全文获取类型
收费全文 | 536篇 |
免费 | 27篇 |
专业分类
财政金融 | 116篇 |
工业经济 | 13篇 |
计划管理 | 189篇 |
经济学 | 87篇 |
综合类 | 31篇 |
运输经济 | 5篇 |
旅游经济 | 9篇 |
贸易经济 | 60篇 |
农业经济 | 22篇 |
经济概况 | 31篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 1篇 |
2023年 | 12篇 |
2022年 | 9篇 |
2021年 | 5篇 |
2020年 | 19篇 |
2019年 | 21篇 |
2018年 | 22篇 |
2017年 | 29篇 |
2016年 | 19篇 |
2015年 | 11篇 |
2014年 | 24篇 |
2013年 | 69篇 |
2012年 | 20篇 |
2011年 | 41篇 |
2010年 | 23篇 |
2009年 | 26篇 |
2008年 | 20篇 |
2007年 | 18篇 |
2006年 | 18篇 |
2005年 | 13篇 |
2004年 | 17篇 |
2003年 | 14篇 |
2002年 | 10篇 |
2001年 | 5篇 |
2000年 | 11篇 |
1999年 | 6篇 |
1998年 | 15篇 |
1997年 | 6篇 |
1996年 | 14篇 |
1995年 | 5篇 |
1994年 | 3篇 |
1993年 | 6篇 |
1992年 | 5篇 |
1991年 | 5篇 |
1990年 | 2篇 |
1989年 | 3篇 |
1988年 | 1篇 |
1987年 | 2篇 |
1986年 | 2篇 |
1985年 | 5篇 |
1984年 | 3篇 |
1983年 | 2篇 |
1982年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有563条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
This paper addresses a simple question: why do people vote? Though simple, this question remains unanswered despite the considerable attention it has received. In this paper, I show that purely rational–instrumental factors explain a large fraction of turnout variations, provided that the effect of the margin of victory on implemented policy is considered. I extend Myerson's models of elections based on Poisson games, and show that, when platforms are responsive to vote shares, the predictions of the model become consistent with several stylized facts, including the secular fall in turnout rates in the US. 相似文献
2.
Estimating the Size of a Criminal Population from Police Records Using the Truncated Poisson Regression Model 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Peter G.M. van der Heijden Maarten Cruyff Hans C. van Houwelingen 《Statistica Neerlandica》2003,57(3):289-304
The truncated Poisson regression model is used to arrive at point and interval estimates of the size of two offender populations, i.e. drunk drivers and persons who illegally possess firearms. The dependent capture–recapture variables are constructed from Dutch police records and are counts of individual arrests for both violations. The population size estimates are derived assuming that each count is a realization of a Poisson distribution, and that the Poisson parameters are related to covariates through the truncated Poisson regression model. These assumptions are discussed in detail, and the tenability of the second assumption is assessed by evaluating the marginal residuals and performing tests on overdispersion. For the firearms example, the second assumption seems to hold well, but for the drunk drivers example there is some overdispersion. It is concluded that the method is useful, provided it is used with care. 相似文献
3.
Modelling soccer matches using bivariate discrete distributions with general dependence structure 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
In this paper copulas are used to generate bivariate discrete distributions. These distributions are fitted to soccer data from the English Premier League. An interesting aspect of these data is that the primary variable of interest, the discrete pair shots-for and shots-against, exhibits negative dependence; thus, in particular, we apply bivariate Poisson-related distributions that allow such dependence. The paper focuses on Archimedian copulas, for which the dependence structure is fully determined by a one-dimensional projection that is invariant under marginal transformations. Diagnostic plots for copula fit based on this projection are adapted to deal with discrete variables. Covariates relating to within-match contributions such as numbers of passes and tackles are introduced to explain variability in shot outcomes. The results of this analysis would appear to support the notion that playing the 'beautiful game' is an effective strategy—more passes and crosses contribute to more effective play and more shots on the goal. 相似文献
4.
We extend the concept of piecewise linear histogram introduced recently by Beirlant, Berlinet and Györfi. The disadvantage of that histogram is that in many models it takes on negative values with probability close to 1. We show that for a wide set of models, the extended class of estimates contains a bona fide density with probability tending to 1 as the sample size n increases to infinity. The mean integrated absolute error in the extended class of estimators decreases with the same rate n–2/5 as in the original narrower class. 相似文献
5.
Food stamp recipients may lack access to larger stores, reducing the availability of nutritious food. Reliance on smaller stores may have undesirable impacts. Policy alternatives include limiting food stamp redemption to larger stores and subsidizing store development. I estimate that limiting redemption to supermarkets and grocery stores, or supermarkets alone, results in losses ranging from $499.2 million to $1.05 billion, or $1.17 billion to $2.44 billion (respectively) annual loss in food stamp recipient welfare nationwide. The impact of improving access is also significant, ranging from $333.6 million to $931.2 million. 相似文献
6.
Following Parsian and Farsipour (1999), we consider the problem of estimating the mean of the selected normal population, from two normal populations with unknown means and common known variance, under the LINEX loss function. Some admissibility results for a subclass of equivariant estimators are derived and a sufficient condition for the inadmissibility of an arbitrary equivariant estimator is provided. As a consequence, several of the estimators proposed by Parsian and Farsipour (1999) are shown to be inadmissible and better estimators are obtained.
Received January 2001/Revised May 2002 相似文献
7.
In this paper, we propose an estimator for the population mean when some observations on the study and auxiliary variables
are missing from the sample. The proposed estimator is valid for any unequal probability sampling design, and is based upon
the pseudo empirical likelihood method. The proposed estimator is compared with other estimators in a simulation study. 相似文献
8.
Tadeusz Bednarski 《Metrika》2002,55(1-2):27-36
An estimation method is presented which compromises robust efficiency with computational feasibility in the case of the generalized
Poisson model. The formal setup is built on flexible nonparametric extensions of the underlying model. The estimation efficiency
is expressed via minimax properties of tests resulting from expansions of estimators. The nonparametric neighborhoods related
to the proposed score function are exemplified and a real data case is analysed. The resulting method balances several qualitative
features of statistical inference: strong differentiability (asymptotic derivations are more accurate), efficiency and natural
model extension (quality of formal basic assumptions). 相似文献
9.
Sequential estimation problems for the mean parameter of an exponential distribution has received much attention over the
years. Purely sequential and accelerated sequential estimators and their asymptotic second-order characteristics have been
laid out in the existing literature, both for minimum risk point as well as bounded length confidence interval estimation
of the mean parameter. Having obtained a data set from such sequentially designed experiments, the paper investigates estimation
problems for the associatedreliability function. Second-order approximations are provided for the bias and mean squared error of the proposed estimator of the reliability
function, first under a general setup. An ad hoc bias-corrected version is also introduced. Then, the proposed estimator is
investigated further under some specific sequential sampling strategies, already available in the literature. In the end,
simulation results are presented for comparing the proposed estimators of the reliability function for moderate sample sizes
and various sequential sampling strategies. 相似文献
10.
For a balanced two-way mixed model, the maximum likelihood (ML) and restricted ML (REML) estimators of the variance components were obtained and compared under the non-negativity requirements of the variance components by L ee and K apadia (1984). In this note, for a mixed (random blocks) incomplete block model, explicit forms for the REML estimators of variance components are obtained. They are always non-negative and have smaller mean squared error (MSE) than the analysis of variance (AOV) estimators. The asymptotic sampling variances of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators and the REML estimators are compared and the balanced incomplete block design (BIBD) is considered as a special case. The ML estimators are shown to have smaller asymptotic variances than the REML estimators, but a numerical result in the randomized complete block design (RCBD) demonstrated that the performances of the REML and ML estimators are not much different in the MSE sense. 相似文献