Study on formation mechanisms of Gannan navel orange characteristic industrial clusters on organizational ecology

The planter history of Gannan navel orange might trace to 1970s, up to now underwent in more than 30 years. Approximately, the development historical division on the Gannan navel orange is 4 stages. The natural environment factor, the customer factor, and the political factor have played crucial roles in the formation and development of GNOCIC. Among them, the rich natural resource and the superior geographical environment are the material base. And government＇s support is the main propelling force. The customers＇ expense is the final decision strength by chance which it develops, expands.     

Simpler Probabilistic Population Forecasts: Making Scenarios Work

The traditional high-low-medium scenario approach to quantifying uncertainty in population forecasts has been criticized as lacking probabilistic meaning and consistency. This paper shows, under certain assumptions, how appropriately calibrated scenarios can be used to approximate the uncertainty intervals on future population size and age structure obtained with fully stochastic forecasts. As many forecasting organizations already produce scenarios and because dealing with them is familiar territory, the methods presented here offer an attractive intermediate position between probabilistically inconsistent scenario analysis and fully stochastic forecasts.     

区域金融生态对金融资源配置的影响

区域金融生态对金融资源配置有很大的影响,一个地区金融资源的多少与该地区的金融生态密切相关.区域经济的快速发展将增加该区域对金融资源的需求,有利于改善该区域的金融生态环境;改善区域金融生态环境有利于吸引金融资源,从而推动区域经济的发展.区域金融资源配置要兼顾效益与公平原则.区域金融资源配置受到区域金融生态的硬约束.为提高区域金融资源的配置效率,应采取改善区域金融生态环境与推动区域经济发展并重的策略.     

城市生态贫困研究

从贫困的本质入手 ,指出生态贫困是贫困的一种基本类型。在界定城市生态贫困内涵的基础上 ,对我国城市生态贫困的特征、成因和治理对策进行了分析。     

生态美学的实践观辨

从"人类中心主义"和"生态中心主义"、"天人合一"和"人定胜天"以及"静态的和谐"和"能动的和谐"这三个方面对生态美学的实践观进行了辨析,旨在对生态美学的实践观达成共识,以及倡导生态美学不仅以人与自然、人与社会、人与自身的自由和谐理念解释世界,更在于积极按此理念改造世界.     

生态水利工程设计在水利建设中的运用

水资源的合理、科学以及绿色的使用是确保国家高效成长以及保护社会正常运行的前提条件,因此创建生态水利工程具有至关重要的意义。现如今本国的水资源被污染以及浪费的程度愈来愈大,能够将水资源合理、可续的使用起来是水利创建当中最为核心的内容,因此本国的相关单位对于生态水利工程的创建有着极大的重视。针对于此,全文着重探讨了生态水利工程策划的意义、在创建水利工程当中生态水利工程策划需要遵守原则以及生态水利工程在水利创建当中的使用,仅供参考。     

构建旅游景气指数体系及预警机制的探讨--以杭州市为例

伴随着国民经济的发展,我国国内旅游发展迅速,被称为“国民经济提升的催化剂”。然而受到旅游业市场规模、国内外政治经济环境、生态环境以及一些不可抗力(如新冠疫情)等多方面影响,旅游行业很有必要建立一套景气指标体系,从而预测旅游业的经济走向,提供预警功能,以保证旅游业平稳有序发展。     

吉林省金融生态研究

金融生态是仿生学概念,核心在于构建一个影响金融内外部因素的集合,通过系统研究这一集合中各个因素的发展情况,来优化这一生态系统。吉林省作为东北老工业基地之一,2020年上半年GDP总量是5441.92亿元,较去年同期增加了125.86万亿,虽然经济总量略有增长,但在全国省份中排名仍然靠后。因而研究吉林省金融生态的建设现状,发现吉林省金融生态的问题,并提出建议对优化吉林省金融生态,增强其对经济发展的促进效果有重要意义。     

Regional, national, and spatially explicit scenarios of demographic and economic change based on SRES

We report here spatially explicit scenario interpretations for population and economic activity (GDP) for the time period 1990 to 2100 based on three scenarios (A2, B1, and B2) from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). At the highest degree of spatial detail, the scenario indicators are calculated at a 0.5 by 0.5 degree resolution. All three scenarios follow the qualitative scenario characteristics, as outlined in the original SRES scenarios. Two scenarios (B1 and B2) also follow (with minor adjustments due to scenario improvements) the original SRES quantifications at the level of 4 and 11 world regions respectively. The quantification of the original SRES A2 scenario has been revised to reflect recent changing perceptions on the demographic outlook of world population growth. In this revised “high population growth” scenario, A2r world population reaches some 12 billion by 2100 (as opposed to some 15 billion in the original SRES A2 scenario) and is characterized by a “delayed fertility transition” that is also mirrored in a delayed (economic) development catch-up, resulting in an initially stagnating and subsequently only very slow reduction in income disparities. The spatially explicit scenario interpretation proceeds via two steps. Through a combination of decomposition and optimization methods, world regional scenario results are first disaggregated to the level of 185 countries. In a subsequent second step, national results are further disaggregated to a grid cell level, taking urbanization and regional (rural–urban) income disparities explicitly into account. A distinguishing feature of the spatially explicit scenario results reported here is that both methodologies, as well as numerical assumptions underlying the “downscaling” exercise, are scenario-dependent, leading to distinctly different spatial patterns of population and economic activities across the three scenarios examined.     

信用的生态学诠释与信用生态链的构建

生态学有逐渐与经济学相渗透、相融合的趋势，从而扩展了经济学的研究边界。本文从生态学的视角对信用加以研究，首先介绍了信用生态的理论内涵，其次研究了良好的社会信用生态环境的评价标准，最后对构建和谐的社会信用生态链提出了具体的对策措施。