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1.
A proper credit scoring technique is vital to the long-term success of all kinds of financial institutions, including peer-to-peer (P2P) lending platforms. The main contribution of our paper is the robust ranking of 10 different classification techniques based on a real-world P2P lending data set. Our data set comes from the Lending Club covering the 2009–2013 period, which contains 212,252 records and 23 different variables. Unlike other researchers, we use a data sample which contains the final loan resolution for all loans. We built our research using a 5-fold cross-validation method and 6 different classification performance measurements. Our results show that logistic regression, artificial neural networks, and linear discriminant analysis are the three best algorithms based on the Lending Club data. Conversely, we identify k-nearest neighbors and classification and regression tree as the two worst classification methods. 相似文献
2.
BASIL DALAMAGAS 《International Review of Applied Economics》2005,19(2):219-242
The focus of this paper is twofold. First, it examines the impact on work effort of changes in government purchases financed with lump‐sum taxes, in a neoclassical framework, with respect to four industrialised countries. Second, it reconsiders the expenditure–work effort relationship in a broader conceptual context that allows for distortionary taxation and a disaggregation of the income and substitution effects. Our findings are shown to cast doubt on the empirical plausibility of the prevailing (neoclassical and New Keynesian) models which seem to rely heavily on the lump‐sum tax notion, thus ignoring the substitution effects of distortionary taxation. 相似文献
3.
Tina Hviid Rydberg 《Finance and Stochastics》1997,1(3):251-257
Simple sufficient conditions for the existence of a unique equivalent martingale measure are provided. Furthermore, these
conditions give us a handle on situations where an equivalent martingale measure cannot exist. The existence of a unique equivalent
martingale measure is of relevance to problems in mathematical finance. Two examples of models for which the question of existence
was unresolved are studied. By means of our results existence of a unique equivalent measure up to an explosion time is proved. 相似文献
4.
Characterization and construction of optimal designs using the familiar optimality criteria, for example A-, D- and E-optimality
are well studied in the literature. However the study of the Distance Optimality (DS-) criterion introduced by Sinha (1970)
has very recently drawn attention of researchers. In the present article, we consider the singularly estimable full rank problem
of estimating the full set of elementary treatment contrasts using the DS optimality criterion in the set up of a one way
ANOVA model. Using a limit argument it turns out that a CRD in which difference between any two allocation numbers is at the
most unity is uniquely DS-optimal.
Acknowledgement. We are thankful to Prof. B. K. Sinha for suggesting the problem to us and many helpful discussions with him. We are also
thankful to the referees for drawing our attention to the reference of Bischoff (1995) and many helpful comments. 相似文献
5.
Demand fluctuations and capacity utilization under duopoly 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
Summary. This paper studies the impact of uncertain demand on firms’ capacity decisions when they operate in an oligopolistic environment.
We define a two-stage game where firms choose capacity in the first stage without knowing which state of Nature is going to
realize, and output levels in the second, knowing which state is realized. We prove the existence of a symmetric subgame perfect
equilibrium at which firms are in excess capacity compared with the capacity they would choose in the Cournot certainty equivalent
game.
Received: May 17, 1996; revised version July 31, 1996 相似文献
6.
Shouyong Shi 《Economic Theory》1997,10(1):99-133
Summary. This paper examines the relationship between specialization and the use of money in two versions of the search-theoretic
monetary model. The first version establishes a surprising result that specialization is more likely to occur in a barter
economy than in a monetary economy. The result is reversed in the second version where a different specification of preferences
is adopted to limit the scope of barter. This contrast between the results provides a concrete illustration of the general
argument that money encourages specialization only when it enlarges the extent of the market.
Received: January 31, 1995; revised version August 12, 1996 相似文献
7.
J. Kol 《De Economist》2004,152(2):273-296
Jan Tinbergen's scientific writings cover six main areas of research. His articles in De Economist represent these areas; in some cases the contributions to De Economist were of a pioneering nature (business cycles, economic models, economic integration); in others De Economist was the first or even single outlet for Tinbergen's work. This article provides an overview of these contributions. The wide scope of Tinbergen's areas of research goes together with a unity in approach, the characteristics of which are: policy relevance, quantification and measurement, balance in analysis and presentation, and learning from experience. Tinbergen's articles in De Economist bear witness to this approach which at the time also met with scepticism and resistance as this overview shows. According to Houthakker, Tinbergen's main contribution may be that, amidst the pleas of interest groups and the slogans of the laity, an attempt is made that the voice of the professional economic researcher be heard. Tinbergen's work still sets an agenda for both economic research and policy making. 相似文献
8.
We provide specific qualifications in order that Kuhn–Tucker type Euler equations and transversality conditions at infinity
hold in stochastic equilibrium models with heterogeneous agents and where assets are traded in sequential markets. It is not
assumed that uncertainty is modeled as an event-tree structure or that preferences are necessarily bounded. We also describe
an important class of preferences based on bounded relative risk aversion which yields relevant simplifications. Our results
are used to establish conditions that rule out asset pricing bubbles. Specific examples of economies with bubbles are also
discussed.
Received: 28 January 2002 / Accepted: 19 July 2002
We are grateful to the editor and an anonymous referee for their valuable comments. This research was partially supported
by MURST (Italy), National Group on “Nonlinear Dynamics and Stochastic Models in Economics and Finance”. 相似文献
9.
The aim of this paper is to provide a connection between concentration and inequality. In particular, we show that the general
entropy inequality indices are, among inequality measures, those consistent with the whole set of Hannah-Kay concentration
indices. We isolate the inequality component underlying concentration measures, obtaining an explicit additive decomposition
of the change in concentration into the change in its two components, i.e., inequality and the number of firms. This relationship
proves to be valid for the whole set of Hannah-Kay concentration indices, and embodies as particular cases some others previously
found in the literature.
We are particularly grateful to Emilio Cerdá for helpful comments on the mathematical formulation of the paper. The second
author also acknowledges support through the European Commission Project #ERBCHRXCT980248. 相似文献
10.
Juan A. Lafuente 《Spanish Economic Review》2002,4(3):201-220
This paper analyses the intraday lead-lag relationships between returns and volatilities in the Ibex 35 spot and futures
markets. Using hourly data, we jointly analyze the interactions between markets, estimating a bivariate error correction model
with GARCH perturbations which captures stochastically the presence of an intraday U-shaped curve for both spot and futures market volatility. Our findings show a bidirectional causal relationship between market
volatilities, with a positive feedback. This two-way transmission of volatility is consistent with market prices evolving
according to a long-run equilibrium relationship, and shocks affecting both markets in the same direction. Our empirical results
also support a unidirectional cross interaction from futures to spot market returns. This pattern suggests that the futures
market leads the spot market in order to incorporate the arrival of new information. 相似文献