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1.
This paper provides a framework for the evaluation of scenario planning and other strategic decision making methods or techniques. If scenario planning is useful, we should be teaching it in schools and we as individuals should be using it to cope with the uncertainty inherent in modern life. A prerequisite to this is the need to identify why, where and how (in what way) scenario planning and other methods or techniques are useful. Here, I review evaluations of scenario planning. Taking a Brunswikian perspective, I highlight the issues that have failed to be addressed in this evaluation. I demonstrate that there are many ways in which scenario planning could be useful other than those that have appeared in previous discussions. These multiple routes are dependent upon the interaction between the individual organisation, the environment in which they are operating and the method being followed. 相似文献
2.
The introduction of traffic management schemes has been one response of the National Parks to the problem of ever-increasing car-borne visitors and the consequent damage caused to the rural environment. By reviewing these schemes and by determining and explaining attitudes towards one particular traffic management experiment, the paper aims to deduce lessons for future policy. The analysis, based on two visitor surveys, suggests that the likelihood of success is improved when schemes are integrated, containing both ‘carrot’ and ‘stick’ elements. Since public perceptions are also found to be pivotal to its success, appropriate marketing of a scheme is vital. The paper concludes, however, that to achieve the fundamental objective of greater accessibility with less mobility, a more wide-ranging marketing effort is required intended to engender a sea change in attitude towards both the car and public transport. 相似文献
3.
Thomas C. Powell 《战略管理杂志》1992,13(7):551-558
Since 1970, over forty empirical studies have examined the performance consequences of formal strategic planning. This line of research has drawn heavy criticism from reviewers on methodological grounds, and has produced confusing, apparently contradictory results. This article reevaluates the planning-performance relationship from a resource perspective, arguing that strategic planning does not satisfy the criteria for sustainable competitive advantage– although it may produce economic value, it is easily imitated and may be substitutable. The article suggests that previous studies produced inconsistent results because they did not account for the dissemination of strategic planning over time, or for industry differences in strategic planning factor markets. An empirical test in two industries finds that formal strategic planning and financial performance are unrelated in a ‘planning equilibrium’ industry, but positively related in an industry with strategic planning factor market imperfections. 相似文献
4.
提出了基于无线射频技术(RFID)的零售企业生鲜食品的信息追溯技术和持续补库计划(CRP)策略,集成了整合发货和库存补货,并构建了用以计算最高库存量和配送周期的供应商管理库存模式下的补货数学模型,模型中充分考虑了生鲜食品的特性(腐坏),确保零售企业销售生鲜食品的质量安全.在通过采用RFID技术实时监控销售和库存数据的基础上,供应商能够依据模型在发货周期内确定最佳的货物配送时间和配送数量,主动补货,在保证食品安全的同时实现总的长期平均成本最小化. 相似文献
5.
根据生殖健康的内容 ,将生殖健康产业划分为两大市场和 7类产品。通过对人口、购买力和购买欲望发展趋势的分析 ,提出中国生殖健康产业市场需求潜力巨大的预测。在培育生殖健康产业的过程中 ,产业发展要素的协调、市场化的策略与步骤、多方面合作的机制是政府目前需要优先考虑的三大问题 相似文献
6.
Murray J. Côté Author Vitae 《Socio》2005,39(2):183-192
Capacity planning and resource allocation are crucial to the cost-effective delivery of health care services. In this paper, we present an analytic approach based on a modified version of the Holt-Winters multiplicative seasonality forecasting model to determine the frequency distribution associated with a hospital care unit's census. This paper is a follow-up to the census frequency distribution simulation model described in Lapierre et al. (Socio Econ. Plan. Sci. 33 (1999) 25). We demonstrate that our model can provide census frequency distributions equivalent to the simulation model of Lapierre et al. [1], but without the computational effort common to simulation models. 相似文献
7.
通过考察大量口迷历史记录、个人访谈、文献研究及有关新加坡经济、社会的评论,研究了亚洲金融危机(以下简称危机)前后新加坡华人企业变化及其发展的持续性,表明危机前,这些大型企业由家族制管理变为专业化管理;危机后,其变化趋势有两种,一种由于面临着西方企业日益激烈的竞争,在政府密切关注下,同时也因缺乏有能力、有管理家族企业意愿的后代,家族制度已松散;另一种由于没有政府的直接管制,在危机后消极的市场形势下,为谋求生存,任用有能力的家族后代充分发挥优势,维持着传统的家族制。本文分别从市场、制度(包括文化和政府)及一些主要大公司的领导者行为分析,推导一个路径清晰、条脉分明的管理变化模式,同时提出进一步的研究方向——专业化管理家族企业的结构及政府的角色。 相似文献
8.
The phrase ‘demographic timebomb’ has taken on the aura of a shibbholeth and that everyone knows they ought to be fearful about. But is it really understood and what needs to be done? This article seeks to answer these questions and to shed some light on the employment strategies being developed by some British hospitality employers to counteract the demographic changes of the 1990s. As a result, some of the myth that the hospitality industry is lagging behind other industries can be dispelled but other findings support popular testimony that the industry faces special problems. 相似文献
9.
董化庭 《石家庄经济学院学报》1993,(3)
在商品货币关系广泛存在的情况下,要想恰当有效地按比例分配社会劳动时间,既离不开市场的作用,也离不开计划的作用。这既为资本主义社会的实践所证明,也为社会主义社会的实践所证明。对这个问题进行深层次的分析,可以从生产关系与生产力、上层建筑与经济基础的关系上,从计划与市场的内在统一性上。从计划与市场两种手段的不同特点上找到理论根据。在市场经济条件下,并不排斥计划的作用,但计划工作必须进行改革使之与发展市场经济相适应。 相似文献
10.
Summary Completeness of a family of probability distributions implies its bounded completeness but not conversely. An example of a
family which is boundedly complete but not complete was presented by Lehmann and Scheffe [5]. This appears to be the only
such example quoted in the statistical literature. The purpose of this note is to provide further examples of this type. It
is shown that any given family of power series distributions can be used to construct a class containing infinitely many boundedly
complete, but not complete, families. Furthermore, it is shown that the family of continuous distributions
, is boundedly complete, but not complete, whereU denotes the uniform distribution on [a, b] and {P
ϑ,ϑ ∈ IR}, is a translation family generated by a distributionP
0 with mean value zero, which is continuous with respect to the Lebesgue measure. 相似文献