Monetary policy,financial uncertainty,and secular stagnation |
| |
Institution: | 1. Patrick E. Molony Professor, Department of Economics, Auburn University, 138 Miller Hall, Auburn, AL 36849, United States;2. Department of Economics, University of California Santa Cruz, 1156 High Street, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, United States;1. Département des sciences administratives, Université du Québec (Outaouais), Campus St. Jérôme, 5 rue St Joseph, St Jérôme, Québec J7Z 0B7, Canada;2. Université du Québec (Montréal), École des sciences de la gestion, 315 Ste.-Catherine est, R-2915, Montréal, Québec H2X 3X2, Canada;3. Chaire d’information financière et organisationnelle (Université du Québec à Montréal), and Université du Québec en Outaouais, Canada |
| |
Abstract: | A monetary policy framework describing how to cope with a financial crisis might alleviate a recession; however, it might also result in subsequent secular stagnation. Based on an empirical New Keynesian model with financial uncertainty, this study investigates how monetary policy can avoid sluggish economic recovery in response to financial shocks. The results show that a protracted sluggish response of an output gap to a financial shock is triggered by inflation targeting, without considering interest rate variations. In such a policy, the uncertainty causes additional sluggish behavior after a sharp reduction in the output gap. In contrast, in a speed limit policy, the output gap recovers rapidly, regardless of the central bank’s approach to interest rate variations, and the uncertainty mitigates reductions in the output gap. Finally, the results are robust under several alternative settings. |
| |
Keywords: | Monetary policy Financial uncertainty Secular stagnation Inflation targeting Speed limit policy E32 E62 |
本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录! |
|