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文章通过泰尔指数发现从1990年到2005年,河南省区域经济的差距处于一个快速扩大的阶段。通过定量分析发现,河南省区域经济发展水平和发展速度与农业生产具有一定的负相关性,通过定性和定量分析发现,农业产业化对区域差距缩小具有一定的作用,但不起主要作用,一是由于目前河南省农业产业化水平相对还是比较低,农业收入还仅仅停留于农产品的买卖价格,工资性收入所占比重过低,二是农业产业化龙头企业带动能力还是比较弱,带动面小,限制了农区经济的发展水平和速度,最后提出了几点建议。 相似文献
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Cristina Vespro 《European Financial Management》2006,12(1):103-127
This paper provides further evidence of price and volume effects associated with index compositional changes by analysing the inclusions (exclusions) from the French CAC40 and SBF120 indices, as well as the FTSE100. I find evidence supporting the price pressure hypothesis associated with index fund rebalancing, but weak or no evidence for the imperfect substitution, liquidity and information hypotheses. The results improve on recent evidence from the S&P500 index. The evidence for the FTSE100 additions shows, in particular, that markets learn about an imminent inclusion and incorporate this information into prices, even before the announcement date. 相似文献
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Impacts of Declining U.S. Retail Beef Demand on Farm-Level Beef Prices and Production 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
A systems model was estimated to determine the effects of declining U.S. retail beef demand on farm-level beef prices and production. Retail beef demand declined by nearly 66% from 1976 to 1999. Results indicate autonomous shifts in retail demand significantly impacted farm-level demands and production. Based on equilibrium multipliers, the 1976–99 reduction in beef demand decreased real slaughter cattle prices and production by 32.1% and 11.2%, respectively. Real feeder cattle prices and production decreased by 8.0% and 22.6%, respectively. Combining the decreases in farm prices and production, slaughter and feeder cattle producers experienced a real revenue reduction of $13.3 billion (61%) due to the long-term decline in demand. 相似文献
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Mohammad Najand 《The Financial Review》2002,37(1):93-104
The study examines the relative ability of various models to forecast daily stock index futures volatility. The forecasting models that are employed range from naïve models to the relatively complex ARCH-class models. It is found that among linear models of stock index futures volatility, the autoregressive model ranks first using the RMSE and MAPE criteria. We also examine three nonlinear models. These models are GARCH-M, EGARCH, and ESTAR. We find that nonlinear GARCH models dominate linear models utilizing the RMSE and the MAPE error statistics and EGARCH appears to be the best model for forecasting stock index futures price volatility. 相似文献
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根据评价者需要,选取若干企业(或上市公司)作为被评价系统,建立一种企业经营业绩评价系统的多级多指标决策模型。该模型是在数理统计意义下将每个指标值进行标准规范化处理,用低级指标值通过信息熵自动赋权严生高一级指标值逐级递推,最后给出每个企业相对被评价系统的“理论分布得分”及“直观比较得分”。 相似文献
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Sequential Malmquist Indices of Productivity Growth: An Application to OECD Industrial Activities 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
The paper applies both the standard DEA methodology with contemporaneous frontiers and DEA with sequential frontiers to study changes in productivity and efficiency in manufacturing for a sample of eleven OECD countries over a twenty-year period. It uses a decomposition of the industrial Malmquist productivity indices to locate the sources of productivity growth: 'technical progress' and 'catching up.' The alternative indices are interrelated in a unifying framework that provides an interpretation to their difference. We argue that for manufacturing industries, in which technological regress is unlikely to occur, DEA with sequential frontiers provides a more adequate measure for the contribution of technical changes than standard DEA. 相似文献