两岸产业结构差异度、合意性与整合方向研究

近年来,两岸进出口贸易额、投资额呈现出双双下降的趋势。如何进一步深化产业合作,拓展、优化经贸合作空间是当前两岸面临的一个现实问题。基于此,首先采用产业结构相似度指数,对当前两岸制造业、服务业及其子产业的结构性差异进行了测度分析,接下来分析了产业差异的合意性,最后采用“脱钩指数”分析了两岸产业空间演进的动态趋势,从产业结构差异和动态优势结合的视角探讨了两岸产业整合的方向。

Industrial Structure Differentiation, Desirability and Integration across the Taiwan Strait

In recent years, both the volume of trade and investment have shown a tendency of declining.How to further deepen industrial cooperation, expand and optimize the space for economic and trade cooperation is a realistic issue across the Taiwan Strait.First, this article uses the similarity index of industrial structure to measure and analyze the structural differences between the manufacturing industries,service industries and their sub-industries.Second, this article analyzes the desirability of these differences.Finally, this article uses the "decoupling index" to analyze the dynamic trend of industrial spatial evolution, and discusses the direction of industrial integration across the Strait from the perspective of the combination of industrial structure differences and dynamic advantages.