严监管背景下农信社合规风险管理体系建设

2018年,银行业监管环境进一步趋严,不但强调对银行的监管,更提出了对监管人员职责的监管,这种严格的外部监管环境对农信社的合规风险管理带来了极大的挑战。农信社合规风险管理体系的建设和完善已势不容缓。论文提出了农信社合规风险管理体系建设要从战略定位、文化渗透、防线搭建、专业专职化、考核和追究六个维度入手,推进合规风险管理长效机制的建设。     

Information Entropy-Based Housing Spatiotemporal Dependence

The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics - In the existing housing literature, there has been no academic consensus on how to combine the spatial dependence and the temporal dependence...     

Further Mining the Predictability of Moving Averages: Evidence from the US Stock Market

Most studies on the predictability of moving average (MA) technical analysis use the discrete (buy/sell) trading recommendations. However, it is possibly incomplete or unreliable to explore the predictability of MA by only employing its generated trading signals. To further explore the forecastability of MA, we study its measurable impact on the stock market returns by using a conventional predictive regression framework. Our empirical study on the US stock market with respect to more detailed price information finds, (i) that the proposed predictor, MADP (MA based on daily prices) shows significant predictability in‐ and out‐of‐sample, and significantly outperforms the historical average (HA) benchmark as well as the MA based on monthly prices, (ii) that the predictability of MADP centers on the short‐term lags (within the most recent 10 days) and disappears when lags are beyond 20 days, and (iii) that the economic evaluation of the portfolios based on trading strategies confirms the superior performance of MADP with short‐term lags against the benchmark even though considering transaction costs.     

Fiscal decentralization, revenue and expenditure assignments, and growth in China

Theory suggests that a close match between revenue and expenditure assignments at sub-national levels benefits allocative efficiency, and hence economic growth. That is, a convergence of revenue and expenditure assignments at sub-national levels of government should, according to the theory, be positively associated with a higher growth rate. In the case of China, this paper shows, divergence, rather than convergence, in revenue and expenditures at the sub-national level of government is associated with higher rates of growth. A panel dataset for 30 provinces in China is used to examine the relationship between fiscal decentralization and economic growth over two phases of fiscal decentralization in China: (1) 1979–1993 under the fiscal contract system, and (2) 1994–1999 under the tax assignment system. The seeming contradiction between the theory and evidence in the China case is reconciled by taking into account the institutional arrangements that prevailed during the two phases of fiscal decentralization, in particular the inconsistency between the assumptions of the theory of fiscal decentralization and the institutional reality of China.     

苏南、苏中和苏北对外开放度与经济增长关系的实证分析

一个国家或地区的经济开放程度涉及很多方面，如贸易国际化、资本国际化、劳动力跨国流动、技术引进和输出等。基于操作上简便易行、指标上具有可比性和连续性、资料易于搜集和量化等原则，本文拟选择出口额、实际利用外商直接投资额与GDP建立对外开放度这一指标。通常情况下，有些学者还会考虑国际投资开放度这个指标，但是．在计划计算苏南、苏中及苏北的国际投资开放度这一指标时发现：一方面由于统计资料的限制．另一方面由于苏南、苏中及苏北的对外投资数额很小，     

企业内部会计控制工作初探

阐述了成熟市场经济国家内部会计控制的发展过程,分析了我国企业内部会计控制存在的问题,提出了加快发展我国企业内部会计控制的6条对策。     

试论对西方道德文化遗产的批判和继承

西方道德文化遗产的精华与糟粕糅合在一起,瑕瑜互见,良莠混杂.批判地继承西方道德文化遗产,不仅是人的全面发展、社会进步的要求,更是我国社会主义市场经济的客观要求.在构建社会主义道德规范体系时,应正确对待西方道德文化遗产,取其精华,去其糟粕,并促使其向现代转换.     

我国科技奖励评审制度的法律思考

我国科技奖励制度的法律基础是宪法规定的,科技活动的广泛性、专业性、复杂性要求科技奖励的评审制度在内容上应体现高度的科学性、公正性和权威性,在形式上应集中突显制度化、规范化和程序化.我国现行科技奖励评审制度及立法现状还存在一些问题,完善我国科技奖励评审制度应建立健全法律保障体系,评审过程必须体现社会公认的道德观念和法律规范,对现行的评审体系及评审方法进行改革.