Trade networks and economic fluctuations in Asian countries

The paper presents a new methodology, based on tensor decomposition, to map dynamic trade networks and to assess its strength in forecasting economic fluctuations at different periods of time in Asia. Using the monthly merchandise import and export data across 33 Asian economies, together with the US, EU and UK, we detect the community structure of the evolving network and we identify clusters and central nodes inside each of them. Our findings show that data are well represented by two communities, in which People's Republic of China and Japan play the major role. We then analyze the synchronisation between GDP growth and trade. Furthermore we apply our model to the prediction of economic fluctuations. Our findings show that the model leads to an increase in predictive accuracy, as higher order interactions between countries are taken into account.     

电磁精细探测法在隐伏型导水地质裂缝勘探中的应用

针对传统隐伏型导水地质裂缝勘探方法存在勘测精度较差的问题,提出电磁精细探测法探析隐伏型导水地质裂缝。依照屏蔽系数、实测场强和理论场强数据绘制综合曲线图,通过该图获取隐伏型导水地质裂缝所处位置几何阴影范围,采用层析成像法得到网格化的工作面,获取隐伏型导水地质图像。通过图像直接观测隐伏型导水地质工作面裂缝所处位置,在此基础上,观测四个电磁场分量,采用正交电磁场分量计算介质视电阻率,依据计算视电阻率数值和视电阻率分布状态研究裂缝发育情况和裂缝富水程度。结果表明:采用该方法能较为精准地获取隐伏型导水地质裂缝位置。通过裂缝位置进一步检测出隐伏型导水地质裂缝最大发育高度为63.5 m。当视电阻数值不断增加时,隐伏型导水地质裂缝和裂缝富水性逐渐减小,与实际情况较为相符,说明该种方法探析效果较好。     

DIRECT RESONANCE OF TURBULENT BOUNDARY LAVER OVER COMPLIANT WALLS

１．　ＩＮＴＲＯＤＵＣＴＩＯＮＴｈｅｍａｉｎｇｏａｌｏｆｔｈｉｓｐａｐｅｒｉｓｔｏｅｘｐｌｏｒｅｔｈｅｐｏｓｓｉｂｉｌｉｔｙｔｏｌｅａｒｎｍｏｒｅａｂｏｕｔｔｈｅｍｅｃｈａｎｉｓｍｏｆｔｕｒｂｕｌｅｎｔｂｏｕｎｄａｒｙｌａｙｅｒｆｌｏｗｉｎｔｅｒａｃｔｉｏｎｓａｎｄｉｔｓｅｆｆｅｃｔｓｏｎｃｏｍｐｌｉａｎｔｗａｌｌｐｅｒｆｏｒｍａｎｃｅ．Ｔｈｅｒｅａｒｅｃｅｒｔａｉｎｐｒｅｒｅｑｕｉｓｉｔｅｃｏｎｄｉｔｉｏｎｓｔｏｆｕｒｔｈｅｒｔｈｅｓｔｕｄｙｏｎｔｈｅｍｅｃｈａｎｉｓｍ，ｉ．ｅ．ｔｈｅｃｏ…     

土钉墙技术在华丰湾堤防工程边坡支护中的应用

在华丰湾堤防工程施工中 ,为防止因边坡开挖而造成附近房屋出现裂缝问题 ,经论证决定采用土钉墙技术对堤基开挖进行边坡支护 ;经实施 ,堤基开挖顺利 ,附近房屋无任何位移与沉降迹象。     

Effect of sampling density on the measurement of stream condition indicators in two lowland Australian streams

There is widespread application of indicators to the assessment of environmental condition of streams. These indicators are intended for use by managers in making various comparative and absolute assessments and often have a role in resource allocation and performance assessment. Therefore, the problem of formally defining confidence in the results is important but difficult because the sampling strategies used are commonly based on a compromise between the requirements of statistical rigour and the pragmatic issues of access and resources. It is rare to see this compromise explicitly considered and consequently there is seldom quantification of the uncertainty that could affect the confidence a manager has in an indicator. In this paper, we present a method for quantitatively assessing the tradeoffs between sampling density and uncertainty in meeting various monitoring objectives. Assessments using judgement‐based representative reaches are shown to be unreliable; instead a sampling approach is recommended based on the random selection of measuring sites. A detailed dataset was collected along two streams in Victoria, Australia, and the effect of sampling density was assessed by subsampling from this dataset with precision related to the number of sites assessed per reach length and the intensity of the sampling at each site. The sampling scheme to achieve a given precision is shown to depend on the monitoring objective. In particular, three objectives were considered: (1) making a baseline assessment of current condition; (2) change detection; and (3) detection of a critical threshold in condition. Change detection is shown to be more demanding than assessing baseline condition with additional sampling effort required to achieve the same precision. Sampling to detect a critical threshold depends on nominating acceptable values of Type I and II error and the size of the effect to be detected. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

黑河右岸溢洪洞左导墙优化试验

黑河水利枢纽右岸溢洪洞为缩短引渠左导墙的长度,减少施工开挖量,降低施工难度,减少工程投资,进行优化试验.通过对7种不同的方案对比分析,选择了合适的体型,满足了工程要求.     

混凝土骨料二维分布的模拟和应用

通过在一个矩形截面上模拟混凝土骨料的实际分布，获得了该截面上任一点的骨料分布密度和骨料分布的统计特性。模拟结果表明，当模拟次数趋向于无穷大时，截面上任一点的骨料分布密度趋向于定值，对于不同的骨料面积百分数，骨料分布密度曲线的形状十分相似，均由上升段和水平段两部分组成。基于这些模拟结果，利用数学拟合获得了骨料分布密度的解析表达式，并被混凝土实验所初步证实。作为一个应用，本文计算了混凝土截面上各点的氯离子扩散系数。     

挡土墙设计的几点心得体会

挡土墙在工程建设中较为常见,其类型取决于工程场地的地形、地质条件,针对不同类型的挡土墙,以实 例加以剖析,分析其工况,总结其设计要点及体会。     

柘林电站第二溢洪道砼鼻坎截水墙施工

柘林水电站第二溢洪道,在鼻坎先于下部截墙施工中,为了满足当年泄洪,施工先沿截墙自上而下挖掘交通竖井,支撑牢固,安设好提升设备并打通墙底导洞后,再自下而上分层扩挖及浇筑砼.开挖采用登渣作业,出渣用可伸缩手柄架子车经吊篮提升.墙顶砼浇筑,通过预留在鼻坎内的下料小井进料.     

焊接铁网石箱(GABION)挡土墙设计与施工

焊接铁网石箱是采用镀锌的轻质铁线和先进的焊接工艺制造而成，可用于水利、公路、建筑工程。本文就焊接铁网石箱在水利工程挡土墙中的应用设计、制造工艺以及施工方法进行了详尽地介绍。