关税升级与中国汽车产业发展——基于空间经济学的经验研究

本文利用中国与主要汽车生产国的汽车产业有关数据，在一个关税升级体系下垄断竞争产业发展模型的基础上，运用校准法进行了初步的经验研究。与以往汽车产业贸易政策基于寡占市场结构的经验研究不同，本文试图在垄断竞争市场结构下考察关税升级对中国汽车产业发展趋势的影响。研究表明，集合主要汽车生产国的数据后，汽车产业具有集聚发展的倾向，而我国目前较高程度的关税升级体系在其他条件不变的情况下，能够降低汽车产业实现大发展的临界条件。     

Valuation of VIX and target volatility options with affine GARCH models

In this paper we propose semiclosed-form solutions, subject to an inversion of the Fourier transform, for the price of VIX options and target volatility options under affine GARCH models based on Gaussian and Inverse Gaussian distributions. We illustrate the advantage of the proposed analytic expressions by comparing them with those obtained from benchmark Monte–Carlo simulations. The empirical performance of the two affine GARCH models is tested using different calibration exercises based on historical returns and market quotes on VIX and SPX options.     

富士快拍相机的逆向制造系统设计和产品恢复管理战略

从定性的角度对富士企业快拍相机产品恢复管理闭环供应链的战略设计和实施进行了详细分析,比较了该企业一次性相机逆向制造系统的产品恢复管理与现有产品恢复管理模型,进而为运用于其它不同的行业供应链如食品、服务及其它快速消费品,建立更简化的产品恢复管理模型奠定了基础。     

基于GPS驯服铷钟的频率校准系统设计

定期对GNSS接收机的外部频率源进行校准是保证定位精度的重要措施。介绍了GPS驯服铷 钟频率校准系统的工作原理和硬件组成,通过频率校准实验验证了该系统达到 了较好的长期频率准确度和短期频率准确度指标要求,保证了被校准频率源的精确度。     

高技术产品研发项目技术风险的综合评价——以数码相机研发项目为例

文章以数码相机研发项目为例,提出了基于层次分析法与模糊综合评判法的高技术产品研发项目技术风险的综合评价方法,利用研发项目的工作分解结构对数码相机研发项目的风险进行了识别,制定了风险发生概率与影响程度的评分标准,并对数码相机研发项目的风险进行了综合评价和分析。     

飞行器风洞试验标模体系研究初探

风洞试验标模是一种评估风洞试验准度和验证CFD算法的通用校准模型。本文归纳分析了北大四洋公约组织AGARD系列、法国ONERAM系列为代表的国外风洞试验标模发展情况,阐述了我国DBM、GBM、HSCM风洞标模系列的发展现状,探讨了建立和完善风洞试验标模体系的一些问题,意在为国内风洞和试验技术发展提供参考。     

Calibration Weighting Methods for Complex Surveys

This paper presents a careful investigation of the three popular calibration weighting methods: (i) generalised regression; (ii) generalised exponential tilting and (iii) generalised pseudo empirical likelihood, with a major focus on computational aspects of the methods and some empirical evidences on calibrated weights. We also propose a simple weight trimming method for range‐restricted calibration. The finite sample behaviour of the weights obtained by the three calibration weighting methods and the effectiveness of the proposed weight trimming method are examined through limited simulation studies.     

千斤顶校准方程的求法

千斤顶的计量检定校准中,校准方程是最难的计算。根据最小二乘法原理计算校准方程的过程如果不借助excel等工具,计算过程比较复杂,且容易算错。在实际工作中运用excel工具将极大减少工作量,且准确率高。     

Adjoint-based Monte Carlo calibration of financial market models

Adjoint methods have recently gained considerable importance in the finance sector, because they allow to quickly compute option sensitivities with respect to a large number of model parameters. In this paper we investigate how the efficiency of adjoint methods can be exploited to speed up the Monte Carlo-based calibration of financial market models. After analyzing the calibration problem both theoretically and numerically, we derive the associated adjoint equation and propose its application in combination with a multi-layer method, for which we prove convergence to a stationary point of the underlying optimization problem. Detailed numerical examples illustrate the performance of the method. In particular, the proposed algorithm reduces the calibration time for a typical equity market model with time-dependent model parameters from over three hours to less than ten minutes on a usual desktop PC.