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1.
This study proposes a hybrid information approach to predict corporate credit risk. In contrast to the previous literature that debates which credit risk model is the best, we pool information from a diverse set of structural and reduced‐form models to produce a model combination based on credit risk prediction. Compared with each single model, the pooled strategies yield consistently lower average risk prediction errors over time. We also find that while the reduced‐form models contribute more in the pooled strategies for speculative‐grade names and longer maturities, the structural models have higher weights for shorter maturities and investment grade names. 相似文献
2.
Five years after the introduction of unified monetary policy in the EMU, some member countries are wondering whether they have ceded too much of their policy-making powers. The fact that National Central Banks no longer carry out sizable expansionary open market or foreign exchange market operations suggests that they face substantially reduced abilities to set economic policy.This paper demonstrates that, in fact, very little power has been yielded: on the fiscal front, the force of such policy initiatives is enhanced by the fixity of the exchange rate. On the monetary front, we show that there is an observational equivalence between all Central Bank actions under fixed exchange rates. This implies that the authorities retain the same amount of policy flexibility as before. So long as they use an alternative form of policy initiative, carrying out what previously would have been characterized as sterilized foreign exchange market operations, their ability to influence the macro performance of their economy is undiminished. 相似文献
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随着银色浪潮来袭,如何养老已成为我国各城市重点关注的问题。将医疗机构、养老机构、社区医疗服务中心当中的医疗资源与养老资源进行共享交流,搭建“医养一体化”平台,是我国养老服务的发展趋势。论文研究了莆田市如何突破传统养老方式的局限性,推行“医养一体化”服务模式,探讨“医养一体化”平台的搭建对策。 相似文献
6.
1999 年清华同方以股权交换方式吸收合并山东鲁颖电子公司,会计方法上使用的是权益结合法。之后,新潮实业、青岛双星、龙电股份等 9 家上市公司换股吸收合并非上市公司均采用了权益联合法。迄今为止,我国关于合并会计处理方法还没有最终形成企业并购具体会计准则,仅在1996 年财政部发布了《企业合并(征求意见稿)》。在实务中,主要参照1997年财政部颁布的《企业兼并有关会计处理问题暂行规定》、《合并会计报表暂行规定》和《关于执行具体会计准则和〈股份有限公司会计制度〉有关会计问题的解答》,在这些规定中隐含着企业购买法下的合并会计方法问题,一直没有涉及企业股权联合的问题。文章分析了企业合并的两种不同的会计处理方法:购买法和权益结合法引起的经济后果的差异,尤其结合我国现有经济环境,对《企业合并》会计准则制定中涉及的相关问题提出粗浅看法。 相似文献
7.
When testing for the equality of two distributions in a case-control design with treatment effects presumed to act possibly
on more than one aspect, different tests may be properly considered for testing for different features of a null hypothesis,
leading to the multiple aspect testing issue. Two different aspects are therefore of interest: the location-aspect, based
on the comparison of location indexes, and the distributional-aspect, based on the comparison of the empirical distribution
functions. A simulation study shows that the combined testing procedure exhibits a good robust overall performance, and an
application in biomedical research is also presented. 相似文献
8.
The problem of comparing the precisions of two instruments using repeated measurements can be cast as an extension of the Pitman-Morgan problem of testing equality of variances of a bivariate normal distribution. Hawkins (1981) decomposes the hypothesis of equal variances in this model into two subhypotheses for which simple tests exist. For the overall hypothesis he proposes to combine the tests of the subhypotheses using Fisher's method and empirically compares the component tests and their combination with the likelihood ratio test. In this paper an attempt is made to resolve some discrepancies and puzzling conclusions in Hawkins's study and to propose simple modifications.
The new tests are compared to the tests discussed by Hawkins and to each other both in terms of the finite sample power (estimated by Monte Carlo simulation) and theoretically in terms of asymptotic relative efficiencies. 相似文献
The new tests are compared to the tests discussed by Hawkins and to each other both in terms of the finite sample power (estimated by Monte Carlo simulation) and theoretically in terms of asymptotic relative efficiencies. 相似文献
9.
中国寿险需求影响因素的检验 总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8
赵桂芹 《中南财经政法大学学报》2006,(1):96-101
本文运用面板数据分析方法.从宏观角度实证分析了1997~2003年中国内地30个省(市)寿险需求的影响因素,探讨了经济发展、教育水平、居民储蓄存款、人均可支配收入、竞争程度因素对寿险保费收入的影响。实证检验发现,以上因素对一个地区的寿险需求均有显著的正向影响。我国各地区寿险市场的发展是“经济推动型”,寿险市场发展不平衡的根本原因在于经济发展不平衡。 相似文献
10.
"史论结合"是提高毛泽东思想概论课程教学效果的重要方法.这一原则在课程中的运用是毛泽东思想的本质要求,是符合毛泽东思想概论课程教学目的和内容特点的,也有利于学生分析、解决问题能力的提高. 相似文献