INTERNATIONAL RESERVE MANAGEMENT: A DRIFT‐SWITCHING REFLECTED JUMP‐DIFFUSION MODEL

We study the cost of shocks, that is, jump risk, with respect to reserve management when the reserve process is formulated as a drift‐switching jump diffusion with a reflecting barrier at 0. Inspired by the Brownian drift switching model, our model results in a more realistic dynamic behavior of international reserves than the buffer stock model. The new model can capture both the jump behavior in reserve dynamics and the leptokurtic feature of the increment distribution which has a higher peak and two asymmetric heavier tails than the normal distribution. Through the selection of an initial distribution that reflects certain steady state behaviors, the reserve process becomes a regenerative process. This selection enables us to derive a closed‐form expression for the total expected discounted cost of managing reserves, thus helping us to numerically find management strategies that minimize costs. The numerical results show that shocks at the reserve level have a significant effect on reserve management strategies and that model misspecification can result in nonnegligible additional costs.     

红色旅游热的冷思考

由于政府的政策扶持,红色旅游产品的开发在短时间内的确为部分旅游目的地带来了十分可观的经济效益和社会效益,成为众多目的地竞相追捧的开发宠儿.然而,热潮现象的背后,存在着不少令人担心的隐忧.从当前的红色旅游热潮现象谈起,在客观地剖析了红色旅游发展中的一些不良现象的基础上,就如何规避负面效应,并进一步维护红色旅游的健康、可持续发展等问题提出了一些具体的对策.     

我国移动电子商务发展中的问题及对策思考

近年来移动电子商务在我国发展非常迅速,但也暴露出很多问题,如人才匮乏、移动通信技术限制、业务经营不规范、企业信息化水平低等.对此,政府应该加紧人才培养,构筑健全的移动电子商务人才体系;加快移动网络设备和终端设备的升级换代;完善和出台相关的法律制度,规范移动业务市场;加快企业的信息化进程,为移动电子商务的进一步发展,创造良好的环境.     

An exceptional development pattern

This paper investigates India's exceptional development pattern, specifically the major importance of information technology services (ITS), and compares it with China's development pattern. Both countries want to develop capabilities for carrying out the innovation of technologies that compete at the state-of-the-art in the world market. The paper posits that technological/economic success in the contemporary world market requires the ability to innovate complex technologies and complex technology-related services. The share of trade represented by complex technologies is compared with the “high-tech” share. The trading patterns of the two countries are compared using United Nations data. Two case studies of Indian ITS companies are then compared with two case studies of Chinese manufacturing companies. Historical and cultural differences appear to explain some of the differences in the development patterns of the companies located in the two countries.     

对陕西省农村社会养老保险供求主体的分析与政府作用研究

陕西是西部的农业大省,农村社会养老保险制度发展缓慢,农村养老保险市场需要寻找供需双方的均衡点,政府作为制度的提供者和政策的制定者,必须在农村社会养老保险制度建立和运营中明确思路,发挥主导作用,以保证陕西省农村养老保险健康、有序地发展。     

经管类高职院校产学研结合的途径探析

产学研结合是高等职业教育发展的必然.进行产学研结合对培养应用型人才、提高教师素质和完善专业建设都有着重要意义.经管类高职院校可以从办学模式、教学活动、服务咨询、参与企业生产经营等方面开展产学研结合工作.     

珠江三角洲"南海模式":中小企业发展特征与启示

被社会各界誉为“南海模式”的广东省南海市经济发展的经验，其实质就是中小企业快速发展和私营经济不断壮大的区域经济发展模式。近年来，我国的许多地方政府在发展中小企业过程中都面临技术创新、产业升级和行业竞争力提升等迫切性问题。因此，对南海市中小企业发展现状、发展动因与优势和促进中小企业持续发展的措施等进行深入地研究，具有重要的理论价值和现实指导意义。     

Regulation Fair Disclosure and Earnings Information: Market, Analyst, and Corporate Responses

With the adoption of Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD), market behavior around earnings releases displays no significant change in return volatility (after controlling for decimalization of stock trading) but significant increases in trading volume due to difference in opinion. Analyst forecast dispersion increases, and increases in other measures of disagreement and difference of opinion suggest greater difficulty in forming forecasts beyond the current quarter. Corporations increase the quantity of voluntary disclosures, but only for current quarter earnings. Thus, Reg FD seems to increase the quantity of information available to the public while imposing greater demands on investment professionals.     

预防液化石油气储罐应力腐蚀的初探

液化石油气储罐在工业和人民生活中有着广泛的应用,探讨液化石油气中所含H2S腐蚀介质对储罐的应力腐蚀及预防措施显得非常重要。     

构筑社区平台:城市反贫困的新思路

20世纪90年代以来，中国社会的贫困问题发生了重大变化，在政府实施农村反贫困政策取得很大成绩、农村贫困人口进一步减小的同时，城市的贫困现象却日益严重，并在城市社会中引发了诸多经济、社会矛盾，从而对中国的社会稳定和社会发展产生了极为深刻的影响。