| 汇率理论的新进展和非线性态势研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘柏. 汇率理论的新进展和非线性态势研究[J]. 吉林省经济管理干部学院学报, 2008, 22(2): 20-22 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘柏 |
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| 作者单位： | 吉林大学数量经济研究中心暨吉林大学商学院,吉林,长春,130012 |
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| 摘 要： | 汇率理论及其决定因素的研究一直是各国政府货币政策制定部门和相关国际贸易企业关注的焦点问题。通过对汇率理论的非一致性发现的探讨，以及非线性模型的刻画，证实了我国汇率走势也存在均值回复的非对称现象，继而提出了合理利用这种特点对我国现行汇率进行政策性国际收支变动调整的政策建议，以此规避外汇风险。
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| 关 键 词： | 汇率理论 非线性 国际收支 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-0657(2008)02-0020-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2008-01-18 |
New Discovery on Exchange Rate Based on Nonlinear Tendency |
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| LIU Bai. New Discovery on Exchange Rate Based on Nonlinear Tendency[J]. Journal of Jilin Province Economic Management Cadre College, 2008, 22(2): 20-22 |
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| Authors: | LIU Bai |
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| Affiliation: | LIU Bai (Jilin University, Changchun, Jlin 130012, China) |
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| Abstract: | Research on exchange rate theory and its decisive factors have always been the focus of monetary-policy-making department and international trade enterprises.By studying exchange rate and nonlinear model,we find that ex-change rate tendency is nonsymmetrical.We should rationally utilize the feature to adjust present exchange rate to avoidexchange risk. |
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| Keywords: | Exchange theory Nonlinear International income and payment |
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