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外汇储备持续积累的经济后果
引用本文:张曙光,张斌.外汇储备持续积累的经济后果[J].经济研究,2007,42(4):18-29.
作者姓名:张曙光  张斌
作者单位:中国社会科学院经济研究所,100836;中国社会科学院世界经济政治研究所
摘    要:在测估2010年中国外汇储备达到和超过2万亿美元的基础上,本文考察了其对中央银行资产负债结构以及货币供应和金融市场的影响。对于其影响国内经济结构失衡加剧的可能情形和外汇储备持续积累的社会福利损益进行了实证分析。最后揭示了中国经济运行和发展中投资和出口相互推动的流程和机理。

关 键 词:外汇储备  货币错配  结构失衡  福利损益

Economic Effect of Foreign Exchange Reserve Continual Accumulation
Zhang Shuguang and Zhang Bin.Economic Effect of Foreign Exchange Reserve Continual Accumulation[J].Economic Research Journal,2007,42(4):18-29.
Authors:Zhang Shuguang and Zhang Bin
Institution:Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
Abstract:On the base of estimation that the scale of Chinese foreign exchange reserve will reach and ever exceed $2000 billion in 2010,This paper investigates the effect of excessive foreign exchange reserve on B.S.of central bank,money supply and bond market,and demonstrates the possible situation of domestic economic structure unbalance exacerbating,and analyzes the gains and losses of social welfare,and clues on circulation and mechanism of investment and export impelling each other in Chinese economy.
Keywords:Foreign Exchange Reserve  Money Fault  Structure Unbalance  Social Welfare
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