Measuring impacts and adaptations to climate change: a structural Ricardian model of African livestock management1 |
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Authors: | S. Niggol Seo Robert Mendelsohn |
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Affiliation: | 1. World Bank, 8508 16th Street, Suite 302, Silver Spring, MD 20910, USA;2. School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, 230 Prospect St., New Haven, CT 06511, USA |
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Abstract: | This article develops a new cross‐sectional methodology that explicitly incorporates adaptation into an analysis of the impacts of climate change. The methodology examines how a farmer will change choices of species and number to adapt to climate. The approach is applied to study Africa, where the impacts of climate change are expected to be the most severe. The results indicate that in warmer places, African farmers switch from beef cattle to more heat‐tolerant goats and sheep. In wetter places, farmers switch from cattle and sheep to goats and chickens. The results indicate that large commercial livestock operations specializing in beef cattle will be hard hit from climate change whereas small farmers who can easily substitute to goats and/or sheep will be more resilient. |
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Keywords: | C53 O13 O18 O55 R11 Climate change Africa Livestock Cross‐sectional adaptation analysis |
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