贸易结构、分工经济与区域服务贸易自由化的福利效应

由于区域内经济体出口相似指数过高,在发展区域服务贸易自由化的过程中会出现竞争,不同区域成员贸易结构和专业化分工特点也影响区域服务贸易自由化的发展。文章以亚洲经济体区域服务贸易自由化发展为例,采用面板数据的因果关系模型,定量分析贸易结构、分工经济与区域服务贸易自由化的福利效应三者之间的关系。研究得出,无论是从长期还是短期来看,服务贸易的互补性和服务贸易的专业化分工都是服务贸易出口额增长的格兰杰原因。

Trade Structure,Division Economy and the Welfare Effect of Regional Service Trade Liberalization

As a result of the high similarity of export structures among regional countries,competition occurs in the process of developing the liberalization of service trade in the region,and different service trade structures and characteristics of specialized division of labor influence the welfare effect of regional service trade liberalization.Therefore,taking the Asian economies’ regional liberalization in service trade as an example,this paper makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between trade structure,the specialized division of labor and the welfare effect of regional service trade liberalization by conducting Granger causality test on panel data.The research findings indicate that complementarities of service trade structures and specialized divisions of labor are the Granger causality of service trade export growth.