Health and political regimes: Evidence from quantile regression

This study investigates how political regimes affect health conditions such as infant and child mortality rates and life expectancy using data from 180 countries observed between 1960 and 2013. Panel quantile regression is used to examine the effects at different intervals throughout the distribution of health outcomes. The estimation results indicate that democracy has significant positive effects on health outcomes and that its impacts are greater when health outcomes are worse. These results are robust to different democracy and health indices. The effects of different types of democracies and dictatorships are also considered, that is parliamentary, mixed (semi-presidential) and presidential democracies, and civilian, military and royal dictatorships. The parliamentary form of democracy has the largest positive impact on health outcomes at the worst quantile of health outcomes, although the difference in the impacts of the three types of democracies is not necessarily large. Furthermore, all types of dictatorships have a negative impact on health outcomes, with military dictatorship having the worst outcome when health outcomes are worse. Finally, the effects of democratization on health outcomes are significantly positive when the health outcomes are worse.     

两合计划:从政府需要角度透视其职能转变

立足政府需要,从侧面对当前政府职能转变过程进行分析和探讨,希望以政府本身作为理性实体的运作为基础,对该问题进行解释。     

论理性消费视角下生态和谐社会的建构

传统的消费观念和消费心理在目前资源和环境日益恶化的奈件下，已经难以为继。如何调整消费心理。进行合理消费已成为当前社会需要解决的重大课题。     

政府在发展高等职业教育中的角色定位思考

高等职业教育是我国高等教育的有机组成部分,政府在发展高等职业教育培训中拥有无可争议的地位,但政府能否对自己的角色加以理性定位却事关高职教育的健康发展。依据中国的具体国情,本文提出政府在高职教育发展中应该扮演催化剂、支持者、激励者和调控者的理性角色。     

Are Housing Price Cycles Driven by Irrational Expectations?

This paper investigates the extent to which condominium apartment prices are set in an efficient asset market. Unlike previous work that focuses on the time-series properties of measures of excess returns, the analysis is framed in terms of the changes in observable house prices over time. More precisely, the paper develops and applies a test of the joint null hypothesis of rational expectations, perfect markets, and no risk premium in the Vancouver condominium apartment market. The empirical results provide significant evidence against the joint null hypothesis. On average, ex post house price changes move in a direction opposite to their rational expectation. This approach offers a methodological advantage over the standard efficiency literature and is shown to provide a more powerful test of market efficiency than conventional return regressions. Another contribution of the paper is to characterize the time-series properties of deviations of condominium prices from those predicted by the risk-neutral rational expectations model, using cointegration and random coefficients techniques. Deviations in house price changes from their (risk-neutral) rational expectations are time varying, stationary, and related to the stage of the real estate price cycle.     

Incentives for voluntary disclosure

Rule l0b-5 of the 1934 Securities and Exchange Act allows investors to sue firms for misrepresentation or omission. Since firms are principal–agent contracts between owners – contract designers – and privately informed managers, owners are the ultimate firms’ voluntary disclosure strategists. We analyze voluntary disclosure equilibrium in a game with two types of owners: expected liquidating dividends motivated (VMO) and expected price motivated (PMO). We find that Rule l0b-5: (i) does not deter misrepresentation and may suppress voluntary disclosure or, (ii) induces some firms to adopt a partial disclosure policy of disclosing only bad news or only good news.     

物流合理配送问题的多阶段建模优化求解方法

简述了现有货物配装问题在实际应用中的缺陷,并针对货物配送问题,提出了多阶段建模优化求解方法,并应用于实例中。实例证明该方法所求得的最优解更具合理性和实际意义。     

乡村休闲旅游地游客满意度评价研究——以成都市三圣乡幸福梅林为例

以成都市三圣乡幸福梅林为例，研究乡村休闲旅游地的游客满意度评价。研究表明，游客在评价总体满意度时，游客的总体期望差异与总体满意度有较大的相关性，而目的地与游客最佳目的地、其他同类目的地的比较优劣与总体满意度的相关性小；在评价具体评价因子时，游客的期望并不清晰，对具体评价因子感知实绩与满意度的评价差异不显著，感知实绩能有效地反映游客的满意度；游客满意度不仅与游客的推荐意愿正相关，而且也与游客的重游意愿正相关。     

社会养老保险新政的运行效果分析——基于沈阳市国有大型企业的调查

利用调查数据重点考察了社会养老保险新政的实际运行效果，指出了目前存在职工参保意愿不强烈、政策有效性尚不明显、对制度长期建设缺乏信心等现实问题，以期对养老保险制度的改革完善提供理论和政策依据。     

人本主义发展观的理论基础和内涵

人本主义发展观与主流经济学的基本理念形成微妙比照，它确立了经济社会发展“以人为本”的理念。人本主义发展观取代传统发展观表征发展观的历史转型，在这个过程中，“人本人”对“经济人”视阈边界的拓展为发展观矫正目标定位提供了理论支持和哲学基础；而发展观转型的深层基础则是人本主义经济理论对人的全面研究，它为人本主义发展观把生态的可持续发展和人的自由发展确立为发展目标提供了强大理论支持。