Living to 100 and beyond--implications of longer life spans

The challenge of longer life spans will center on the problem of allocating individual, family and social resources most effectively. To create a context for understanding the significance of measuring and forecasting mortality trends, this article addresses concerns about the implications of increasing longevity to very high ages for families, businesses and society as a whole.     

Some policy implications of bank participation in small business administration lending programs

This study examines the relationship of bank participation in SBA guaranteed lending programs to bank characteristics and market demographic characteristics. Band SBA lending is related to per capita income in the bank's market area, membership in a bank holding company, the loan-deposit ratio of the bank, the percent business loans of the bank, and the total assets of the bank. In markets of 50,000 or less, greater SBA lending is associated with lower per capita income levels. Accordingly, it appears that the economic development function of bank SBA lending is linked to a greater extent with market areas of less than 50,000.     

Stock or cash? The trade-offs for buyers and sellers in mergers and acquisitions

In 1988, less than 2% of large deals were paid for entirely in stock; by 1998, that number had risen to 50%. The shift has profound ramifications for shareholders of both the acquiring and acquired companies. In this article, the authors provide a framework and two simple tools to guide boards of both companies through the issues they need to consider when making decisions about how to pay for--and whether to accept--a deal. First an acquirer has to decide whether to finance the deal using stock or pay cash. Second, if the acquirer decides to issue stock, it then must decide whether to offer a fixed value of shares or a fixed number of them. Offering cash places all the potential risks and rewards with the acquirer--and sends a strong signal to the markets that it has confidence in the value not only of the deal but in its own stock. By issuing shares, however, an acquirer in essence offers to share the newly merged company with the stockholders of the acquired company--a signal the market often interprets as a lack of confidence in the value of the acquirer's stock. Offering a fixed number of shares reinforces that impression because it requires the selling stockholders to share the risk that the value of the acquirer's stock will decline before the deal goes through. Offering a fixed value of shares sends a more confident signal to the markets, as the acquirer assumes all of that risk. The choice between cash and stock should never be made without full and careful consideration of the potential consequences. The all-too-frequent disappointing returns from stock transactions underscore how important the method of payment truly is.     

The United States as a Coastal Nation

US economic activity is overwhelmingly concentrated at its ocean and Great Lakes coasts, reflecting a large contribution from coastal proximity to productivity and quality of life. Extensively controlling for correlated natural attributes and initial conditions decisively rejects that the coastal concentration of economic activity is spurious or just derives from historical forces long since dissipated. Measuring proximity based on coastal attributes that contribute to either productivity or quality of life, but not to both, suggests that the coastal concentration derives primarily from a productivity effect but also, increasingly, from a quality of life effect.     

The staying power of the public corporation

Has the publicly held corporation out-lived its usefulness? In HBR's September-October 1989 issue, Michael C. Jensen of the Harvard Business School said "yes." The institutional shortcomings of the public corporation are so grave, he argued, that it must be considered fatally flawed. He described the emergence of a new form of enterprise-the LBO Association-that releases much of the untapped value and corrects many of the inefficiencies of large public companies. Alfred Rappaport, a professor and consultant who advises large public companies, joins the debate with a rebuttal to Jensen. Rappaport shares many of Jensen's criticisms of current strategic and financial practices among public companies. But he does not believe leveraged buyouts and other going-private transactions can replace the public corporation. This is so, he asserts, for two reasons: LBOs have a limited demand and a limited life. Rappaport argues that the publicly held corporation is worth saving. It is inherently flexible and self-renewing-properties that are fundamental to stability and progress in a market-driven economy and that transitory organizations like LBOs cannot replicate. Rappaport advances a four-point program to overhaul strategic planning, compensation, and governance to maximize shareholder value in public companies: 1. Find the highest valued use for all assets. 2. Limit investment to opportunities with credible potential to create value. 3. Return cash to shareholders when such value-creating investments are not available. 4. Establish incentives for managers and employees to focus on the critical business drivers that create value.     

High-age implications of postretirement risks

The retirement world of the future is challenging because of the decline in defined benefit plans, low savings rates in the United States, increased longevity and the failure of many people to effectively plan for retirement. Drawing on a variety of studies and public opinion surveys, the authors of this article explain why a system that relies too much on people providing for themselves will have segments of the population who have inadequate retirement incomes due to a number of gaps, which pose the most risk at advanced ages. These gaps can occur because of difficulties in managing postretirement risk, acquiring inadequate savings in the first place and problematic public perceptions about retirement income risks.     

A productivity model of city crowdedness

Population density varies widely across US cities. A simple, static general equilibrium model suggests that moderate-sized differences in cities' total factor productivity can account for such variation. Nevertheless, the productivity required to sustain above-average population densities considerably exceeds estimates of the increase in productivity caused by such high density. In contrast, increasing returns to scale may be able to sustain multiple equilibria at below-average population densities.