| 广西水电设计院第五栋宿舍楼的变形观测与预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 段志国,龙华.广西水电设计院第五栋宿舍楼的变形观测与预报[J].企业科技与发展,2009(8):157-159. |
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| 作者姓名： | 段志国 龙华 |
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| 作者单位： | 广西水利电力勘测设计研究院,广西南宁530023 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章研究了利用时间序列分析方法ARMA（p，q）模型建立变形监测分析及预报的方法，并对时间序列分析方法的应用进行初步探讨。同时，在理论研究的基础上，对具体变形点进行时间序列分析，运用3种模型进行变形观测数据的解算预测。
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| 关 键 词： | AR模型 MA模型 ARMA模型 变形预报 沉降观测 |
Deformation Observation and Forecast of Five Dormitory Building in Guangxi Water and Electric Power Design Institute |
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| Authors: | DUAN Zhi-guo LONG Hua |
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| Institution: | ( Guangxi Water Power and Electric Investigation Design and Research Institute, Nanning Guangxi 530023) |
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| Abstract: | This article studies the method of deformation observation and forecast by ARMA mode （p, q ） of the Method of Time Series Analysis and the applications of the Method of Time Series Analysis. At the same time, this article gives time series analysis to specific deformation points and calculating tbreeast of deformation observation data by using three models. |
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| Keywords: | AR model MA model ARMA model deformation observation settlement observation |
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