Family and sex-specific U.S. immigration from Europe, 1870–1910: A panel data study of rates and composition

This paper develops and estimates models of family and sex-specific emigration, as well as the sex composition of this emigration, from 12 European source countries to the U.S. for the period 1870–1910. The models are based on the distinction between economic migrants (males, single females, and some married females) and tied or trailing migrants (females) and are estimated with panel data, including data that relate to the occupational/industrial structure of male and female economic activity in source countries. Hausman-Taylor instrumental variable estimates suggest that although both males and females responded to labor-market signals, males were more responsive than females to per capita GDP differences. Moreover, compared to the rest of Europe, Ireland, and Scandinavia were the sources of many young, single male, and female migrants, who responded strongly to gaps in economic opportunities. In fact, much of the European response to such gaps appears to be due to migrants from Ireland and Scandinavia. Females tended to originate in English-speaking countries and countries that were agriculturally oriented. Service and manufacturing jobs in source countries discouraged the migration of females relative to males. Males tended to follow recent migrants more than females, but females responded more to long-term influences as measured by stocks of migrants from their source countries who had previously settled in the U.S. Countries with high birth rates had relatively fewer female emigrants, whereas those with high rates of natural increase 20 years earlier experienced relatively more male emigration. Intact families, other family members (including family-strategy male migrants and trailing female migrants), and single males and females responded strongly to economic incentives, but the singles were most responsive followed by family-strategy males.     

非正规金融研究文献述评

通过对非正规金融的概念、类型、规模、形成原因、市场利率等方面的梳理,指出非正规金融的产生适应经济发展的内在要求,具有客观必然性。非正规金融的高利率在一定程度上是放贷风险的补偿,同时也是对正规金融官僚体制低效率的制度适应。     

我国制造业环境管制的实证研究

从制造业的角度出发,分析了政府对环境管制(ER)的两种形式:正式管制(FER)和非正式管制(I-ER),建立了环境管制均衡方程,并且采用面板数据的分析方法对理论假设进行了验证。研究表明,假设的影响制造业环境管制的主要因素:政府保护意愿、劳动密集程度、产业规模、经济外向度、产业国有化程度、科技吸收转化支出和劳动力素质的高低均产生了显著的影响。     

正规金融、非正规金融与农户生产经营风险——基于CHFS数据的实证研究

基于CHFS 2015年数据,运用Logit模型剖析农户参与正规金融和非正规金融的影响因素,采用倾向得分匹配法（PSM）系统分析正规金融、非正规金融对农户生产经营风险的化解效应。结果显示：农户的性别、年龄、受教育程度、婚姻状况、健康状况、家庭人口规模、家庭人均收入等因素显著影响农户参与金融借贷;正规金融能够显著化解农户生产经营风险,且对35岁以上的农户、非贫困户、高收入家庭、西部地区农户等群体所起的作用更为显著;非正规金融在农户生产经营风险化解中发挥的作用有限。正规金融能够通过促进农户创业来化解农户生产经营风险。     

农村小企业融资实证分析——以江苏为例

本文通过对无锡、扬州两地37家农村企业调查,分析了无锡和扬州两地农村小企业融资存在的一些共性:正规金融市场贷款与企业规模、地域有关;民间金融市场贷款与“血缘”有关;抵押担保成为企业从正规金融市场贷款的主要方式;两地企业都存在融资瓶颈,主要体现在贷款审批程序的复杂性、严格的抵押规定或个人担保要求;企业主个人背景对借贷渠道存在相关性。     

中国非正规部门指数的设计与测算——兼论非正规部门与经济增长关系

文章基于2008版国民经济核算体系新框架,利用统计指数理论和综合评价技术从投资、消费、就业、金融四个方面设计并测算我国非正规部门指数。在此基础上,探讨了非正规部门与经济增长的内在联系。研究结果显示,我国非正规部门年均增长快于同期经济增长;非正规部门的"低抗风险性、低政府规制"的特征增加了非正规部门增长的不稳定性;非正规部门与经济增长之间存在协整关系,不论从长期还是短期看,当期非正规部门与经济增长均存在正向关系,但影响程度较弱。     

当前我国农村民间金融发展现状、问题及对策

我国农村普遍存在供给型金融压抑,农村经济主体资金需求得不到有效满足,只能转而求助于民间非正规金融。本文在对农村民间金融的基本状况进行分析的基础上,继续探讨了民间金融所存在的问题,并提出了相关的对策。本文认为考虑我国农村地区的金融发展现状,民间金融的存在是必要的,但是必须加以规范和引导。     

ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ON THE URBAN–RURAL DISPARITY IN HUMAN CAPITAL IN CHINA

With China's economic development and capital accumulation in the industrial sectors, the human capital level of the labours moving from the rural areas could no longer meet the demand of the industrial sectors. Therefore, “structural shortage of technical labour” emerged in the labour market as a result of excess of demand for high‐skilled workers. Previous literature mostly focused on the relationship between rural human‐capital level and labour movement, income change and economic growth, but in this article, the authors focus on the study of the relative disparity of urban and rural human capital and labour movement, as well as the effect of the change of urban–rural human capital gap on industrial output, profit and social welfare. This article shows that bridging the urban–rural gap in respect of human capital level could not only improve the situation of the “structural shortage of technical labour,” but also have a positive effect on the general social welfare.     

元明古籍讹误的类型

许多由著名学者整理、著名出版社出版的元明古籍的今人点校本存在为数不少的错误,归纳起来大致有八种：1）因俗字而误;2）因形近而误;3）因音近而误;4）句读有误;5）不明词义而误;6）不了解传统文化;7）史实考察不严谨;8）不明诗词格律。运用俗字学、词汇学、训诂学、文献学、校勘学、音韵学、历史学等方面的知识可以纠正这些错误。     

失地农民中特殊群体非正规就业问题实证研究——以成都市郊两镇为例

通过对成都市郊弥牟镇和大弯镇的特殊群体——大龄、文化程度低失地农民非正规就业选择问题的实证案例及其理论分析,揭示了非正规就业是大龄、文化程度低失地农民人力资本合理的再配置形式;城市政府现行相关政策导向和制度安排导致非正规就业制度成本上升,无助于这一群体生计的可持续性。城市政府应积极看待非正规就业的正面功能,以新的制度安排促进非正规就业市场的健康发展,从而为社会弱势群体创造实现可持续生计的公平机会。