Sofia protocol on the stabilisation of NO_x emissions, and the Helsinki protocol on SO₂ emission reductions. This is part of what can be considered to be secondary benefits of the EC carbon/energy tax.     

Environmental quality indicators: Background,principles and examples from Norway

The need for a simple and general overview of the development in the state of the environment has led to work on environmental indicators in several countries and international organizations. Except for the basic common requirement of providing an overview, the works vary a great deal with regard to final aim, target groups, classification and, hence, choice of indicators. This paper gives an overview of the work carried out in the Central Bureau of Statistics of Norway within this field, with emphasis on the basic principles behind the choice of indicators. A hierarchical system of indicator sets is proposed, and examples of indicators are presented. Also, a brief overview of work carried out elsewhere is included.     

State support to small stores: A Nordic form of consumer policy

From the early 1970s, the Governments of Finland, Norway, and Sweden have shown considerable concern for the plight of rural consumers consequent on the closure of small stores in sparsely populated areas. In each country, special commissions were established to consider the consequences of retail concentration and legislation has been introduced to provide aid to small retail business in rural areas. The paper examines the background to this legislation and compares and contrasts the measures adopted in each of the three countries. While the policies attempt to improve the viability of rural small stores, it is argued that the measures are essentially a special type of consumer policy and that not only is there a need for more research into the effectiveness of the policies, but that perhaps the measures ought to be extended somewhat, particularly to protect the interests of consumers in urban areas.

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Staatliche Unterstützung des kleinen Einzelhandels: eine skandinavische Form von Verbraucherpolitik

Zusammenfassung Die Regierungen Finnlands, Norwegen und Schwedens befassen sich seit etwa zhen Jahren mit der Situation von Verbrauchern in dünn besiedelten ländlichen Gebieten, die sich durch das Verschwinden kleiner Ladengeschäfte verschlechtert. Es wurden Kommissionen zur Untersuchung der Auswirkungen der Konzentration im Einzelhandel gebildet und Gesetze zur Förderung des kleinen Einzelhandels in ländlichen Gebieten erlassen. Dieser Beitrag behandelt den Hintergrund dieser Entwicklung und vergleicht die in den drei Ländern angewendeten staatlichen Maßnahmen, die in ihrem Kern als eine spezielle Form von Verbraucherpolitik betrachtet werden.Der Hintergrund für solche Stützungsmaßnahmen ist gekennzeichnet durch strukturelle Veränderungen im Einzelhandel seit dem 2. Weltkrieg. Seit den 50er Jahren und verstärkt in den Jahren zwischen 1960 und 1973 ging die Zahl der traditionellen Gemischtwarenläden um bis zu 50% zurück. Die Konzentration hat dazu geführt, daß der Kolonialwarenhandel von drei bis vier Ladenketten bestimmt wird und viele ländliche Gemeinden gar keinen oder nur noch einen einzigen örtlichen Laden besitzen.Um dieser Entwicklung entgegenzuwirken, bieten alle drei Staaten Investitionszulagen für die Modernisierung und Vergrößerung von Ladengeschäften. Norwegen und Schweden gewährt darüber hinaus auch Zuschüsse zu den laufenden Kosten. Abbildung 1 (S. 200) gibt einen Überblick über die Unterschiede, die zwischen den drei Ländern bestehen, jeweils im Bereich der staatlichen Maßnahmen, der Voraussetzungen, an die die staatliche Unterstützung geknüpft sind, und der verwaltungstechnischen Abwicklung.Die Betrachtung der Auswirkungen der Unterstützungsprogramme ergibt, daß in Norwegen nahezu 50% der infragekommenden Geschäfte eine Unterstützung erhielten und das Ladensterben im Laufe der Jahre von jährlich etwa 650 auf jetzt etwa jährlich 300 verringert werden konnte. In Finnland wurden bis Ende 1977 109 Geschäfte unterstützt; außerdem richtete die Regierung 10 neue Läden ein und kaufte zusätzlich 113 mobile Verkaufsstellen. In Schweden bekamen in den ersten vier Jahren 97 Läden eine Unterstützung, durch die für 20 000 Verbraucher in ländlichen Gegenden und weitere 5000 Feriengäste die Möglichkeit notwendiger Einkäufe gesichert werden konnte.Der Beitrag plädiert für eine Erweiterung der bisherigen Maßnahmen, um auch die tieferen Probleme des kleinen Einzelhandels angehen zu können. Er stellt dabei die wichtige soziale und wirtschaftliche Rolle heraus, die der kleine Laden im ländlichen und im städtischen Bereich übernimmt. Insofern wird der skandinavischen Gesetzgebung Modellcharakter auch für andere moderne Volkswirtschaften zugesprochen.Der Beitrag schließt ab mit einigen Vorschlägen für künftige Forschung und stellt dabei vor allem heraus (a) die Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse der staatlichen Maßnahmen, (b) die Untersuchung der Reaktionen der Händler auf die Förderungsprogramme und der Auswirkungen auf die geförderten Geschäfte und (c) die Analyse der Einstellungen und des Verhaltens der Verbraucher gegenüber kleineren Geschäften, um zu ermitteln, ob diese Geschäfte den Ansprüchen und den Bedürfnissen der örtlichen Kundschaft tatsächlich besser entsprechen. Darüber hinaus richtet sich ein eher theoretisches Interesse auf die Eigenschaften, die eine Volkswirtschaft aufweisen sollte, wenn die Unterstützung des kleinen Einzelhandels zugleich ein erfolgreiches verbraucherpolitisches Instrument sein soll.

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Knut Ekhaugen is Head of Department for Economic Research, Norwegian Productivity Institute, Akersgt. 64, Oslo 1, Norway. Sigmund Grønmo is Research Director, Norwegian Fund for Market and Distribution Research, Fredensborgveien 24, Oslo 1, Norway; and Associate Professor of Sociology, University of Oslo, Blindern, Oslo 3, Norway. David Kirby is Senior Lecturer in Geography and Director of the Small Shops Research Unit at St. David's University College, University of Wales, Lampeter. Currently he is a Visiting Research Fellow at the Norwegian Fund for Market and Distribution Research, Oslo.     

The World Is Not Enough! Small Open Economies and Regional Dependence

In this paper, we explicitly introduce regional factors into a global dynamic factor model. We combine new open economy factor models (emphasizing global shocks) with the recent findings of regional importance in the business cycle synchronization literature. The analysis is applied to a large panel of domestic data for four small open economies. We find that global and regional shocks explain roughly 30 and 20 percent, respectively, of the business cycle variation in all countries. While global shocks have most impact on trade variables, regional shocks explain a relatively large share of the variation in cost variables.     

Does Improved Environmental Policy Enhance Economic Growth?

The environmental impacts on an economy is studied over time using endogenous growth theory. Externalities from the environment on production are central in the analysis, and we examine whether an optimal path realizes more rapid economic growth. The paper focuses mainly on developing countries, where production is largely influenced by the environmental quality. The result of the analysis indicates that the economic growth rate may not depend on the internalization of the environmental externality, but rather on the internalization of the human capital externality. The level of economic activity, however, generally seems to depend on the internalization of both externalities.     

Sequencing and the Adding-up Property in Contingent Valuation of Endangered Species: Are Contingent Non-Use Values Economic Values?

This paper presents tests of the theoretical validity of the contingent valuation (CV) method. The validity of CV is especially a concern when involving environmental goods with a predominant non-use value. One test of theoretical validity is the adding-up property that implies that a specific good should be equally valued irrespectively of it is being valued directly or built-up sequentially. In this CV study four independent sub-samples stated willingness to pay for the same composite good, or package, using different sequences. One sub-sample valued the composite good directly, while two sub-samples faced built-up sequences valuing first subsets of this composite good. A fourth sub-sample valued the composite good from a dividing-out approach, facing first the valuation of a larger multi-package. Theoretically expected sequencing effects were observed; the subset goods obtained higher values earlier in a sequence, and the dividing-out approach decreased the stated value for the composite good. Most importantly, these CV data did pass the tests of the adding-up property.     

Visitors’ acceptance of negative ecological impacts in national parks: comparing the explanatory power of psychographic scales in a Norwegian mountain setting

Even in protected areas, it is inevitable that any human use will produce some impact on natural resources. This study identifies visitors’ tolerance of potential negative ecological impacts from tourism activities and facilities in a Norwegian national park context, based on park visitors’ expressed degree of acceptance of negative effects on particular species of wildlife (wild reindeer and raptors) and on vegetation. Attitudes were analysed using psychographic scales, reflecting respondents’ nature orientations, their specific facility desires, their preferences in a wilderness setting and their concerns about human interaction with the natural environment. Fourteen research hypotheses were tested. Findings demonstrated that the psychographic scales explained more variation in attitudes than most social background and trip characteristics. Higher levels of education among visitors were strongly associated with increased ecological concern; age and gender were not. There was generally strong ecological awareness and eco-centrism among park visitors in general, with a small proportion of wilderness purists. Better trail conditions, signposting and interpretation were sought. But park visitors were also found to possess a complex mixture of needs and drivers. The study found significant potential for strategic alliances between tourism and conservation interests, and key value issues for park governance systems.     

Unemployment duration and unemployment insurance: a comparative analysis based on Scandinavian micro data

Based on pooled register data from Norway and Sweden, we findthat differences in unemployment duration patterns reflect dissimilaritiesin unemployment insurance (UI) systems in a way that convincinglyestablishes the link between economic incentives and job searchbehaviour. Specifically, UI benefits are relatively more generousfor low-income workers in Sweden than in Norway, leading torelatively longer unemployment spells for low-income workersin Sweden. Based on the between-countries variation in replacementratios, we find that the elasticity of the outflow rate frominsured unemployment with respect to the replacement ratio isapproximately one in Norway and 0.5 in Sweden.     

Output‐based rebating of carbon taxes in a neighbour's backyard: Competitiveness,leakage and welfare

We investigate how, in an open economy, carbon taxes combined with output‐based rebating (OBR) perform in interaction with the carbon policies of a large neighbouring trading partner. Analytical results suggest that, whether the purpose of the OBR policy is to compensate firms for carbon tax burdens or to maximize welfare (accounting for global emission reductions), the OBR rate should be positive in policy‐relevant cases. Numerical simulations for Canada, with the US as the neighbouring trading partner, indicate that the impact of US policies on the OBR rate will depend crucially on the purpose of the Canadian OBR policies. If, for a given US carbon policy, Canada's aim is to restore the competitiveness of domestic emission‐intensive and trade‐exposed (EITE) firms to the same level as before the introduction of its own carbon taxation, we find that the necessary domestic OBR rates will be insensitive to the foreign carbon policies. However, if not only the Canadian carbon tax but also an equally high US tax is introduced, compensatory Canadian OBR rates will be up to 50% lower, depending on the sector and on US OBR policy. If the policy objective is to increase economy‐wide allocative efficiency (welfare) of Canadian policies by accounting for carbon leakage, the US policies will have only a minor downward pressure on desirable OBR rates in Canada. Practical choices of OBR rates hardly affect overall domestic economic performance; thus, output‐based rebating qualifies as an instrument for compensating EITE industries without a large sacrifice in terms of economy‐wide allocative efficiency.     

A taxonomy of standards in the service sector: Theoretical discussion and empirical test

Based on the peculiarities of services the different typologies of service standards are discussed. Against this background, a survey among European service companies addressed the question of in which service-related categories formal and informal standards are implemented. In total 364 European service companies responded to the on-line survey. Relying on the assessment of the importance of the various service-related standardisation aspects, it was possible to identify a taxonomy of service standards containing five clusters of service standards ‘Service Management’, ‘Service Employee’, ‘Service Delivery’, ‘Customer Interaction’, and ‘Data Flows and Security’, which correspond very closely to the ex ante applied typology derived from the literature.