INTERNATIONAL RESERVE MANAGEMENT: A DRIFT‐SWITCHING REFLECTED JUMP‐DIFFUSION MODEL

We study the cost of shocks, that is, jump risk, with respect to reserve management when the reserve process is formulated as a drift‐switching jump diffusion with a reflecting barrier at 0. Inspired by the Brownian drift switching model, our model results in a more realistic dynamic behavior of international reserves than the buffer stock model. The new model can capture both the jump behavior in reserve dynamics and the leptokurtic feature of the increment distribution which has a higher peak and two asymmetric heavier tails than the normal distribution. Through the selection of an initial distribution that reflects certain steady state behaviors, the reserve process becomes a regenerative process. This selection enables us to derive a closed‐form expression for the total expected discounted cost of managing reserves, thus helping us to numerically find management strategies that minimize costs. The numerical results show that shocks at the reserve level have a significant effect on reserve management strategies and that model misspecification can result in nonnegligible additional costs.     

略论法治政府的价值理念

法治政府作为一种理论主张和政府模式是从近代开始的，法治政府是法治国家对政府的要求，是指政府时刻受到法律约束和支配的法制建设状态，其基本特征和价值取向是有限政府、服务政府、透明政府、诚信政府、统一政府和责任政府。     

有限责任公司转让股权若干问题的法律思考

有限责任公司在诸种公司类型中是最晚出现的一种公司类型,并以其规模小、人数少、股东承担有限责任等特点成为目前世界上数量最多的公司类型。它充分体现了资合性与人舍性的统一。在其股权的转让过程中,如何判定股权转让协议的生效与股权的转让、股权变更后“一人公司”的取舍以及在股权转让过程中如何体现有限责任公司资合性的本质和人合性的色彩是本讨论的重点。     

股份有限公司监督机制的发展趋势

20世纪八十年代以来，世界主要国家开始股份有限公司监督模式的变革。这种变革使公司监督机制正发生首一系列重要的变化，其基本趋势为：政府和法律对公司监督的干预增强；职工参与监督日益得到认同与重视；银行等金融机构在公司监督中的地位和作用日益突出。作为“入世”不久的我国，应当顺应这一发展趋势，制定出具有前瞻性的相关政策和法律，以完善我国公司监督机制。     

有限理性经济人假说下的财务报告列报和使用

本文在分析西蒙的有限理性经济人假说理论的基础上,论述了其经济意义:知识具有时间和主体的相对性;一般人们发现和选择的只能是满意的方案而不是最优方案;有限理性经济人在进行经济活动时,一般遵循的是程序理性穴Procedualrationality雪而非结果理性穴Rationalityofoutcome雪;无论是完全理性经济人假说,还是有限理性经济人假说,其本质都是经济人假说,经济人的行为动机一定是追求利益最大化。根据这一意义,提出了在有限理性经济人假说理论下,财务报告所列报的是根据财务报告目标要求,依据会计规则所产生的财务信息,这种财务信息必定存在“规则性失真”和信息的不完全性;此外,会计规则内容在不同时期会发生变动,以适应不同时期不同利益集团之间利益协调的改变,为此,财务报告的列报内容也会发生相应的改变。这一结论的现实意义是:人们使用财务报告时,首先,必须具备必要的经济学、会计学、管理学等相关知识;其次,对财务报告所提供的信息应允许有一定范围的“失真”;第三,对信息的不全面性和不完整性以及财务报告内容的变化要有充分的估计和思想准备。只有这样,才能正确地理解和使用财务报告。     

Cross‐Border Auction Cycle Effects of Sovereign Bond Issuance in the Euro Area

We provide evidence for the euro area of spillovers from foreign public debt auctions into domestic secondary‐market auction cycles. We also confirm existing evidence of such spillovers from domestic issues into the domestic secondary market. Consistent with a theory of primary dealers’ limited risk‐bearing capacity, we find that auction cycles from domestic issues are stronger during the recent crisis period, whereas cross‐border effects are stronger in the precrisis period, but this evidence is not strong. This finding likely reflects the opposing effects of reduced sovereign bond market integration during the crisis and higher yield covariances caused by more market volatility.     

私人股权投资基金运作模式选择与对策研究

私人股权投资基金有契约型、公司型、合伙型三种组织运作模式，在法律的合规性、避免双重征税、投资管理的效率性、监督管理的有效性等诸多方面有较多差异。通过对三种股权投资基金的运作模式的分析，提出信托型私人股权投资运作模式在现阶段是理性决策。公司型私人股权投资运作模式适合早期阶段，有限合伙人股权运作模式是最终发展目标。     

Can Agents Be Better Off with Pay Caps?

A popular way to discipline the managers of companies or banks that got into trouble during the recent financial crisis has been to impose caps on managers' pay. Using a small extension of the standard principal–agent model, we argue that pay caps might serve the opposite purpose, because the agent might be better off with a pay cap. Specifically, we show that, given a fixed effort level to be implemented, the agent's expected utility can be decreasing in an upper bound for the agent's reward. The effect of pay caps on the general structure of optimal incentive contracts is also characterized. While an improvement of contracting information always helps the principal, it might increase or decrease the marginal cost of imposing pay caps.     

有限责任公司股东优先购买权立法模式研究

国际上有限责任公司优先购买权的立法有四种模式.从部分国家或地区演变历史看,有限责任公司股东优先购买权的立法演变可分为四种演进路径,并总体上体现了有限责任公司立法的三个共同原则.我国有限责任公司股东优先购买权立法模式是从法定主义模式到排除主义模式的转变,这种转变表明了在我国公司活动日益成为世界经济竞争性活动重要参与主体的背景下,我国公司立法指导思想的转变.     

“限塑令”前后北京大兴城区居民环保意识变化分析

通过问卷调查方式对北京市大兴城区居民在限塑令实施前后环保意识变化进行调查研究,并运用Excel软件进行数据统计分析,了解限塑令的实施对北京市大兴城区居民的影响和意义,并提出相关建议以促使限塑令实施更加有效。