New Machine Learning Ensemble for Flood Susceptibility Estimation

Water Resources Management - Floods are among the most severe natural hazard phenomena that affect people around the world. Due to this fact, the identification of zones highly susceptible to...     

Flood Susceptibility Assessment by Using Bivariate Statistics and Machine Learning Models - A Useful Tool for Flood Risk Management

In Romania, as in the rest of the world, the flood frequency has increased considerably. Prahova river basin is among the most exposed catchments of the country to flood risk. It also represents the area of the present study for which the identification of surfaces with high susceptibility to flood phenomena was attempted by applying 2 hybrid models (adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system and fuzzy support vector machine hybrid) and 2 bivariate statistical models (certainty factor and statistical index). The computation of Flood Potential Index (FPI) was possible by considering a number of 10 flood conditioning factors together with a number of 158 flood pixels and 158 non-flood pixels. Generally, the high and very high flood potential appears on around 25% of the upper and middle basin of Prahova river. The validation of the results was made through the ROC Curve model. One of the novelties of this research is related to the application of Fuzzy Support Vector Machine ensemble for the first time in a study concerning the evaluation of the susceptibility to a certain natural hazard.

     

Quadratic Discriminant Analysis Based Ensemble Machine Learning Models for Groundwater Potential Modeling and Mapping

In this study, the AdaBoost, MultiBoost and RealAdaBoost methods were combined with the Quadratic Discriminant Analysis method to develop three new GIS-based Machine Learning ensemble models, i.e., ABQDA, MBQDA, and RABQDA for groundwater potential mapping in the Dak Nong Province, Vietnam. In total, 227 groundwater wells and 12 conditioning factors (infiltration, rainfall, river density, topographic wetness index, sediment transport index, stream power index, elevation, aspect, curvature, slope, soil, and land use) were used for this study. Performance of the models was evaluated using the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve AUC (AUC) and several other performance metrics. The results showed that the ABQDA model that achieved AUC?=?0.741 was superior to the other models in producing an accurate map of groundwater potential for the Dak Nong Province. The models and potential maps produced here can help policymakers and water resources managers to preserve an optimal exploit from these vital resources.

     

Potential of Hybrid Data-Intelligence Algorithms for Multi-Station Modelling of Rainfall

Water Resources Management - One of the most challenging tasks in rainfall prediction is designing a reliable computational methodology owing the random and stochastic characteristics of...