公共财政框架下政府审计的拓展与政府会计的完善

政府审计是加强预算管理的一个重要工具。中国在建立公共财政的过程中,进行了一系列预算管理制度的改革,政府审计必须适应现行的预算管理制度,在审计内容上、方法上积极拓展。本文主要论述了当前公共财政框架下政府审计需要拓展的方面。另外,为保证预算管理制度改革顺利实施,政府会计等其他制度建设也需相应追行改革和完善。     

THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES AS A GAUSSIAN RANDOM FIELD

A simple model of the term structure of interest rates is introduced in which the family of instantaneous forward rates evolves as a continuous Gaussian random field. A necessary and sufficient condition for the associated family of discounted zero-coupon bond prices to be martingales is given, permitting the consistent pricing of interest rate contingent claims. Examples of the pricing of interest-rate caps and the situation when the Gaussian random field may be viewed as a deterministic time change of the standard Brownian sheet are discussed.     

国内外企业技术创新策略的博弈分析

入世后我国企业面临着国外企业日益加强的竞争压力,技术创新成为企业的重要选择。本文从技术创新成本的角度,建立了国内企业与国外企业技术创新竞争的静态博弈模型,根据模型,当国外企业以规模扩张为竞争目标时,我国企业只能选择渐进式的技术创新战略。     

Stock Market Mean Reversion and the Optimal Equity Allocation of a Long-Lived Investor

This paper solves numerically the intertemporalconsumption and portfolio choiceproblem of an infinitely-lived investor whofaces a time-varying equity premium.The solutions we obtain are very similarto the approximate analytical solutionsof Campbell and Viceira (1999), except atthe upper extreme of the state spacewhere both the numerical consumption andportfolio rules flatten out.We also consider a constrained version ofthe problem in which the investor facesborrowing and short-sales restrictions.These constraints bind when the equitypremium moves away from its mean in eitherdirection, and are particularly severe forrisk-tolerant investors. The constraints havesubstantial effects on optimalconsumption, but much more modest effects onoptimal portfolio choice in theregion of the state space where they are notbinding.     

泵站底板应力弹性地基梁法与三维静力计算对比分析

底板在泵站结构计算中占重要地位。在对长洲水利枢纽库区防护下六河泵站底板应力进行计算,分别采用弹性地基梁法、三维静力（通用软件KNSYS）计算,对应力结果进行综合分析表明,三维应力分析对边墙与底板结合处、弹性地基梁法对底板中部,与实际受力状态较为一致,为下一步结构设计优化提供依据。     

股指期货套期保值理论及模型的演进与实证研究

将对股指期货套期保值策略进行比较全面的理论和实证研究。首先,概述了股指期货套期保值的相关理论,综述了套期保值的关键环节是最优套期保值比率的确定的相关的模型;其次,运用协整等分析方法,采用最小二乘回归模型（OLS）、向量自回归模型（VAR）、误差修正模型（ECM）、广义自回归条件异方差模型（GARCH）,分别对中国沪深300股指期货最优套期保值比率进行了实证研究,并对各模型的套期保值绩效做出了评价,得出ECM模型是最优的,是最适合中国沪深300股指期货的套期保值率估计模型。