INTERNATIONAL RESERVE MANAGEMENT: A DRIFT‐SWITCHING REFLECTED JUMP‐DIFFUSION MODEL

We study the cost of shocks, that is, jump risk, with respect to reserve management when the reserve process is formulated as a drift‐switching jump diffusion with a reflecting barrier at 0. Inspired by the Brownian drift switching model, our model results in a more realistic dynamic behavior of international reserves than the buffer stock model. The new model can capture both the jump behavior in reserve dynamics and the leptokurtic feature of the increment distribution which has a higher peak and two asymmetric heavier tails than the normal distribution. Through the selection of an initial distribution that reflects certain steady state behaviors, the reserve process becomes a regenerative process. This selection enables us to derive a closed‐form expression for the total expected discounted cost of managing reserves, thus helping us to numerically find management strategies that minimize costs. The numerical results show that shocks at the reserve level have a significant effect on reserve management strategies and that model misspecification can result in nonnegligible additional costs.     

Believing in employment discrimination: The case of Forrest Mims,Scientific American,and title VII protection

This article reviews the law regarding Title VII employment discrimination protection from religious discrimination. The issues surrounding the principal legal protection in this regard are explored in the context of a recent controversial case in which an author, Forrest Mims, was not hired as a regular contributor forScientific American magazine, ostensibly because of his belief in the theory of creation over the theory of evolution. The definition of what constitutes a protected religious belief or practice is seen to have expanded over time. However, a belief in creationism is not necessarily seen as being tantamount to a religious belief under present legal interpretation of Title VII. The implications of this finding for future needed Title VII revision are discussed.     

道家的主体性思想初探

随着科学技术的飞速发展和现代化进程的日益加快,人的主体性问题遇到了前所未有的质疑和挑战,人到底应当高扬主体性还是消解主体性?主体性能够消解吗?本文探讨了道家的主体性思想并分析了这一思想的缺陷及现实意义。     

政府公职人员经济人性边界界定与启示

政府公职人员是特殊经济人,并且从"经济人"角度、从历史性角度、从社会契约论角度、从初始社会分工及分工发展过程角度看,政府公职人员经济人性应有必要的边界。其经济人性发挥应符合作用空间的"非市场性"、经济人性范围的日趋"紧缩性"、经济人性目标满足渠道的"单一性"及较强的"社会性"这些内在规律。把握这些规律,可有效地建立针对政府公职人员的约束机制和非市场性的竞争机制,还可有效地促进民主发展,这对提升基本公共服务综合绩效及构建和谐社会都具有重要意义。     

Disciplining: A question of ethics?

The importance of evaluating a discipline system from an ethical perspective is considered. Disciplinary practices in contemporary organizations are frequently characterized by managers having to choose from among alternative courses of corrective action. Since the selected alternative may have serious consequences for the individuals involved, its rightness or wrongness is of concern. The pattern of these choices reflects the overall disciplinary practice of the organization, and is an issue that warrants attention from an ethical perspective. Basic schools of thought that influence contemporary discipline practices are discussed and suggestions are made for conducting an evaluation of the ethical nature of a discipline system.     

论企业的非线性性质

企业作为一个系统,其关键特征是系统的非线性。我们以Adam Smith的大头针工厂作为简单的示例,从个体的生产函数推导出一个非简单加总的总体生产函数,从知识的角度不失一般性地解释了企业非线性性质的来源,并对已有的关于企业性质的论述做了简单的评论。     

党员先进性教育必须以提升师德水准为长效机制

结合高等院校“保持共产党员先进性教育”活动,提出了建立高校先进性教育的长效机制的关键是提升师德水准。要从办学理念、服务育人理念及大学生德育工作入手,在先进性教育活动实践及制度建设中提高师德认识、培养师德素质、提高师德信念、保障师德建设。     

中国外汇储备快速增长的原因探析——基于人口结构的视角

近年来,中国外汇储备快速增长成为我国理论界和实务界关注的热点问题.通过理论推演和实证分析得出结论:中国外汇储备快速增长与独特人口年龄结构密切相关.当前,中国不能陶醉在外汇储备世界第一的光环中,要清醒地看到其中的隐忧,采取诸如转变经济增长方式、增加人力资本投入、强化外汇储备管理等措施来加以应对.     

新时期高校先进性教育长效机制建设浅议

高等学校是培养建设有中国特色社会主义事业接班人的重要阵地。如何教育、培养学生党员践行“三个代表”重要思想,充分发挥先锋模范作用,增强党的战斗力、凝聚力和吸引力,是高校学生党建工作的重要组成部分和基础环节。探索加强学生党员的思想政治教育、组织机制、制度建设、激励机制的建设,是新时期高校党建工作的一项重要课题。     

工会资产的性质及管理

工会资产是工会事业发展的重要物质保证,是全体工会会员的宝贵财富.随着社会经济的不断发展和工会组织的不断壮大,工会组织的资产也迅速增加.通过对工会资产性质的确定和构成的分析,使我们能准确的界定、高效的运用和管理工会资产,确保工会资产的保值增值,更好地发挥工会组织在建设现代化社会和构建社会主义和谐社会中的作用.