Is bank staff interaction associated with customer saving behavior in banks?

Major changes are underway in the U.S. retail banking sector toward heavy investments in technology and fewer in personnel. Using the 2017 survey of household economics and decision‐making (SHED) (n = 11,359), we examine the relationship between saving behavior related to emergency, long‐term and periodic expenses and personal, technological, and hybrid bank account access methods. Binary logistic regression models were used to estimate the odds of reporting various saving behaviors in relation to various banking access methods. Findings suggest that the personal access method is positively associated with savings behavior for periodic expenses for the general population, and negatively associated with emergency savings in people with lower education attainment. Technology is associated with all types of saving behavior, while the hybrid access method is associated only with saving for periodic expenses. As investments in self‐service technology increase, the importance of access methods to savings behavior must be considered.     

央行沟通与通货膨胀预期

通过合理政策有效引导通货膨胀预期对当前中国经济具有重要现实意义.本文用自回归分布滞后模型和EGARCH模型捕捉央行沟通对通胀预期及其波动的影响.实证结果表明:央行沟通传递的货币政策信息被市场有效捕捉和解读,实现了通胀预期管理目的,增加沟通频率能有效降低通胀预期波动;但央行的"言行偏离"加剧了短期通胀预期波动,降低了央行沟通和货币政策操作的实际效果;通胀预期存在分布厚尾性和右偏斜,市场出现极端预期的概率较大,且更倾向于预期通胀上升,通胀预期波动的群聚特性表明其具有阶段性自我强化特征.研究结论为央行沟通的有效性提供了实证支撑,揭示出的通胀预期分布特征对提高央行预期管理措施的针对性具有参考价值.     

Abuse of Market Dominance Under China’s Anti-Monopoly Law: The Case of Tetra Pak

Review of Industrial Organization - In this paper, we analyze a recent antitrust case of abuse of dominance that was decided by a Chinese administrative enforcement agency under China’s...     

Foreign direct investment subsidy in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous firms

This study analyzes the macroeconomic impacts of subsidies to attract multinational corporations when firms are determining whether to enter or how to serve foreign markets. We show that a small FDI subsidy scheme induces consumption gains and delivers short‐term welfare improvement for the FDI host country if firms differ in productivity. However, the subsidy generates a new problem and results in the wealth reallocation effect, leading to welfare deterioration for the host country in the long run. Moreover, we find that a subsidy program induces a welfare improvement for the host country if it is offered to all domestic producers instead of foreign producers only in the host country.     

目的国服务贸易限制政策是否阻碍了中国企业出口规模扩张?

根据经合组织统计的各国服务贸易限制政策条款,先对具体政策条款赋值,接下来加权得到衡量服务贸易限制的STRI指标,最终检验目的 国服务贸易限制对中国企业出口规模的影响.研究发现:在控制引力模型的其他变量以及企业-产品层面的特征变量后,目的 国服务贸易限制政策显著阻碍了中国企业出口规模扩张,且阻碍作用对一般贸易企业、大中型企业更明显.对影响机制而言,服务贸易限制政策造成的固定成本阻碍了企业出口的扩展边际,而引起的可变成本阻碍了企业出口的集约边际,其中,对集约边际的阻碍作用更大;进一步对集约边际分解发现,目的 国服务贸易限制政策降低了企业出口产品数量,但提高了企业出口产品价格.另外,拓展研究发现,目的 国数字化服务贸易开放能够缓解服务贸易限制政策对企业出口的阻碍作用.     

Pricing Defaultable Bonds Using a Lévy Jump‐Diffusion Model

This paper uses a reduced‐form approach to derive a closed‐form pricing formula for defaultable bonds. The authors specify the default hazard rate as an affine function of multiple variables which follow the Lévy jump‐diffusion processes. Because such specification allows greater flexibility in the generation of a valid probability of default, their pricing model should be more accurate than the valuation models in traditional studies, which ignore the jump effects. This paper also proposes a new method for estimating the parameters in a Lévy Jump‐diffusion process. The real data from the Taiwanese bond market are used to illustrate how their model can be applied in practical situations. The authors compare the pricing results for the influential variables with no jump effects, with jump magnitudes following the normal distribution, and with jump magnitudes following the gamma distribution. The results reveal that the predictive ability is the best for the model with the jump components. The valuation model shown in this paper should help portfolio managers more accurately price defaultable bonds and more effectively hedge their portfolio holdings.     

农村税费改革后乡镇财政面临的困难与对策

农村税费改革一方面促进了乡镇财政的规范化,另一方面也使乡镇财政面临更加严重的收支缺口和债务压力,并最终影响农村基层政权的正常运行.税费改革对乡镇财政带来的负面影响并非改革本身所致,而是由于相关的配套改革没有及时跟上造成的.解决乡镇财政困难的思路和对策是,调整中央与地方财力分配比例,理顺政府间分配关系;合理划分中央与地方的税收管理权限,逐步建立相对独立和完整的地方税体系;尽快建立规范的政府转移支付制度,加大对困难地区的转移支付;审慎解决乡镇债务问题,化解乡镇财政风险;努力构建乡镇公共政府和公共财政.     

探索校企结合的保险教育新途径

近年来,我国保险业发展很快,亟需高素质的一线人才,单纯依靠学校培养或企业培训均有其局限性.根据我国目前实际情况,可从培养人才的源头抓起,整合保险教育资源,形成以学校培养为主,企业培训为辅,学界与业界融合这种方式来解决保险教育与市场脱节的问题,建立校企合作的人才培养途径.     

善用信用卡

随着信用卡产业的蓬勃发展，信用卡已经成为人们在日常生活中不可或缺的支付和信用工具，但事实上信用卡更适合作为一种理财工具使用——一个具有诸多附加值服务的理财工具。但对于客户而言，如何才能运用信用卡的理财功能，发挥其最大的作用，“善用”很关键。     

城市贫困人群的医疗救助问题研究

随着城市居民最低生活保障制度的实施和不断完善,城市贫困人群的生活得到了一定程度的改善。但是,在现有体制下,贫困人群的医疗问题日益凸显出来,他们在医疗方面实际上处于一种双重缺失状态,如果不解决好这个问题,有可能会影响到整个社会保障制度的完善和社会的稳定。