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Spillovers among sovereign CDS,stock and commodity markets: A correlation network perspective
Institution:1. Stetson School of Business and Economics, Mercer University, 1400 Coleman Avenue, Macon, GA 31207, United States;2. Department of Economics and Finance, University of New Orleans, 2000 lakeshore Dr, New Orleans, LA 70148, United States;3. Nottingham University Business School, The University of Nottingham Malaysia campus, Jalan Broga, Semenyih 43500, Selangor, Malaysia;1. Southern University of Science and Technology, Guangdong, China;2. Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing, China;3. DePaul University, USA;4. Chinese University of Hong Kong (Shenzhen), China
Abstract:In the wake of the globalization of financial markets, studying spillovers among different asset markets, especially spillovers that include sovereign CDS markets, is of vital importance. This paper attempts to build a spillover network to investigate the complex interactions within the system of sovereign CDS, stock and commodity markets by adopting the spillover index based on forecast error variance (FEV) decomposition. The results reveal that emerging countries have larger average spillovers than developed countries with regard to sovereign CDS-to-stock returns spillovers, while the developed countries contribute more average spillovers than the emerging countries in the opposite direction. Moreover, the sovereign CDS market and the commodity market still demonstrate a relatively important role during certain periods although stock markets always occupy the dominant position during every phase. Our findings provide new insights into spillovers among the major global asset markets using a network perspective, which is valuable for regulation of financial markets, asset allocation and portfolio risk management.
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