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Who is Going to Supply the Milk to China's South?
作者姓名:Jimin Wang  ;Zhangyue Zhou  ;Qiuhong Shen
作者单位:[1]Professor, Institute of Agricultural Economics, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing; [2]Associate Professor, School of Business, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia; [3]Researcher, Institute of Agricultural Economics, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing
摘    要:China's dairy industry has experienced rapid expansion in recent years, with an average annual growth rate of 23.8 percent from 2000 to 2006. However, there exists a serious geographical distribution imbalance in milk production and consumption. Approximately 85 percent of China's milk is produced in northern China, where 40 percent of the country's population reside. In contrast, only about 15 percent of the milk is produced in China's south, where 60percent of China's population reside. This has resulted in a significant gap between milk production and consumption in southern China and this gap is expected to rise. This paper considers China's milk demand and supply situation, analyzes the likely potential for China to expand its milk production and explores options for meeting milk demand-supply shortages. Policy and trade implications are discussed.

关 键 词:中国南方  牛奶贸易  牛奶消费  牛奶生产

Who is Going to Supply the Milk to China's South?
Jimin Wang,;Zhangyue Zhou,;Qiuhong Shen.Who is Going to Supply the Milk to China's South?[J].China & World Economy,2008,16(4):94-109.
Authors:Jimin Wang Zhangyue Zhou Qiuhong Shen
Institution:Professor, Institute of Agricultural Economics, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing. Email:;;Associate Professor, School of Business, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia. Email:;;Researcher, Institute of Agricultural Economics, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing. Email: .
Abstract:China's dairy industry has experienced rapid expansion in recent years, with an average annual growth rate of 23.8 percent from 2000 to 2006. However, there exists a serious geographical distribution imbalance in milk production and consumption. Approximately 85 percent of China's milk is produced in northern China, where 40 percent of the country's population reside. In contrast, only about 15 percent of the milk is produced in China's south, where 60 percent of China's population reside. This has resulted in a significant gap between milk production and consumption in southern China and this gap is expected to rise. This paper considers China's milk demand and supply situation, analyzes the likely potential for China to expand its milk production and explores options for meeting milk demand—supply shortages. Policy and trade implications are discussed.
Keywords:dairy trade  milk consumption  milk production  southern China
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