A hybrid information approach to predict corporate credit risk

This study proposes a hybrid information approach to predict corporate credit risk. In contrast to the previous literature that debates which credit risk model is the best, we pool information from a diverse set of structural and reduced‐form models to produce a model combination based on credit risk prediction. Compared with each single model, the pooled strategies yield consistently lower average risk prediction errors over time. We also find that while the reduced‐form models contribute more in the pooled strategies for speculative‐grade names and longer maturities, the structural models have higher weights for shorter maturities and investment grade names.     

基于AHP＋熵组合的相对发达地区新乡镇建设评价——以苏南三镇为例

面对新农村建设活跃和城市化进程加速，新乡镇建设也初见端倪，选取苏南三镇作为实证地点，构建相对发达地区新乡镇建设评价体系，利用主观赋权的层次分析法（AHP）和客观赋权的熵权法进行组合评价。     

运用GAHP法建立研发人员绩效考评体系

本文运用群体层次分析法(GAHP)结合研发人员自身的特点,建立多级研发人员绩效考评体系,运用Hadamard凸组合集结判断矩阵,解决了考评体系制定过程中受决策者主观偏好影响较大,考评指标难以定量描述的问题。并结合该体系在一家企业的应用,说明了其在研发人员绩效考评方面应用的有效性。     

构建高校"两课"教学新模式--运用网络教育与传统教育互补优势提高"两课"教学效果

在以科技为主导的21世纪，网络多媒体教学已成为教育领域新兴的重要教学模式，将网络教育引入到“两课”教学建设中，探讨二者的优势互补作用，对激发“两课”的活力，充分发挥“两课”对大学生进行思想政治教育的主渠道和主阵地的作用是十分必要的。     

莆田市发展“医养一体化”服务模式的对策研究

随着银色浪潮来袭,如何养老已成为我国各城市重点关注的问题。将医疗机构、养老机构、社区医疗服务中心当中的医疗资源与养老资源进行共享交流,搭建“医养一体化”平台,是我国养老服务的发展趋势。论文研究了莆田市如何突破传统养老方式的局限性,推行“医养一体化”服务模式,探讨“医养一体化”平台的搭建对策。     

购买法和权益联合法合并会计报表的特征比较及其选择

1999 年清华同方以股权交换方式吸收合并山东鲁颖电子公司,会计方法上使用的是权益结合法。之后,新潮实业、青岛双星、龙电股份等 9 家上市公司换股吸收合并非上市公司均采用了权益联合法。迄今为止,我国关于合并会计处理方法还没有最终形成企业并购具体会计准则,仅在1996 年财政部发布了《企业合并(征求意见稿)》。在实务中,主要参照1997年财政部颁布的《企业兼并有关会计处理问题暂行规定》、《合并会计报表暂行规定》和《关于执行具体会计准则和〈股份有限公司会计制度〉有关会计问题的解答》,在这些规定中隐含着企业购买法下的合并会计方法问题,一直没有涉及企业股权联合的问题。文章分析了企业合并的两种不同的会计处理方法:购买法和权益结合法引起的经济后果的差异,尤其结合我国现有经济环境,对《企业合并》会计准则制定中涉及的相关问题提出粗浅看法。     

Multiple aspect testing for case-control designs

When testing for the equality of two distributions in a case-control design with treatment effects presumed to act possibly on more than one aspect, different tests may be properly considered for testing for different features of a null hypothesis, leading to the multiple aspect testing issue. Two different aspects are therefore of interest: the location-aspect, based on the comparison of location indexes, and the distributional-aspect, based on the comparison of the empirical distribution functions. A simulation study shows that the combined testing procedure exhibits a good robust overall performance, and an application in biomedical research is also presented.     

Testing equality of variances in the analysis of repeated measurements

The problem of comparing the precisions of two instruments using repeated measurements can be cast as an extension of the Pitman-Morgan problem of testing equality of variances of a bivariate normal distribution. Hawkins (1981) decomposes the hypothesis of equal variances in this model into two subhypotheses for which simple tests exist. For the overall hypothesis he proposes to combine the tests of the subhypotheses using Fisher's method and empirically compares the component tests and their combination with the likelihood ratio test. In this paper an attempt is made to resolve some discrepancies and puzzling conclusions in Hawkins's study and to propose simple modifications.
The new tests are compared to the tests discussed by Hawkins and to each other both in terms of the finite sample power (estimated by Monte Carlo simulation) and theoretically in terms of asymptotic relative efficiencies.     

史论结合原则在毛泽东思想概论教学中的应用

"史论结合"是提高毛泽东思想概论课程教学效果的重要方法.这一原则在课程中的运用是毛泽东思想的本质要求,是符合毛泽东思想概论课程教学目的和内容特点的,也有利于学生分析、解决问题能力的提高.     

风险资本规模与最优投资组合

对于任何一个风险投资基金来说,都涉及到投资组合规模问题。由于在投资策略中奉行积极干预的策略,风险投资家耗费了大量的精力和时间。因此,风险资本规模的扩大对风险投资家的投资结构可能会产生影响。这就引致出风险投资最优投资组合的问题,并涉及对风险投资收益率的影响。