Health screening strategies for international air travelers during an epidemic or pandemic

Air travelers can carry an infectious disease's pathogenic microorganism in their bodies and spread the disease from one country to another in a few days. To delay the spread, health screening stations may be set up at airport terminals to screen travelers. This research tested three different health screening strategies, each with a different combination of screening stations at trip origins, destinations and connecting airports. Discrete event simulations were performed, based on the 2014 to 2016 Ebola virus epidemic, with special focus on travelers from the West African countries traveling to the United States, including travelers who transferred flights at airports in European Union member states. The effectiveness of the screening strategies was analyzed in terms of correct detection, missed detection and false alarm rate. The results showed that exit screening at trip origins brought big improvements in the performance measurements compared to no screening. However, additional screening at the destinations and connecting airports contributed marginal benefits.     

Sources of Productivity Growth Dynamics: Is Japan Suffering From Baumol's Growth Disease?

This study examines the sources of labor productivity growth dynamics in Japan (1970–2010) and investigates the extent to which Japanese economic performance has been affected by Baumol's growth disease (BGD). We find that BGD silently undermines Japanese economic growth. However, the magnitude is miniscule, and consequently the aggregate labor productivity growth rate has not been decreasing monotonically. We also explore how BGD is arising and why it is small in the Japanese economy. BGD is weak because (1) the positive Baumol growth effect is also working in certain services sectors and (2) BGD is not a durable phenomenon: even if a sector begins to suffer from BGD, it is likely to recover quickly.     

冠状动脉硬化性心脏病的心身医学机理与防治

从心身医学的角度，阐述冠状动脉硬化性心脏病的病因学，心理生物学机制及防治；对现代社区医疗卫生工作中的老年疾病的康复保健具有一定的指导意义。     

发展河南省生鲜农产品冷链物流的对策研究

河南省生鲜农产品在物流环节损失巨大,发展冷键物流是实现“产后减损“、提高农产品质量最有效的途径,对促进农民增收意义重大,因此大力发展冷链物流势在必行.文中首先分析了河南省生鲜农产品冷链物流的发展现状,然后结合河南省实际情况,提出河南省发辰生鲜农产品冷链物流的六项对策.研究成果旨在为河南省以及与河南省省情相似的雀份发展生鲜农产品冷链物流提供参考.     

电子商务环境下的冷链物流研究

当今信息时代，人们将先进的信息和网络技术应用到物流管理中，极大地促进物流事业的发展，第三方物流事业也应运而生且发展前景广阔。它的优势就在于降低了生产成本。提高了经营效率，加强了竞争力，提升了企业彤象。作为现代物流的一个组成部分，冷链物流也伴随着社会的进步．技术的更新和管理思想的发展而不断地发展。在电子商务环境下如何实施冷链物流是冷链行业面临的重要课题。本文通过对一个成功的第三方冷链物流案例的分析，结合我国国情，提出相应实施策略。     

现代果品物流发展的冷藏链模式研究

研究了当前我国现代果品物流发展中冷藏链模式所必须具备的五个条件和软件技术以及硬件基础设施建设。基于此，本文设计了我国果品快速供销反应冷藏链与冷藏链流通模式。     

Comprehensive assessment of patients with irritable bowel syndrome with constipation and chronic idiopathic constipation using deterministically linked administrative claims and patient-reported data: the Chronic Constipation and IBS-C Treatment and Outcomes Real-World Research Platform (CONTOR)

Abstract

Aims

To characterize a US population of patients with irritable bowel syndrome with constipation (IBS-C) or chronic idiopathic constipation (CIC) using CONTOR, a real-world longitudinal research platform that deterministically linked administrative claims data with patient-reported outcomes data among patients with these conditions.     

用神经网络对开式冷挤压极限变形程度的预测

给出了基于 BP网络的极限变形程度预测的分析方法 ,得到了开式冷挤压εmax神经网络计算结果 ,与实验结果比较 ,其精度较高 ,证明了神经网络模型在开式冷挤压工艺中应用的可行性。     

The evolution of the disability-adjusted life year (DALY)

The disability-adjusted life year (DALY) is a summary health measure that combines mortality and morbidity into a single measure as a way to estimate global disease burden and the effectiveness of health interventions. We review the methodological progression of the DALY, focusing on how the use of life expectancy estimates, disability weights, age weighting, and discounting has evolved since the first DALY reports were published in 1993. These changes have generally improved the metric but have made it difficult for researchers to interpret, compare, and conduct DALY studies.     

Managing dynamic epidemiological risks through trade

There is growing concern that trade, by connecting geographically isolated regions, unintentionally facilitates the spread of invasive pathogens and pests – forms of biological pollution that pose significant risks to ecosystem and human health. We use a bioeconomic framework to examine whether trade always increases private risks, focusing specifically on pathogen risks from live animal trade. When the pathogens have already established and traders bear some private risk, we find two results that run counter to the conventional wisdom on trade. First, uncertainty about the disease status of individual animals held in inventory may increase the incentives to trade relative to the disease-free case. Second, trade may facilitate reduced long-run disease prevalence among buyers. These results arise because disease risks are endogenous due to dynamic feedback processes involving valuable inventories, and markets facilitate the management of private risks that producers face with or without trade.