先秦诸子消费观评析

先秦诸子百家争鸣是中国历史上思想最活跃的时期之一。中国以后的政治、伦理、经济、消费等思想理论均发韧于此,本文拟就先秦诸子中主要代表人物孔子、墨子、管子、荀子的消费思想作一简要评述     

时滞超混沌系统的同步

时滞混沌系统是无穷维系统 ,由这样的系统产生的超混沌可具有多个正的L yapunov指数 ,因此系统可以产生复杂的时间序列。这个特征使它特别适用于保密通讯。本文正是根据时滞超混沌系统的这一特点 ,给出了一种同步时滞混沌系统的新方法。通过L yapunov稳定理论得到了系统同步时系统参数满足的条件。数值仿真表明了该方法的有效性。     

Some notes on discount factor restrictions for dynamic optimization problems

We consider dynamic optimization problems on one-dimensional state spaces. Under standard smoothness and convexity assumptions, the optimal solutions are characterized by an optimal policy function h mapping the state space into itself. There exists an extensive literature on the relation between the size of the discount factor of the dynamic optimization problem on the one hand and the properties of the dynamical system x_t+1=h(x_t) on the other hand. The purpose of this paper is to survey some of the most important contributions of this literature and to modify or improve them in various directions. We deal in particular with the topological entropy of the dynamical system, with its Lyapunov exponents, and with its periodic orbits.     

Scaling behaviour of Treasury rates in India

This study finds that the scaling properties of India’s nominal and real Treasury rates are time varying, as is their multiscaling behaviour. We observe an association between the scaling behaviour of interest rates and the stages of development of the bill market. Interest rate behaviour is influenced by structural reforms, microstructure changes, and improvement in the operational efficiency of the Treasury market. Our findings suggest that monetary policy shocks have a persistent effect, but rates eventually revert to the mean. We show that the adaptive market hypothesis helps to delineate the dynamics of an emerging market undergoing a series of institutional and structural changes.     

基于土木结构递阶分散控制的稳定性研究

采用递阶分散控制的方法对土木结构进行振动控制,同时结构满足稳定性要求。控制作用分为局部和全局控制两级,局部控制器对子结构的振动控制,用李雅普诺夫方法来获得子结构稳定,而全局控制器来减小子结构之间相互作用而保证结构全局稳定性。对悬臂梁结构进行了控制稳定性仿真分析,将振动仿真结果与集中控制的结果进行对比分析。结果表明,基于递阶分散的控制方法保证大型土木结构的稳定性。     

Models of mortality rates – analysing the residuals

The area of mortality modelling has received significant attention over the last 25 years owing to the need to quantify and forecast improving mortality rates. This need is driven primarily by the concern of governments, insurance and actuarial professionals and individuals to be able to fund their old age. In particular, to quantify the costs of increasing longevity we need suitable model of mortality rates that capture the dynamics of the data and forecast them with sufficient accuracy to make them useful. In this article, we test several of the leading time series models by considering the fitting quality and in particular, testing the residuals of those models for normality properties. In a wide ranging study considering 30 countries we find that almost exclusively the residuals do not demonstrate normality. Further, in Hurst tests of the residuals we find evidence that structure remains that is not captured by the models.