Allocating and taxing rights to state-owned minerals

Is Indonesia using the most effective possible strategies to derive revenue from its mineral resources? Auctions and work program bidding are the main ways of allocating mineral leases. In addition to the company taxes applied to all companies, governments can raise revenue from minerals owned by the state through auctions, royalties and rent taxes paid by private firms, and through dividends from state-owned firms. Indonesia uses work program bidding to allocate leases, and its production-sharing contracts are roughly equivalent to a rent tax at a high rate. This paper considers these options for raising revenues from mineral resources. It argues that efficiency and government revenue would both be increased if Indonesia relaxed direct controls on the operations of mining companies, and allocated leases by means of auctions, combined with a much lower rate of rent tax or, better still, a royalty.     

Trade Reform in Indonesia, 1987–95

This paper quantifies Indonesian trade liberalisation between 1987 and 1995 as measured by changes in real effective rates of protection (RERP), i e effective rates of protection corrected for trade policy-induced changes in wages. The RERP for manufacturing, including oil refining, fell from 27% in 1987 to 11% in 1995, for manufacturing, excluding oil refining, the fall was from 59% to 16%, and for agriculture from 9% to 4% The standard deviation of RERPs for all tradeable sectors fell from 42 percentage points to 26; and for manufacturing, excluding oil refining, from 102 percentage points to 39.     

Indonesian Monetary Policy During the 1997–98 Crisis: A Monetarist Perspective

This paper defends the IMF's strategy of targeting base money (M0) in 1997–98 against the criticism by Grenville (2000) that it was destined to fail because M0 is mainly demand determined and the demand for it was increased by a large and unpredictable amount by the banking panic. Grenville contends that Indonesian monetary policy should have aimed at domestic price stability. It is argued here that the growth of M0 far exceeded what could be justified by last resort lending to accommodate the banking panic, and that rapid inflation could only have been avoided by preventing most of the expansion of the public's cash holding that actually occurred. Achieving a modest target for domestic inflation would not therefore have been very different in practice from setting tight limits on the growth of M0. In contrast, both these policies would have been very different from the loss of control over M0 that actually occurred.     

Anti-Poverty Programs in Indonesia

Between 1994/95 and 1997/98, Indonesia's spending on anti-poverty programs grew from 0.1% to 0.3% of GDP. The introduction of the 'social safety net' raised anti-poverty spending to 1.4% of GDP in 1998/99 and changed its main focus from job creation schemes, financed mainly by loans and grants to small firms and community groups, to in-kind subsidies for rice, public health care, scholarships for children in poor families and grants to schools in poorareas. The most accurately targeted program was health care, which covered twice as many people in the two poorest deciles as in the remaining eight. For most other programs, this targeting ratio was only about 1.5. We argue that the education and health care programs were the most successful, and doubt that the rice subsidy, job creation and loans schemes were worthwhile.     

Preference revelation and monopsony

(1) Johnson demonstrated the formal equivalence between the free-rider problem and monopsony. (2) Vickrey's method for eliminating the inefficiencies resulting from monopsony (monopoly) works by converting simple monopsonists (monopolists) into perfectly discriminating monopsonists (monopolists). (3) We show that three recently proposed solutions to the free-rider problem have the same rationale, i.e. they use ‘Clarke taxes’ to convert Johnson's simple monopsonists into perfectly discriminating monopsonists. The three mechanisms are those of: (i) Clarke and Groves; (ii) Groves and Ledyard; and (iii) Arrow. The relationships between these mechanisms, and between each of them and monopsony, are analyzed diagrammatically.     

A derivation of the IS-LM model from explicit optimizing behavior

A general equilibrium analysis which closely resembles the ad hoc IS-LM model of traditional macroeconomics is derived from explicit optimizing behavior in an overlapping generations model in which individuals have finite lives and generations are not linked by the bequest motive. Therefore tax finance and bond finance are not equivalent, and the conventional analysis of open-market operations, and bond-financed changes in government spending and in current taxes require the changes in expected future taxes to be fully specified. These fully specified policy changes are analyzed under rational expectations.     

Post-crisis monetary and exchange rate policies in Indonesia,Malaysia and Thailands

This paper surveys the post-crisis monetary and exchange rate policies of Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia. Malaysia has pegged the ringgit while Indonesia and Thailand have adopted heavily managed exchange rates. Under their IMF programs, Thailand and Indonesia set base money targets, but Thailand has moved, and Indonesia is now moving, to inflation targeting, using interest rates as the short-term instrument. Malaysia also sets interest rates. The ability of the three central banks to set interest rates and also pursue an exchange rate target with an interest rate target has been bolstered by restrictions on the internationalisation of the domestic currency. The three central banks have also had to sterilise the monetary effects of their foreign exchange interventions. It is argued that inflation targeting is now a good policy choice, but that a more freely floating exchange rate would be better than sterilisation of balance of payments surpluses or deficits.     

广州城市腹地划分及变化研究

选取衡量城市实力的四类指标,用聚类分析方法,确定与广州处于同一级别的中心地城市;用主成分分析法提取影响主因子,采用影响力指数计算2004年广州腹地的断裂点,并结合流态分析,将广州城市腹地划分为包括广东、广西、湖南、云南、贵州、四川、海南在内的直接腹地以及包括重庆、江西、福建和湖北在内的竞争腹地.其范围与泛珠江三角洲的省区基本相当.然后用同样方法计算广州1985、1994年的断裂点,比较改革开放近20年来广州城市腹地的变化,分析了变化的原因;最后,探讨了未来广州腹地拓展的策略,并认为推进泛珠江三角洲一体化建设对拓展广州腹地具有重要意义.