Why will Trump lose the trade war?

ABSTRACT

The escalating U.S.–China trade conflicts have increasingly shadowed the outlook of the world economy. The Trump administration aims to achieve its strategic goals including reducing current account deficits, promoting the U.S. manufacturing sector, and curbing Chinese high-tech industries by waging the trade war against China. This paper argues that the current account deficits and the declining manufacturing sector in the U.S. are mainly driven by its internal structural factors, such as low saving rates, high labor costs, and rising service sector, rather than by the import competition from China. Moreover, the trade war further deteriorates the U.S. current account deficits and erode its comparative advantage, and it forces China to invest more in technological innovation and human capital, and thus promote its progress in high-tech industries. Thus, the U.S. will not be able to achieve its strategical goals and eventually lose the trade war.     

On the Current Situation and Problems of High Education Institutes Digital Libraries Development

The paper discusses the necessity and objective of digital library system, and analyzes the current situation of the high education institute digital libraries in China as well as some potential problems. Development plan is proposed for the digital library system for universities.     

农民养老问题亟待解决

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一项关于农村五保供养制度的实证研究——以闽北地区为例

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Nonparametric estimation of distribution functions

Summary Using Silverman and Young’s (1987) idea of rescaling a rescaled smoothed empirical distribution function is defined and investigated when the smoothing parameter depends on the data. The rescaled smoothed estimator is shown to be often better than the commonly used ordinary smoothed estimator.     

Model-based control charts in phase 1 statistical process control

In this paper, a general method of constructing control charts for preliminary analysis of individual observations is presented, which is based on recursive score residuals. A simulation study shows that certain implementations of these charts are highly effective in detecting assignable causes.     

中国当代消费形态下的广告理论述评

中国用几十年走完了西方发达国家一个世纪的经济发展历程，各种理论在中国广告市场得到广泛实践。这些广告理论与消费形态是否契舍，决定了广告理论能否正确地指导实践、引导消费。中国当代消费形态是以消费者为中心，并呈现出许多中国特色，因此，必须进一步完善和发展广告理论以适应新消费形态。     

我国企业国际科技合作现状及对策研究

文章从经济和科技全球化背景下企业国际科技合作的战略地位分析入手,介绍了我国企业国际科技合作概况,重点分析了企业对外科技合作存在的主要问题,提出了推进企业国际科技合作发展的8点对策建议。     

资源型城企物流耦合系统的系统动力学模型及其应用

从资源型企业拥有的物流资源优势出发，构建了资源型企业物流与资源型城市物流耦合系统，埘资源型城企物流耦合进行系统动力学模型设计，建立了耦合系统的系统动力学模型．通过对济宁市和兖州矿业集团的实际情况进行模拟和运行结果分析。从物流角度为资源型企业下一步的转型和发展提供了参考。     

中国遭受反倾销的现状分析及法律对策

中国加入世界贸易组织后，外国对我国出口产品的反倾销指控越演越烈，已经成为我国对外贸易发展的实质性障碍。其原因是多方面的，既有我国产业结构自身的原因，也有法规建设滞后、企业应诉消极等原因。我国应对国外反倾销指控的法律对策是应该在WTO法律框架下尽快完善《反倾销条例》和相关的部门法，健全反倾销应诉机制。