Why will Trump lose the trade war?

ABSTRACT

The escalating U.S.–China trade conflicts have increasingly shadowed the outlook of the world economy. The Trump administration aims to achieve its strategic goals including reducing current account deficits, promoting the U.S. manufacturing sector, and curbing Chinese high-tech industries by waging the trade war against China. This paper argues that the current account deficits and the declining manufacturing sector in the U.S. are mainly driven by its internal structural factors, such as low saving rates, high labor costs, and rising service sector, rather than by the import competition from China. Moreover, the trade war further deteriorates the U.S. current account deficits and erode its comparative advantage, and it forces China to invest more in technological innovation and human capital, and thus promote its progress in high-tech industries. Thus, the U.S. will not be able to achieve its strategical goals and eventually lose the trade war.     

你“管”好你的上司了吗？

一个人的工作环境包括软环境与硬环境,它主要是指工作范围内的人际关系、工作条件、政策规定、组织纪律等。工作环境有七项因素,即直接上司、更上一级领导、组织、同事、下属、工作条件、提高条件。这七项因素中前五项是精神因素,即软环境,后两项是物质因素,即硬环境。硬环境受到很多客观条件的限制,但软环境却是一个互动的过程,你播种的是一个快乐的工作环境,那你收获的就是一个快乐的工作环境,反之,如果你播种的是个消极的工作环境,那你收获的同样是一个消极的工作环境。软环境和职业经理人的关系,就好比是气候与树木的关系。气候风调雨顺…     

对银行营业网点存款盈亏的分析

该通过对银行某一时期的经营成果进行分析，建立营业网点存款盈亏的计算模式，以此考核营业网点的经营管理水平。     

Fiscal decentralization, revenue and expenditure assignments, and growth in China

Theory suggests that a close match between revenue and expenditure assignments at sub-national levels benefits allocative efficiency, and hence economic growth. That is, a convergence of revenue and expenditure assignments at sub-national levels of government should, according to the theory, be positively associated with a higher growth rate. In the case of China, this paper shows, divergence, rather than convergence, in revenue and expenditures at the sub-national level of government is associated with higher rates of growth. A panel dataset for 30 provinces in China is used to examine the relationship between fiscal decentralization and economic growth over two phases of fiscal decentralization in China: (1) 1979–1993 under the fiscal contract system, and (2) 1994–1999 under the tax assignment system. The seeming contradiction between the theory and evidence in the China case is reconciled by taking into account the institutional arrangements that prevailed during the two phases of fiscal decentralization, in particular the inconsistency between the assumptions of the theory of fiscal decentralization and the institutional reality of China.     

Discussion of “The Role of Expectations in Explaining the Cross-Section of Stock Returns”

This paper discusses Copeland et al. (2004), which empirically investigates the role of changes in expectations in explaining contemporaneous cross-sectional stock returns. Because the main results in this study are largely confirmatory of results reported in prior literature, my discussion emphasizes conceptual issues in the econometric specification of earnings–return relations. I derive three versions of return specifications from popular valuation models based on residual earnings, free cash flows, or earnings growth, and contrast them with that adopted by Copeland et al. (2004). This analysis suggests that firmer grounding in theory would help the paper in empirical specifications as well as interpretations of results.     

润滑情报站

日本石油公司拟大幅 增加在亚洲和中国的 润滑油销量 “中国润滑油网”消息,日本石油公司表示,该公司计划到2005年将在中国和亚洲其他国家的汽车用润滑油的批发销售量翻一番。最近几年,汽车数量的快速增长,使中国对汽车用高质量润滑油的需求快速增长。日本石油公司计划到2005年,把在中国的润滑油销售量从2001年的400千升提高到1000千升。同时,公司还计划,一旦中国在2004年年底向外国公司开放零售石油市场,日本石油公司将进入这一市场目前,该公司正对中国的零售石油市场进行调查研究。 在亚洲其他地方,日本石油公     

农村老人的幸福生活

"没想到俺这老头子也涨'工资'了,这日子真是越过越好".东营市辛店街道茶坡村84岁的农民王道兴高兴地领取了60元的"养老月薪".如今,在辛店街道像王道兴这样享受养老补贴的老人达4821人.     

西安市政府开发农村人力资源的举措

西安市农村人力资源总体素质偏低是制约西安县域经济快速发展的原因之一,要变人口包袱为人力资本,西安市政府可采取如下举措:转变观念,提高对农村人力资源开发重要性和必要性的认识;建立健全农村人力资源开发的政策法规;发展各类教育及培训;多渠道吸引县域外的人力资源。     

从税收电子技术应用看政府上网问题及对策

政府上网不仅是新的技术工具的获得和经营模式的改变,更重要的是政府要用信息技术向社会提供更有效的服务.税收信息化即是电子技术在税收工作中的具体应用.     

优惠性原产地规则的效应分析--兼论世界贸易组织统一优惠性原产地规则的必要性

在国际贸易日趋自由化的背景下，原产地规则尤其是优惠性原产地规则却日渐被用作非关税贸易保护措施。乌拉圭回合制定的《原产地规则协议》对非优惠性原产地规则做出了统一规定，但未能对优惠性原产地规则制订出多边规则。本文分析优惠性原产地规则的保护机制及其效应，指出WTO统一优惠性原产地规则的必要性。