基于GM(1,1)模型的造纸业上市公司财务研究——以冠豪高新为例

财务风险是企业调整发展战略、提升管理水平的重要参考指标之一。财务风险预测模型的建立能够预测企业在中短期内的财务风险,为企业敲响警钟。以造纸业上市公司冠豪高新为例,选取近五年财务杠杆系数为风险指标,建立GM(1,1)风险预测模型,结果显示该公司短期内财务风险呈下降趋势,调查发现这主要得益于产品成本的降低以及营销策略的改变。     

大兴安岭林业持续发展的探讨

大兴安岭森林是受冻土控制下形成和发展的，保存了大量淡水资源，形成了冷湿生态环境。大兴安岭林业持续发展必须按特殊方式经营，建立生态林业，从而发挥其固有的多种效益。     

森工企业员工工作满意度评价及其改善

应用MSQ的简单形式对森工企业员工工作满意度进行测评 ,总体分值低 ,与员工期望存在很大差异。改善员工满意度应从产业开发 ,发展地方经济、社区共管 ,改善生产、生活设施 ,管理重心下移 ,提高员工收入水平等方面采取措施     

The amenity value of woodland in Great Britain: A comparison of economic estimates

Forests produce benefits over and above the revenue yielded from timber and other wood based products. Most important among these may be the recreational benefits for visitors, which have been examined in several studies. Total benefits for residents are perhaps more accurately captured in property values since, ceteris paribus, the price of a house reflects willingness to pay to live near an environmental amenity such as a forest to gain access to it, and also the amenity (non-use) value of the forest in so far as it creates a pleasant landscape. However, the total non-priced value of forestry is not the sum of HPM and ITCM benefit estimates. Recreational benefits will typically be less, and will be subsumed in the HPM estimates, since the hedonic price is partly induced by the value of recreational access.     

林业企业信息化面临的问题及对策

面对信息化时代的到来,企业信息化成为企业生存和发展的关键,文章从目前我国林业企业的现状出发,分析了林业企业信息化中存在的主要问题,并提出了相应的对策。     

对湘鄂渝黔边区部分偏远山区搬迁扶贫的思考

湘鄂渝黔边区部分偏远山区搬迁扶贫不仅是可行的,而且是必要的.在搬迁扶贫中,应制定综合性的农村发展规划,缩小城乡就业机会之间的不平衡;搞好各方面的综合配套改革,为搬迁农户创造良好的生存发展环境,并注重对迁出地的开发.     

旅游产业集群:形态、边界与运行机制——湖南旅游产业集群实证研究

从波特所界定的产业集群概念出发，以集群产业关联深度为出发点，采用投入产出法和聚类分析法，对湖南省旅游产业集群的形态、边界及运行机制进行了识别和界定。研究表明，现阶段湖南省旅游集群是以旅行社业为核心产业，包括六大主体产业和12项辅助产业在内的轴轮状与网状相结合的混合型产业集群结构形态。其中，核心产业与主体产业之间为组织一参与关系；主体产业之间属于横向共生性联结；主体产业与辅助产业之间则是以上下游价值链关系为纽带的纵向联结模式。湖南旅游集群发展模式对于具有高度组团化特征和处于成长阶段初期的旅游目的地具有普适性意义并可作为研究区域旅游产业集群演化过程的一个起点。     

Wood Fuel or Carbon Sink? Aspects of Forestry in the Climate Question

This paper discusses and contrasts two mainroles of forestry in light of the debate on theglobal climate. As the main problem is relatedto the increases of the CO₂-concentrationin the atmosphere, forests may be viewed aspart of the alleviation of the problem throughtheir function as (i) a source of biomass forenergy production, which may replace fossilfuels and thus indirectly reduceCO₂-emissions, and as (ii) carbon storage,since a growing forest extracts atmosphericCO₂ and fixes it as carbon in biomass. Inthe Scandinavian forestry, logging residues areincreasingly being used for energy production.In this paper the value of forests as a sourceof bioenergy is added to the traditional timbervalue. Formulated as a joint production modelwithin the Faustmann framework, the effect ofthis addition on the optimal rotation length isdiscussed. Based on data for spruce, thedominant species in the Scandinavian forestry,it is demonstrated that the rotation length isshortened compared to the standard Faustmannmodel. Shorter rotation length implies lesscarbon storage. Therefore, in this modelwithout explicit regard to the social carbonstorage value of the forest, the gains in termsof the climate problem from utilisation offorest biomass for energy production are beingdiminished by the value of reduced carbonstorage. The carbon value of the forest is thenadded to complete the model, with the effect ofincreasing the rotation length, a result thatis well known in the literature. Finally, theempirical effects of the interaction of thesetwo climate-related value elements of theforest are discussed.     

Multiple Species Boreal Forests – What Faustmann Missed

Recent research in natural sciences shows that the dynamics in boreal forests are much more complex than what many models traditionally used in forestry economics reflect. This essay analyzes some challenges of accounting for such complexity. It shows that the optimal harvesting strategy for forest owners is history dependent and for some states of the forest, more than one strategy may be optimal.This paper confirms earlier literature on shallow lakes and coral reefs and shows that this kind of phenomena seem much more common than previously thought. They are valid for a wide range of ecosystems that cover large surfaces and they do not depend on the choice of some specific function to model the non-linearity. There are also indications that theses results could be obtained even for resources with concave growth if at least one species with non-linear growth affects their dynamics.     

湖南信息化带动工业化机制研究

人类社会已入入21世纪，对处于工业化中期初级阶段的湖南而言，继续完成工业化无疑是现代化过程中艰巨的历史任务，与此同时，大力国民经济和社会信息化，也是覆盖湖南现代化建设全民的战略措施，为此，正确处理工业化与信息化的关系，以信息化带动工业化，是关系湖南现代化建设的一个极为重要的问题，本文首先分析了湖南信息化和工业化的现状，然后对80年代中期以来的湖南信息化水平和工业化水平进行相关分析，在此基础上对他们相互影响的机制进行分析，最后就湖南今后实际信息化带动工业化提出具体措施。