Cost Uncertainty and Unilateral Abatement

Unilateral abatement is sometimes advocated in order to set a good example that will make other countries follow. The aim of this paper is to investigate whether existence of correlated cost uncertainty provides an incentive for a country to undertake unilateral abatement. The theoretical model is driven by two main mechanisms; first, a learning effect, as the follower country might reduce its risk premium as it can observe the cost level in the leader country. Second, there is the public good effect, i.e., the marginal benefit of abatement declines when abatement is a public good and other countries contribute to pollution reductions. Results shows that unilateral abatement would be efficient in reducing uncertainty about the unit costs of abatement if a country with low cost uncertainty would undertake abatement first, while a country with initially high cost uncertainty would follow. However, countries may prefer to act simultaneously because of the larger uncertainties that are inherent in a sequential game.      

Parallel Neutrality

This paper develops the notion of parallel-neutral technical change for inputs and outputs. It is shown that parallel-neutral technical change generalizes existing radial notions of neutral technical change. A taxonomy of the structural consequences of parallel-neutral technical change is developed.     

Selected Economic Analysis at the Antitrust Division: The Year in Review

Of the many activitiesof the Antitrust Division of theU.S. Department of Justice, we havesummarized some that raise interestingeconomic issues. We describe recentimprovements in the methodology to beused in ``coordinated effects' analysisof mergers. We also discuss four casesbrought by the DOJ that raise issues ofmarket definition, the influence ofcommon partial ownership of competitors,and the effects of fringe suppliers inconstraining collusion by large firms.     

提高钻井机具产品质量的可靠性技术

钻井机具产品的设计质量和应用质量是影响钻井顺利施工的主要因素，从产品的设计到现场应用全过程的质量监控和可靠性实时评价保证了机具产品质量。通过砂泵和减振器的设计制造分析、应用过程、质量管理和风险评估，说明提高该类产品质量的可靠性技术的普遍性。     

钻机钻进过程人机系统可靠性分析

在全面分析钻井机械的组成、钻进过程的特点和人的特性的基础上，建立钻机钻进过程人机系统可靠性模型。整个系统由人的行为、钻进参数采集、井喷预兆监测、钻进参数调节和井喷控制5个子系统，通过人机接口构成。根据人的感知、判断决策、执行操作行为进程．引入行为形成因子和差错纠正能力，构成人的行为模式，导出人的行为可靠度，进而得出钻机钻进过程人机系统的可靠度。     

Local Powers of Optimal One‐sample and Multi‐sample Tests for the Concentration of Fisher‐von Mises‐Langevin Distributions

One‐sample and multi‐sample tests on the concentration parameter of Fisher‐von Mises‐Langevin distributions on (hyper‐)spheres have been well studied in the literature. However, only little is known about their behaviour under local alternatives, which is due to complications inherent to the curved nature of the parameter space. The aim of the present paper therefore consists in filling that gap by having recourse to the Le Cam methodology, which has recently been adapted from the linear to the spherical setup. We obtain explicit expressions of the powers for the most efficient one‐ and multi‐sample tests. As a nice by‐product, we are also able to write down the powers (against local Fisher‐von Mises‐Langevin alternatives) of the celebrated Rayleigh test of uniformity. A Monte Carlo simulation study confirms our theoretical findings and shows the empirical powers of the above‐mentioned procedures.     

浅谈三轴搅拌桩施工技术

三轴水泥土搅拌桩是多轴搅拌机就地钻进切削土体,同时在钻头端部将水泥浆液注入土体,经充分搅拌混合后,再将H型钢或其他型材插入搅拌桩体内,形成地下连续墙体的一种施工工艺。特点是构造简单,挡土止水性能好,材料还可循环利用。     

岩溶地质钻孔桩二次成孔护壁法施工技术

通过对大湖下行联络线岩溶地质钻孔桩施工出现问题的论述,结合岩溶地质钻孔桩常用的处理方法,提出了适应本区域岩溶地质环境的二次成孔护壁法在钻孔桩施工中的应用,并得到了成功的验证。     

The reduction cost of nonperforming loan: evidence from China’s commercial bank

The nonperforming loans (NPLs) are co-generated by creating the profit in a bank, and this article build a joint production model to measure the reduction cost of nonperforming cost. By using a data set of China’s 13 commercial banks, the conclusions show that the reduction cost of NPLs is lower, which suggests that it is not a good choice for China’s commercial bank to hold the NPLs.     

Cointegration as an explanation for the Meese–Rogoff puzzle

Some economists suggest that the failure of exchange-rate models to outperform the random walk in exchange rate forecasting out of sample can be attributed to failure to take into account cointegration when it is present. We attempt to find out if cointegration matters for forecasting accuracy by examining the relation between the stationarity and size of the forecasting error. Results based on three macroeconomic models of exchange rates do not provide strong support for the proposition that cointegration matters for forecasting accuracy. The simulation results show that while stationary errors tend to be smaller than non-stationary errors, this is not a universal rule. Irrespective of the presence or absence of cointegration, none of the three models can outperform the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting, which means that cointegration cannot solve the Meese–Rogoff puzzle.