Data-based mechanistic modelling and forecasting globally averaged surface temperature

The main objective of this paper it to model the dynamic relationship between global averaged measures of Total Radiative Forcing (RTF) and surface temperature, measured by the Global Temperature Anomaly (GTA), and then use this model to forecast the GTA. The analysis utilizes the Data-Based Mechanistic (DBM) approach to the modelling and forecasting where, in this application, the unobserved component model includes a novel hybrid Box-Jenkins stochastic model in which the relationship between RTF and GTA is based on a continuous time transfer function (differential equation) model. This model then provides the basis for short term, inter-annual to decadal, forecasting of the GTA, using a transfer function form of the Kalman Filter, which produces a good prediction of the ‘pause’ or ‘levelling’ in the temperature rise over the period 2000 to 2011. This derives in part from the effects of a quasi-periodic component that is modelled and forecast by a Dynamic Harmonic Regression (DHR) relationship and is shown to be correlated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) index.     

辐射迁移方程--一个K-辛空间上的正则方程

说明了均匀、轴对称、无源介质是一个K-辛空间上的Hamilton系统，Hamilton函数是系统的守恒量；数值计算辐射强度角分布的合理途径是将辐射迁移方程离散成以离散Hamilton函数为守恒量的有限维K-辛空间上的正则方程，并采用保离散Hamilton函数守恒的K-辛算法数值求解．     

用保形样条方法求解非定常对流扩散方程

在欧拉-拉格朗日分裂方法的基础上,本文发展了一种固定网格上的欧拉-拉格朗日分裂方法.保形样条方法(SPSM)被用来解决倒特征线插值问题.通过求解几个有精确解的例子,说明SPSM方法的解是单调无振荡的,并且数值耗散也是比较小的.     

A TVD Scheme for Incompressible Flow Coupled With Different Turbulence Modles on A Ground-Mounted Square-RIB Flow

A finite-difference Total Variation Diminishing (TVD) numerical simulation model for coupling the Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations, pressure-relative continuity equation and various k-ε turbulence models was developed to solve the incompressible flow based on the pseudo-compressibility method. The hyperbolicity of all these equations was studied and the discretization of the fully coupling equations with all the primal variables and source terms were made in this article. Numerical simulation for modeling the flow around a ground-mounted square rib was implemented and validated by comparing with the published wind tunnel experimental data. It is shown that such a numerical simulation method with a proper turbulence model has a very good accuracy to simulate the flow around a surface-mounted rib. It is concluded that the Renormalization Group (RNG) and Chen-Kim k-ε turbulence models have much better ability to predict the characteristics of the vortex structure and flow separation than the standard k-ε model.     

A BOUNDARY INTEGRAL EQUATION AND ITS NUMERICAL SOLUTION OF POTENTIAL FLOW AROUND SURFACE-IRREGULA-RITIES

In this paper,using complex functional theory,the authors turn the potentialflow around the surface irregularities in a pressure conduit and semi-infinite platforms intoDirichlet problem.Based on Schwarz formula and by the application of Plemelj's formula,theauthors change the problem into the integration of a Cauchy boundary integral equation in theflow plane through the substitution of variables.Using numerical integration,the authors obtainthe velocity distribution and pressure coefficient along surface irregularities and platforms.Thephysical concept of this method is clear,the convergent speed is rapid and the computative effi-ciency is high.The calculated values agree well with the measured results.It is an effective andsimple method in solving potential flow.     

关于非线性浅水波理论中的孤立波解

本文在[1]的基础上,详尽地得到了Boussinesq方程和KdV方程的孤立波解,并对波高和波形进行了细致的分析。为了更好地比较,本文还给出了高阶摄动的孤立波解。     

OPERATOR-SPLITTING METHOD FOR ANALYSIS OF CAVITATION IN LIQUID-LUBRICATED HERRINGBONE GROOVED JOURNAL BEARING

ＮＯＭＥＮＣＬＡＴＵＲＥｃ　ｒａｄｉａｌｃｌｅａｒａｎｃｅｈ　ｆｉｌｍｔｈｉｃｋｎｅｓｓ ｈ　ｄｉｍｅｎｓｉｏｎｌｅｓｓｆｉｌｍｔｈｉｃｋｎｅｓｓ (ｈ/ｃ)Ｌ/Ｄ　ｒａｔｉｏｏｆｌｅｎｇｔｈｔｏｄｉａｍｅｔｅｒｐ　ｆｉｌｍ ｐｒｅｓｓｕｒｅｅ　ｅｃｃｅｎｔｒｉ     

FINITE ELEMENT ANALYSIS OF THE FLOW INDUCED BY ROTATING BLADES IN AN INCOMPRESSIBLE VISCOUS FLUID

Aerodynamic loads on a multi-bladed helicopter rotor in hovering flight were calculated by solving the three-dimensional incompressible Navier-Stokes equations. The rotor wake effects were accounted by the correction of local geometric angle of attack according to a free-wake modeling in addition to an empirical modification for the tip flow effect. The validity and efficiency of the present method were verified by the comparisons between numerical results and experimental data.