The London Business School with Gower Publishing

In the last month there have been three major items of economic news. First there was Mr Healey's package of 26 October; then there was the announcement on 31 October that the Government's exchange rate policy would change; finally on 1 November there was the news that the miners had rejected the National Coal Board's pay offer. In terms of our view of the outlook for the longer-term development of the economy, the most significant change is the move to free the pound. The effects of Mr Healey's package upon total output are to leave 1977–78 much where it would have been had the Treasury's original public expenditure plans been realised; the shortfall in spending has been made up by tax reductions and, in turn, consumer spending increases.