水文序列相依变异识别的RIC定阶准则——以自回归模型为例

水文过程相依性是水文变异的主要表现形式之一,应用自回归模型对其进行拟合时合理确定模型阶数是一个难点问题。本文在分析AIC和BIC准则的基础上,提出了一种以原序列与其相依成分的相关系数作为拟合度指标,同时借用信息熵形式的函数式,作为模型不确定性度量指标的自回归模型定阶准则(简称RIC准则)。以AR(1)、AR(2)、AR(3)和AR(4)模型为例进行统计试验,将不同序列长度下该准则的定阶准确率与其他定阶准则进行比较,试验结果表明,RIC准则对于上述模型均具有较好的适应性,且定阶准确率远高于AIC准则,其中对于前三阶模型RIC准则优于BIC准则,但四阶模型略低于BIC准则。RIC准则的优势是可以同时满足模型定阶、相依程度分级与模型检验的需求,将其应用于实测水文序列分析,结果显示,该准则能较准确地识别自回归模型的阶数,且符合提出的"相依有变异而残差无变异的最小阶数"的检验标准。     

灰局势决策在水利工程开发方案优选中的应用

针对水利工程开发方案优选具有多目标、多层次等特点,建立灰局势决策模型并应用变异系数法确定评价指标权重。利用该模型对灌区改建扩建规划方案进行优选,结果表明这是一种有效的方法。     

非稳定井流模型的半解析解

为了提高非稳定渗流计算的计算精度 ,通过数学分析得到了水位传导系数随时间变化时 ,一类非稳定渗流井流模型的半解析解 ,并进行了计算比较     

WAVE INTERACTION WITH PERFORATED CAISSON BREAKWATERS

The reflection coefficient of perforated caissons and the total horizontal forces acting on them were experimentally and numerically analyzed and discussed when wave propagates normally. To consider the viscosity effect of fluid and nonlinear action of waves on structures, the VOF (Volume Of Fluid) method combined with the k-ε turbulence model was used to simulate the interaction between waves and structures. Governing equations were solved with the finite difference method. Through 2D experimental study in the wave flume, the empirical relationship between the reflection coefficient of perforated caissons and the main affecting factors were obtained from the experimental data using the least square method. Also the correlation between the ratio of the total horizontal force acting on perforated caisson and the force acting on solid caisson and the main affecting factors were regressed from the experimental data.     

脉冲液体射流泵时均值基本方程中的流速系数

运用非恒定的动量方程和时均值计算方法,对脉冲液体射流泵时均值基本方程中的流速系数进行了理论研究,推导出了喉管和喉管进口段流速系数φ2和φ5的计算式。通过与恒定射流的流速系数计算式对比,阐明了脉冲频率是影响φ2和φ5的主要因素,沟通了脉冲射流与恒定射流流速系数之间的关系。     

引黄工程首次试通水期间泵站安全监测资料的分析

介绍了引黄工程泵站建筑物的结构特性、监测情况以及首次试通水期间 安全监测量的变化特点，指出了监测资料反映出的一些工程实际问题。通过定量分析，揭示 了建筑物承受的主要荷载以及监测量的变化规律，发现了工程问题发生和发展的原因，较为 系统、深入地从安全监测的角度研究了引水工程泵站地下洞室群的工作性态。     

新疆平原区降水入渗补给地下水研究

以新疆昌吉地下水均衡试验站测得的降水入渗补给地下水量资料为基础 ,讨论了影响降水入渗补给地下水的因素 ,计算了潜水年降水入渗补给系数 ,建立了年降水入渗补给系数与潜水埋深间的经验公式     

复合形法优化内河航道重力式护岸

采用复合形优化法,结合《港口及航道护岸工程设计与施工规范》中推荐的抗滑、抗倾稳定的分项系数计算方法,并考虑了内河航道船形波等作用的影响效应,对重力式护岸断面进行了优化。     

掺气减蚀设施水力计算的改进

结合小湾工程泄洪洞模型试验进行了11种挑跌坎型和6级流量的试验观测，据此提出了特别适用于大单流量条件的射流出射角修正式，提出了射流近底流速的选取原则.与实验资料对比证明本文计算方法有足够精度。     

Variations in Spectral Slope in Lake Taihu,a Large Subtropical Shallow Lake in China

Spectral slope (S), describing the exponential decrease of the absorption spectrum over a given wavelength range, is an important parameter in the study of of chromophoric dissolved organic matter (CDOM) dynamics, and also an essential input parameter in remote sensing models. Furthermore, S is often used as a proxy for CDOM composition, including the ratio of fulvic to humic acids and molecular weight. The relative broad range in S values reported in the literature can be explained by the different spectral ranges and fitting methods used. A single exponential model is used to fit the S values for 17 investigations involving 458 samples in Lake Taihu from January to October in 2004. The average S value was 15.18 ± 1.39 μm⁻¹ for the range of 280–500 nm, which fell within the range reported in the literature. The frequency distribution of S value basically obeyed a normal distribution. Significant differences in S values between summer and other seasons showed that phytoplankton degradation was one of the important sources of CDOM in summer, whereas CDOM mainly came from the river input in other seasons. Furthermore, the estimated S value decreased with increasing wavelength range used in regression. The maximum and minimum values derived from the regression were 17.89 ± 1.25 μm⁻¹ and 13.62 ± 2.11 μm⁻¹ for the wavelength ranges of 280–380 nm and 400–500 nm, respectively, a decrease of 23.9%. S values significantly decreased with the increase of CDOM absorption coefficients. CDOM absorption coefficients could be more appropriately estimated from exponential model introducing the variation of S with absorption coefficients, making them useful for a remote sensing bio-optical model of Lake Taihu. DOC-specific absorption coefficient a*(λ) and the parameter M describing molecular size of the humic molecules could also be used as a proxy for the sources and types of CDOM. A general relationship was found between S and a*(λ), and M values. S increased with the decrease of DOC-specific absorption coefficient and the increase of M corresponding to the decrease of molecular weight.