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1.
2.
A play-the-winner-type urn design with reduced variability 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Anastasia Ivanova 《Metrika》2003,58(1):1-13
We propose a new adaptive allocation rule, the drop-the-loser, that randomizes subjects in the course of a trial comparing
treatments with dichotomous outcomes. The rule tends to assign more patients to better treatments with the same limiting proportion
as the randomized play-the-winner rule. The new design has significantly less variable allocation proportion than the randomized
play-the-winner rule. Decrease in variability translates into a gain in statistical power. For some values of success probabilities
the drop-the-loser rule has a double advantage over conventional equal allocation in that it has better power and assigns
more subjects to the better treatment.
Acknowledgments. I thank Stephen Durham, the associate editor, and the referees for their helpful suggestions. 相似文献
3.
王晓东 《吉林商业高等专科学校学报》2005,(4):77-78
本文在体育锻炼能够增强体质,提高健康水平的生物学基础上和群众体育锻炼与专业训练的区别上,提出群众体育锻炼中如何合理安排运动量。 相似文献
4.
陈亚丽 《无锡商业职业技术学院学报》2005,5(1):83-84
教育测量是指对教育现象的测量。教育测量的基本手段是存在失真范围的数量化分析。其数量化的语言是效度、信度等。效度分为效标效度与内容效度等,信度是表明测量可靠性的数量指标。 相似文献
5.
Kristian Nilsson 《The Scandinavian journal of economics》2004,106(4):603-622
This study examines the long‐run relationship between the real effective exchange rate and its fundamental determinants, and derives a real effective equilibrium exchange rate for the Swedish krona. Our results indicate that the krona was severely overvalued in late 1992, when the fixed exchange rate regime was abandoned. By the end of 2000 the krona was undervalued by approximately 5 percent, given the prevailing economic conditions. Arithmetic examples of suitable SEK/EUR conversion rates are calculated under various assumptions to provide a guideline if Sweden were to adopt the euro in the future. 相似文献
6.
Donald J. Meyer 《Journal of Monetary Economics》2005,52(8):1497-1515
The relationship between the relative risk aversion measure for the utility function for consumption and that for the value function for wealth is a derived relationship whose properties depend on how consumption and wealth are defined and measured. This fact together with information concerning estimates for these two relative risk aversion measures is used to give another perspective on the equity premium puzzle, and to explain why it is that the habit formation utility function is effective in eliminating that puzzle. A time separable utility function that can serve as an alternative to the assumption of habit formation is also presented. 相似文献
7.
We show how to decentralize constrained efficient allocations that arise from enforcement constraints between sovereign nations. In a pure exchange economy these allocations can be decentralized with private agents acting competitively and taking as given government default decisions on foreign debt. In an economy with capital these allocations can be decentralized if the government can tax capital income as well as default on foreign debt. The tax on capital income is needed to make private agents internalize a subtle externality. The decisions of the government can arise as an equilibrium of a dynamic game between governments. 相似文献
8.
Esteban Rossi-Hansberg 《Journal of Monetary Economics》2004,51(5):903-927
This paper studies the effect of terrorist attacks on the internal structure of cities. We develop an urban framework with capital structures suitable for the study of this question and analyze the long and short term implications of this type of events. In the long run, the analysis shows that a terrorist attack will affect urban structure only modestly, relative to the potentially large decrease in the level of economic activity in the city. Land rents will not decline at all locations. In the short run, agglomeration forces will amplify the effect of the original destruction and will reduce urban economic activity temporarily. 相似文献
9.
The anticipated and concurring effects of the EMU: exchange rate volatility, institutions and growth
Michele Bagella Leonardo Becchetti Iftekhar Hasan 《Journal of International Money and Finance》2004,23(7-8):1053
Reduced exchange rate volatility and higher and less heterogeneous quality of institutional rules and macroeconomic policies are two of the main (anticipated and concurring) effects expected from a currency union.In this paper, we measure the magnitude of these two effects for the Eurozone countries looking at real effective exchange rates (REER) and at different indicators of quality of institutional rules and macroeconomic policies (QIRMP). We find that the first effect is much stronger than the second when we compare relative changes for Eurozone countries and the rest of the world in the relevant period.We further evaluate the impact of both effects on economic growth on a larger sample of countries. Our findings show that both have significant impact on levels (more robust) and on rates of growth (weaker) of per capita GDP. 相似文献
10.
服务业集聚与产业结构优化关系探究 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
随着全球化进程的不断加快,服务业集聚已经成为人们普遍关注的话题。产业集聚在获得规模效应的同时避免了垄断现象的产生,服务业集聚不但拥有这样的优势,而且还有自己独特的形成和发展特点。从产业结构的优化角度切入,借助区位商和专门化率等分析指标,以江苏省和上海市为例,对服务业集聚的形成进行理论和实证分析,提出产业结构的优化对于服务业集聚的形成和发展有着积极的作用。合理的产业结构能够为服务业集聚提供坚实的基础,各地区应该根据各自的产业特点积极的进行优化,催生服务业集聚,加快本地区经济的进一步发展。 相似文献