两合计划:从政府需要角度透视其职能转变

立足政府需要,从侧面对当前政府职能转变过程进行分析和探讨,希望以政府本身作为理性实体的运作为基础,对该问题进行解释。     

氟化工新产品的市场前景及发展建议

本文重点论述了氟化工新品的市场状况及在工业上的应用，针对氟化工行业发展现状，提出应采取的主要措施。     

碳酸二甲酯的生产技术与市场分析

介绍了碳酸二甲酯的生产工艺、国内外生产和消费情况，并对我国碳酸二甲酯今后的发展提出了建议。     

论理性消费视角下生态和谐社会的建构

传统的消费观念和消费心理在目前资源和环境日益恶化的奈件下，已经难以为继。如何调整消费心理。进行合理消费已成为当前社会需要解决的重大课题。     

政府在发展高等职业教育中的角色定位思考

高等职业教育是我国高等教育的有机组成部分,政府在发展高等职业教育培训中拥有无可争议的地位,但政府能否对自己的角色加以理性定位却事关高职教育的健康发展。依据中国的具体国情,本文提出政府在高职教育发展中应该扮演催化剂、支持者、激励者和调控者的理性角色。     

Are Housing Price Cycles Driven by Irrational Expectations?

This paper investigates the extent to which condominium apartment prices are set in an efficient asset market. Unlike previous work that focuses on the time-series properties of measures of excess returns, the analysis is framed in terms of the changes in observable house prices over time. More precisely, the paper develops and applies a test of the joint null hypothesis of rational expectations, perfect markets, and no risk premium in the Vancouver condominium apartment market. The empirical results provide significant evidence against the joint null hypothesis. On average, ex post house price changes move in a direction opposite to their rational expectation. This approach offers a methodological advantage over the standard efficiency literature and is shown to provide a more powerful test of market efficiency than conventional return regressions. Another contribution of the paper is to characterize the time-series properties of deviations of condominium prices from those predicted by the risk-neutral rational expectations model, using cointegration and random coefficients techniques. Deviations in house price changes from their (risk-neutral) rational expectations are time varying, stationary, and related to the stage of the real estate price cycle.     

Incentives for voluntary disclosure

Rule l0b-5 of the 1934 Securities and Exchange Act allows investors to sue firms for misrepresentation or omission. Since firms are principal–agent contracts between owners – contract designers – and privately informed managers, owners are the ultimate firms’ voluntary disclosure strategists. We analyze voluntary disclosure equilibrium in a game with two types of owners: expected liquidating dividends motivated (VMO) and expected price motivated (PMO). We find that Rule l0b-5: (i) does not deter misrepresentation and may suppress voluntary disclosure or, (ii) induces some firms to adopt a partial disclosure policy of disclosing only bad news or only good news.     

物流合理配送问题的多阶段建模优化求解方法

简述了现有货物配装问题在实际应用中的缺陷,并针对货物配送问题,提出了多阶段建模优化求解方法,并应用于实例中。实例证明该方法所求得的最优解更具合理性和实际意义。     

质量技术监督系统质检机构改革浅议

提出质量技术监督系统所属质检机构改革要顺应国家机关体制改革和国家质量技术监督垂直管理系统改革的大好机遇,摒弃旧观念,丢掉“铁饭碗”,建立新机制,进入大市场,并提出“一所二制”建立学科研究,组建质量技术咨询服务中心和部门“12315”等建议。     

顾客关系营销的应用研究

在综述关系营销内涵及其与传统交易营销的区别的基础上,对国内外企业顾客关系营销的应用进行了研究,分析了我国企业应用顾客关系营销过程中存在的问题,提出了应采取的对策。