水文序列相依变异识别的RIC定阶准则——以自回归模型为例

水文过程相依性是水文变异的主要表现形式之一,应用自回归模型对其进行拟合时合理确定模型阶数是一个难点问题。本文在分析AIC和BIC准则的基础上,提出了一种以原序列与其相依成分的相关系数作为拟合度指标,同时借用信息熵形式的函数式,作为模型不确定性度量指标的自回归模型定阶准则(简称RIC准则)。以AR(1)、AR(2)、AR(3)和AR(4)模型为例进行统计试验,将不同序列长度下该准则的定阶准确率与其他定阶准则进行比较,试验结果表明,RIC准则对于上述模型均具有较好的适应性,且定阶准确率远高于AIC准则,其中对于前三阶模型RIC准则优于BIC准则,但四阶模型略低于BIC准则。RIC准则的优势是可以同时满足模型定阶、相依程度分级与模型检验的需求,将其应用于实测水文序列分析,结果显示,该准则能较准确地识别自回归模型的阶数,且符合提出的"相依有变异而残差无变异的最小阶数"的检验标准。     

灰局势决策在水利工程开发方案优选中的应用

针对水利工程开发方案优选具有多目标、多层次等特点,建立灰局势决策模型并应用变异系数法确定评价指标权重。利用该模型对灌区改建扩建规划方案进行优选,结果表明这是一种有效的方法。     

周宁水电站工程项目管理实践

福建周宁水电站工程由闽东水电开发有限公司负责项目管理。该项目严格按照《招投标法》进行工程和设备的招标,进行了多项设计优化,注重工程质量和安全文明生产,积极开展达标投产工作,实现了进度快、质量优、投资省、效益好的管理目标。     

非稳定井流模型的半解析解

为了提高非稳定渗流计算的计算精度 ,通过数学分析得到了水位传导系数随时间变化时 ,一类非稳定渗流井流模型的半解析解 ,并进行了计算比较     

WAVE INTERACTION WITH PERFORATED CAISSON BREAKWATERS

The reflection coefficient of perforated caissons and the total horizontal forces acting on them were experimentally and numerically analyzed and discussed when wave propagates normally. To consider the viscosity effect of fluid and nonlinear action of waves on structures, the VOF (Volume Of Fluid) method combined with the k-ε turbulence model was used to simulate the interaction between waves and structures. Governing equations were solved with the finite difference method. Through 2D experimental study in the wave flume, the empirical relationship between the reflection coefficient of perforated caissons and the main affecting factors were obtained from the experimental data using the least square method. Also the correlation between the ratio of the total horizontal force acting on perforated caisson and the force acting on solid caisson and the main affecting factors were regressed from the experimental data.     

脉冲液体射流泵时均值基本方程中的流速系数

运用非恒定的动量方程和时均值计算方法,对脉冲液体射流泵时均值基本方程中的流速系数进行了理论研究,推导出了喉管和喉管进口段流速系数φ2和φ5的计算式。通过与恒定射流的流速系数计算式对比,阐明了脉冲频率是影响φ2和φ5的主要因素,沟通了脉冲射流与恒定射流流速系数之间的关系。     

Design Methodology and Area Sensitivity Analysis of Horizontal Subsurface Flow Constructed Wetlands

An approach is presented to satisfy the demand for simple criteria, guidelines and models for the preliminary sizing of horizontal subsurface flow (SF) constructed wetland systems. This approach eliminates time-consuming calculations and iterations by providing graphical solutions for wetland system sizing. Therefore, it can be used for the preliminary assessment of new or performance evaluation of existing subsurface flow constructed wetland systems. The validity of this methodology is checked with data from existing systems and is found to be quite satisfactory. This methodology is combined with simple equations predicting the maximum wetland capacity in summer, so as to assist designers in sizing installations in tourist areas with increased summer populations. Furthermore, based on this methodology, a sensitivity analysis is performed of the area requirements for wastewaters of various strengths and various design conditions and performance criteria. The results provide a useful overview to engineers and further simplify the design methodology of new subsurface flow constructed wetland systems.     

引黄工程首次试通水期间泵站安全监测资料的分析

介绍了引黄工程泵站建筑物的结构特性、监测情况以及首次试通水期间 安全监测量的变化特点，指出了监测资料反映出的一些工程实际问题。通过定量分析，揭示 了建筑物承受的主要荷载以及监测量的变化规律，发现了工程问题发生和发展的原因，较为 系统、深入地从安全监测的角度研究了引水工程泵站地下洞室群的工作性态。     

论中小企业对管理胜任力的基本要求和培育途径

文章指出,管理胜任力是企业核心竞争能力的一个重要方面,中小企业的健康成长取决于其竞争能力的提高,竞争能力的关键是提高企业的管理胜任力,文章还分析了中小企业对管理胜任力要求的主要方面。     

新疆平原区降水入渗补给地下水研究

以新疆昌吉地下水均衡试验站测得的降水入渗补给地下水量资料为基础 ,讨论了影响降水入渗补给地下水的因素 ,计算了潜水年降水入渗补给系数 ,建立了年降水入渗补给系数与潜水埋深间的经验公式